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Mortgage stress increases to its highest since September 2008 with 27 1% of mortgage holders now At Risk

New research from Roy Morgan shows an estimated 1.35 million mortgage holders (27.1%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to March 2023. This period encompassed one interest rate increases of 0.25% taking official interest rates to 3.6% in early March.

Mortgage stress at record lows during the 2021 lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT

New research from Roy Morgan shows an estimated 584,000 mortgage holders (15.8%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to September 2021. This period encompassed the recent lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT which finally ended during the month of October.

Mortgage stress near record low in mid-2021 - Roy Morgan Research

Country: Australia Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia), average interviews per 3 month period April 2007 – May 2021, n=2,674. Base: Australians 14+ with owner occupied home loan. New research from Roy Morgan shows an estimated 677,000 mortgage holders (17.3%) were at risk of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to May 2021. This period encompassed the end of the JobKeeper wage subsidy (end of March 2021), low community transmission of COVID-19 and only a few ‘short and sharp’ lockdowns and border closures to deal with outbreaks. This level of mortgage stress is down sharply on a year ago when an estimated 794,000 mortgage holders (19.4%) were at risk during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the three months to May 2020.

Mortgage stress already a danger for one-in-five mortgage holders as loan holidays set to end

Country: Australia Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia), average interviews per 3 month period April 2007 – November 2020, n=2,673. Base: Australians 14+ with owner occupied home loan. New research from Roy Morgan shows an estimated 783,000 mortgage holders (20.0%) were at risk of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to November 2020. This period encompassed the end of Victoria’s long second lockdown but the last few months have taught us that border closures and short sharp lockdowns appear to be with us for some time to come. This is unchanged on a year earlier in late 2019 although up from the record lows in the middle of last year when only 668,000 mortgage holders were considered ‘At Risk’ between July – September 2020. The low rate of ‘At Risk’ mortgages during 2020 came during the period of maximum support provided to the economy by the Federal Government as well as measure

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