there, virtual dead heat. taut caughten is the head line. he s down by mark pryor ten point. what s happening there? what s happened there is exactly what the democrats have said, they have gone after tom cotton and they ve painted him as a mini paul ryan. and he s largely undefined. and what democrats have done a really good job of so far at least is defining him. it s still early. but they re hammering him with 30-second ads, pryor is, bombarding him? they really are. let s put the four democrats back up that we were just showing. and let s go through the polls. i thought it was fascinating. just a great site. and you just can t help but being intrigued. for about five hours i pressed that button where you spin the polls and see who has a chance of taking over the senate. mary landrieu, very surprised that the percentages of upshot of the new york times says she only has about a 35% chance of holding that seat.