Page 32 - Tracking Poll News Today

All agree that the polls reflected math and not some any nefarious agenda to make conservatives feel bad. the polls were right, we can all agree. out of all the polls, lets look at the one we know now was any mathematic mathematically accurate tracking poll going on in the race, the ipsus reuters poll. did hurricane sandy blunt mr. romneys momentum. was he on track to win? heres how they were running against each other on the most accurate poll in the country on the day before the hurricane. day...

Governor romney has been leading among independents. nationwide virtually every poll governor romney has about been winning against president obama. if hes leading by one point and hes been leading by an average of seven, it shifts the election. again the biggest component here is what does the matrix of the election look like? demographically the obama campaign is counting on white turn out dropping from 74% of the total in 2008 to 72%. as recently as 2004 it was 77% and indications are its goi...

His final campaign. with a noticeably hoarse voice he asked for four more years. >> we know we have got more work to do. >> reporter: the president has the edge in ohio polls, but romney is not going down without a fight. >> we ask you to stay at it all the way until victory on tuesday night is clear. >> reporter: the race has been deadlocked for weeks. but the president opened up a slim lead in the abc news/"washington post" tracking poll. each campaign is now projecting confidence in the groun...

Nevada and everything is poisoned. youre looking at him running up a big margin. this is a state where republicans are doomed to cap out at 47, maybe 48% going forward until and unless they solve their hispanic problem. >> yeah. i got an e-mail from latino decisions today. they talked about the last weekly tracking poll of the season. record high share of latino vote will go to democrats, likely record turnout numbers. they expect 74% of the electorate are very enthusiastic. they expect 73% of l...

Of months of polling tells romney, the romney campaign they are likely to see intensity pushes turn-out. intensity pushes turn-out. that is good news for the romney campaign. the other thing they pointed to today in the conference call was i think it was 26 polls taken that measured support of independents. in 20 of 26 of those, romney campaign was up. by an average of something like 7 points. the romney campaign argued if the turn-out is anything less than the 2008 turn-out model, which was a w...

Point out because democrats vote more on election today. in ohio its not even close, in terms of where those absentee ballots, or the early vote ballots are. bill: andreas big point is that its a 22 point swing. >> its a meaningless number, its a meaningless number. 22 point swing for what? youre talking about from 2008 to 2012. youre talking about a number of days for early voting to take place. you dont know how many people are going to vote between now and next tuesday. bill: what about that ...

The effect its having. what are you doing? >> we are trying to continue polling as best we can. our call center, the place where we make the survey is not located in new jersey. the calls go out from texas so we are able to call and collect data. well be focusing on state polls in western states. they didnt have the same effect. and we are still trying to figure out what we are going to be doing with our national tracking poll. we did release numbers for today obviously portions of the east coas...

Are putting on the screen. i want to get to the polling news as you know it today. your tracking poll today is showing the race within 2 points with governor romney in the lead over the president 49% to 47%. is there any other significant news? >> that pretty much where its been. 48% now expect president obama to win the election. 41% governor romney. thats the first time the number expecting the president to win has fallen below 50%. its the closest we have been in terms of perception. i think ...

Asbury park. >> the storm very powerful. water coming over the boardwalk like the wasnt even there. our chief operating officer had his house flooded out. the first thing we did was check that everybody was okay. hardly anybody has power. but the boardwalk is never going to be the same. the fishing pier in our little town is gone. i dont know what will happen there. one of the pictures shows the auditorium in ocean grove with the roof ripped off. what you notice mostly on a day-to-day basis is p...

Its 12 past the hour. were going to make a turn to politics and quite frankly how the weather and politics collide in this case. weve got one week to go until the presidential election if you can believe it in the middle of all of this. new polls this morning on how close the race is. the tracking poll is likely voters has romney up by 5 percentage points. a new washington post abc tracking poll of likely voters has the race even at 49% apiece, a pew research center survey has the candidates n...