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October 22, 2012
Young woman declined choosing instead to take your chances with the man who says he is her protector er >> if these people are victims, why dont they leave the situation were in? >> i think were putting the spotlight on the wrong person when we expect a victim to self-identify. its very hard to leave a life of trafficking. people live behind locked doors sometimes, and other times its psychological coercion. it doesnt take handcuffs to keep someone. >> is he your boyfriend or pimp? >> he is my b...
October 9, 2012
Democratic party. if theyre moving away from him towards romney, youre going to start seeing people self-identify to the -- megyn: really? theyre that fickle? dont most people know what they are? >> no. democrats a lot of democrats know what they are, but we live in a country now where 33, 35% of the voters are in no party or independent. those people, if theyre starting -- they look at a great performance or something they feel suddenly they believe is a respectable candidate and start to think...
October 8, 2012
Virginia and colorado, romney leads. data in ohio, private data shows the race tightening. the obama campaign is responding to it. this week, they dramatically increase the television bye in state of ohio. you have dont do that in a state that a couple of weeks ago saying comfortably put away. >> bret: look at virginia. we have talked about that state a lot. romney is there delivering the foreign policy speech today. its in the tossup category. still on this map. is it sliding one way or another...
October 7, 2012
>> you never know what comes first. it is the culture changing or the media thats driving things or a particular group thats making something happen? are they working in tandem going back and forth? you have phrases that have been successful through time but they keep getting relitigated. affirmative action versus quotas. pro-life versus proabortion and anti-abortion. you have the ones that identify groups. you have, you know, queer was once a bad word. then you went to homo sexual that was medi...
September 30, 2012
Nationally. margin of error is plus or minus 3 points. but something interesting in the polling this week, the choice for president among extremely interested voters, the one who is self-identify that theyre going to vote and care about the race the most, it is tighter race. >> is that an untapped story that could be a surprise for people on election day? >> extremely likely voters are voters who come out for mid-term elections. in a presidential race, you see more democrats, anyway. so the obam...
September 27, 2012
At republicans now self-identify as independents, and a lot of people who are traditionally democratic who vote democratic in the past identify themselves assist independent to pollsters call themselves democrats again. this is a recent, emerging phenomenon. they are polling the right people, but they get more people identifying themselves as democrats and fewer identifying themselves assist republicans. you have the right poll. it looks different now because of develops in politics. >> what you...
September 26, 2012
Here is theyve skewed these polls based on the 2008 model. now we know that the presidents support among many in his base has been reduced. every enthusiasm poll shows that its down significantly. hes lost independents. so when you go back to the 2008 turnout model, that cant be accurate. especially in light of what happened in 2010. so do you acknowledge that those polls are skewed? >> no, i dont think thats what were seeing. i think what were seeing is -- at least ive really looked at the cros...
September 26, 2012
Here is theyve skewed these polls based on the 2008 model. now we know that the presidents support among many in his base has been reduced. every enthusiasm poll shows that its down significantly. hes lost independents. so when you go back to the 2008 turnout model, that cant be accurate. especially in light of what happened in 2010. so do you acknowledge that those polls are skewed? >> no, i dont think thats what were seeing. i think what were seeing is -- at least ive really looked at the cros...
September 22, 2012
Who will screw me. which of these candidates is out to get me. >> whos dangerous? >> whos dangerous to me? thats why i think mitt romney has had a lot of problems. this is maybe just one of them. hes been unable to create a mess same and doesnt want to create a message because hes writing off those voters. >> let me say this. whats interesting about the discussion were having, how voters self-identify and how useful of an analytical tool these clat categories are whether its makers/takers distin...
September 6, 2012
Is so interesting for exactly that reason. you are seeing the democrats, i think, preparing what is likely to be ear what heap has been a fairly ideological, aggressively liberal convention. on the other hand, you saw from republicans, not quite so much an ideological convention, the mitt romney speech was almost non-ideological, in a country where according to poll after poll, 45% are conservatives and 20% self-identify as liberals. liberals are being aggressive, ideologically and conservatives...