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September 10, 2018
Unfortunately, the steering environment in the atmosphere that little deviation is expected at this point with the steering to the west. you follow this and we are going over warm waters from the low 80s to the mid-80s and upper 80s and potential landfall thursday afternoon or thursday night. some areas around north carolina and south carolina region. that is the highest likelihood at this point. the steering environment with the high pressure shifting north and east guides this to the carolinas...
September 10, 2018
1,500 miles east of the united states right now. strengthening quickly. this has everything to become a category three or major hurricane by later on tonight. you notice very little going on ahead of the system. what we know with the water level is warm waters. low 80s where it is situated. mid 80s where it is moving on and upper 80s as it closes in on land on thursday afternoon or evening. still has the potential to become a major hurricane and remain there for the foreseeable future. the steer...
September 10, 2018
Category three hurricane or worse. florence is expected to intensify over the next few days and forecasters fear it could stall bringing catastrophic harvey like flooding. meteorologist pedram javaheri tracking it for us. >> good morning, dave and christine. we are watching florence. still looking at a strong category one at this hour. an eye trying to form that sits 1,500 miles away from land. the steering environment and the atmosphere is such little deviation is expected with the forecast goi...
September 4, 2018
Lesser end. water temperatures in the upper 80s. all of this is conducive for development. we think it will develop for landfall at 7:00 across southern mississippi. this will pick up steam before landfall. this could be a quickly developing system. we talk about putting these systems over the gulf and keep it there for another day. this could be a major hurricane. we are fortunate it doesnt have enough time to develop beyond what we think might be a category one. the steering environment will p...
September 21, 2017
Wind speed but its the water element with a tropical system. the storm surge threat still extreme for 2 dominican republic, get into turks and caicos thats 9 feet above the ground. they dont have 9 to 12 feet to give. that is one of the biggest stories for them. 2 feet moves your car, 5 feet gets into the first story of your home. 12 feet gets to the second level of your home. the storm looks, best case, to just dodge the islands from a direct landfall from 30 or 40 miles. still a major hurrican...
September 21, 2017
Significant storm surge. 9 to 12 feet above what is dry ground. 20 2 fe 2 feet moves your car. up to 12 feet, keep in mind the turks and caicos do not have 12 feet to work with around the coastline. so that is complete sub emergence of the island in parts across the region. where is wr is the storm headed. look at tropical storm jose, it is the longest storm weve had, going on 19 days. i say that because the steering environment for jose could be where maria ends up. look at our models. this is ...
September 6, 2017
Harvey did. and then about half of the other models want to take it in for southwestern florida. but notice outliars take it to the gulf. a decent number want to bring it up that coastline. because of the nature of the land mass is how the u.s. bends to the east. they will probably interact with the u.s. at some point. so the steering environment is a little different than hurricane harvey because there was very little steering. this particular motion will want to keep them to the south. at this...
September 6, 2017
Because of the nature of the land mass is how the u.s. bends to the east. they will probably interact with the u.s. at some point. so the steering environment is a little different than hurricane harvey because there was very little steering. this particular motion will want to keep them to the south. at this point, the air we watch for the storm sz typically four to five days out. you think four to five days out saturday to sunday it could be 200 miles in any ch direction but either way florida...
September 5, 2017
North. a few models pushing it back into the gulf. but the highest concentration in the southern region of southern and southwestern florida. the steering environment is such that we think it will take that track. and real quickly, want to lay ley out the models comparing what is the best models, a look at the european models. theyre overlaid on top of each other there is one, there is another, bringing both right around the keys. continuing into this weekend and early next week. notice both of ...
September 5, 2017
The storm surge bearing down on these islands. certainly the emergency evacuation, if any is to be made across this region would have to be done in the coming few hours. this storm system as menacing as it gets, every quadrant of this storm system, very organized and symmetrical. were watching what could be a category 4, could potentially get to a category 5 the next few days. notice where they think this storm is going to be headed. and beyond say friday to saturday, almost every single one of ...