expect, and where. we have been looking at this band of thunderstorms, at the moment between cuba and the yucatan peninsula of mexico. this has been upgraded and named as a tropical storm. what will happen is tropical storm idalia will continue to push northwards. there could be some flooding around cuba and the yucatan region of mexico over the next day or so, but as the system works over the warm waters of the gulf of mexico, it strengthens into a hurricane, making landfall across florida on wednesday. the main bit of uncertainty is how quick the wind gets because the waters in the seas before it makes landfall are particularly hot, you could see rapid intensification. in europe, this area of cloud has been bringing severe thunderstorms to the balearic islands. over the next 24 hours, looking at torrential rain working across northern italy, 200 millimetres, a risk of flash flooding.
is going, are well above average, warmer than normal, heat in the ocean powering these weather systems. that is one of the things we re watching for. it could rapidly intensifyjust before it makes landfall. the notting hill carnival is under way, more relaxed than monday, the carnival is europe s biggest street party, 2 million people expected to join in to celebrate caribbean culture in the uk. stay with us on bbc news. hello there. part two of the weekend