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Emerging Europe preparing for rate hikes

- Consumer staples: Salmar SALM.NO -5.1% (placement completion). - - - Healthcare: Clinigen CLIN.UK -25.8% (trading update), Oasmia Pharma OASM.SE +4.0% (research update), Smith & Nephew SN.UK +3.3% (analyst action). - Industrials: Leclanche LECN.CH +1.4% (results), Aker Solutions AKSO.NO.+1.2% (agreement with Petrobras), Heidelberger Drukmaschinen HDD.DE -13.2% (results). Speakers - BOE s Haldane (chief economist, QE dissenter) noted that the domestic economy was going gangbusters at this time and needed to begin turning off the monetary policy tap. If pay and costs were picking up then inflation was not very far behind. - - Sweden Central Bank (Riksbank) Gov Ingves stated that he expected inflation to fall in the short-term and then gradually rise back towards the 2% target. Reasonable to believe that inflation sped up after July. He saw big risks in withdrawing policy measures too early.

German ZEW survey expected to show improvement

- (FR) France Debt Agency (AFT) opened its book to sell Jun 2044 green bond via syndicate; guidance seen +20bps to oats Looking Ahead - 06:00 (DE) Germany Mar ZEW Current Situation Survey: -62.0e v -67.2 prior; Expectations Survey: 74.0e v 69.6 prior - 06:00 (EU) Euro Zone Mar ZEW Expectations Survey: No est v 69.6 prior - 06:00 (EU) Daily Euribor Fixing - - 06:10 (EU) Daily ECB Liquidity Stats - 06:15 (CH) Switzerland to sell 3-month Bills - - 06:30 (HU) Hungary Debt Agency (AKK) to sell 3-Month Bills - 06:30 (EU) ECB allotment in 7-Day Main Refinancing Tender (MRO) - 07:00 (BR) Brazil Mar FGV Inflation IGP-10 M/M: 2.8%e v 3.0% prior

Jan inflation readings continue to beat consensus expectations

- (SE) - (UK) DMO sold £2.0B in 1.25% Oct 2041 Gilts; Avg Yield: 0.987% v 0.802% prior; bid-to-cover: 2.51x v 2.22x prior; Tail: bps v 0.1bps prior - (IT) Italy Debt Agency (Tesoro) sold €7.0B vs. €7.0B indicated in 12-month Billsl Avg Yield: -.0454% v -0.478% prior; Bid-to-cover: 1.39x v 1.53x prior Looking Ahead - (EU) Daily ECB Liquidity Stats - (CH)) Switzerland to sell 2031 and 2042 Bonds - - 06:00 (PT) Portugal Q4 Unemployment Rate: No est v 7.8% prior - 06:00 (PT) Portugal Jan Final CPI M/M: No est v -0.3% prelim; Y/Y: No est v 0.3% prelim - 06:00 (PT) Portugal Jan Final CPI EU Harmonized M/M: No est v -0.3% prelim; Y/Y: No est v 0.2% prelim

Various EU Q4 GDP data showing lockdowns have less impact compared to last spring

Following 2/2/2021 10:36:29 AM GMT EU Mid-Market Update: Various EU Q4 GDP data showing lockdowns have less impact compared to last spring; issuance front remains heavy. Notes/Observations - UK Jan Nationwide House Prices registered its 1st monthly decline since June - Various EU GDP data (Euro Zone, Italy and Portugal) showed less economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic from last spring’s lockdown - Issuance remains steady as countries and companies race to take advantage of low borrowing costs - Companies expected to report during the NY morning include ConocoPhillips, Emerson Electric, Eaton Corp, W.W. Grainger, HCA, Harley Davidson, Manpower, McKesson, Marathon Petroleum, Pitney Bowes, Pfizer, Sirius XM, Sysco Corp, UPS, Exxon

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