Page 7 - State Conventions News Today

The idea of being the insurgent is that you can steal momentum and build on it. we have seen a number try to get it and fail on it and then hold out. plan b was to stop mitt romney from getting enough delegates to take the nominee at the convention. that plan b is now collapsing. theyre not playing the state conventions. theyre not winning the caucuses. really theres nowhere left to go. >> if north dakota is a model for the rest of the states left. whats going to stop mitt romney from be the mas...

Something. >> lets say he won every delegate from here on out, he wouldnt hit the magic number until may 29. thats demographically impossible for romney. if he wins just 60% of all the delegates, he doesnt do it until after the june 5 primaries, and if somehow he and santorum keep trading back and forth, so santorum loses tonight but its fairly competitive, he wins saturday in louisiana, wins wisconsin but romney wins maryland on april 3rd and we have that back and forth with the remaining state...

>> we do a small conservative count because of these rules. you go there and it could be the paul people do better than they did on their vote, overperform. santorums folks think theyre going to do better at these state conventions. colorado is going to do this, minnesota, iowa, go down the list. and even in illinois, were going to only have some of the delegates awarded, not all of them. >> on "the daily rundown" this morning, you made the case that a fractious, bitter primary battle like this ...

Or if he gets there, he only gets there because unpledged, unbound delegates from iowa and minnesota somehow verbally agree that they will vote for him on first ballot, stand with him, all of those things. but he does -- santorum has no chance of getting 1,144. for romney, i hate to say, its sort of a little better than 50/50. but thats it. >> whats the last state? >> utah. imagine if he goes into utah this close to sealing -- >> well, utah, we know hes going to get it all. the question are thes...

chad myers has been following this for us. also live in atlanta. and chad, rafael says there was another tremor. what are you seeing? >> i am actually seeing that tremor on one of the size mo -- seismograms in southern california. the shaking was felt by the needle ps .thnee needles. these are the minutes as we go across. about one minute of shake. then right here, a secondary shake, chp wwhich would have bee after shock. maybe 5.5, although it hasnt been posted. there will be -- i kno...

The secret is he cant either. and he has yet to unify the space. and for the reasons that weve heard already on the show, that those delegates are not bound in many of those states. hes actually counting delegates including states like florida and arizona as winner-take-all states when theyre not, when they broke the rnc rules, the rules state they now have to be proportional, and hes counting these delegates he doesnt actually have in his back pocket at this point. in addition to those points, ...

army staff sergeant accused of the unthinkable. walking off base and executing 16 civilians, nine of them children. the sergeant is a qualified sniper trained to hit and kill people at a distance of eight football fields. lets go to chris lawrence. what else do we know about this accused gunman? >> hes a combat veteran that did three tours in iraq. on the last tour in 2010, his vehicle rolled over. he suffered a traumatic brain injury. the army treated him for that. he was diagnosed an...

Of where the delegates come out. there is romney 38 of. rick santorum, 156. newt gingrich, 85. and ron paul, 406789 it depends on the district county and state conventions and they think that their loyal followers will go through, to so that number they dont buy but that is the number we use in projection autos back now to washington. chris? >> thanks so much. you know, you have to say this race is going to go on for a while. romney didnt put anymore anyone away but he had a clear lead. lets tal...

The state may vote in its upcoming townee and state conventions, where 26 of the 29 delegates will be bound. we also have our final results from michigan. and it is a romney/santorum split. 15 each. wednesday morning, santorum declared michigan a tie. by mid afternoon, he challenged reporters about his "underperformance with catholics." and he said, hey, it was a win. >> we won michigan last night by coming out of michigan with 15 delegates out of 30 delegates in mitt romneys home state. being o...

>> no, no, the only thing he can do is wait and see. i want go back to what chuck said, do you think theres a high probability of a contested convention in tampa? >> it not get that far simply because of the calendar. we have looked at it a million different ways. if you do it, and somebody else gets in, what you have to do is get a beach head of delegates. march 23rd is the biggest filing deadline. thats california, new jersey, and texas where filing deadlines have not passed. you go to the sta...