Page 2 - Transformtive Democratic News Today

Right now. it didnt deviate much, if you wanted to zoom in and find where anything was different in the central valley, the san joaquin valley, its probably where the recall did best. then you look in the bay area, garn newsom used to be the mayor of san francisco. the recall might be doing worse in some of those counties than donald trump did in 2020. were talking about differences of a couple of points. this matches on perfectly from what you saw last november when jooid won the state by 29 po...

Whats been changing and shifting in orange county stayed changing and stayed shifting in this recall election. >> what about those congressional districts that democrats barely won in 2018 that helped nancy pelosi become speaker. theres still those swing districts out there in 2020 and now again in 2022. is it too early to tell if there was much of a difference in those areas that may determine whos going to be the next speaker of the house? >> orange county, theres a couple in orange county. il...

Bidens numbers down, again, the fact that when people went to polls and this sort of race, and the fact that democrats held their own, i would mark that down as a really big win were i a democrat trying to plan ahead for 2022. and i also want to look at some of the things that drove the election newsoms way, and lets see on that point, lets talk about the exit poll and covid. my theory of the case has been run over the 33% politically, run over the 30% politically like republicans did in texas o...

Ground. im going to get back to steve and ask him about exit polls, the fact that a recall is a negative proposition to begin with. most politicians are going to fare worse than they would in -- here we have an off, off year election in september when kids are going back to school. this is a race that is set up for a surprise like we saw in 2009, when the race for ted kennedys replacement shocked the world and went republican. if im a democrat and looking at this map, and its basically an overla...

Newsom were concerned. theres a reason that elizabeth harris, and bernie sanders, and was it the emergence of larry elder whose views were so extreme, what did these votes hinge on? >> were talking about how similar to this basic break down, the red/blue map in the presidential race. the map you would expect in just about any california election these days. i think three things to say, number one, the polling that was out there over the summer when there started to be rumblings of hey, is someth...

Same. look at that. it was 64/34 biden when you round up in california last november. so, you know, basically the democrats, their goal in this thing, you heard it through their messaging, let me see if i can get this up here. you heard it through the democrats messaging, tried to nationalize this, attach this to attitudes of trump, they had biden in there the night before. you can go county by county and it becomes dramatic. take a look down here, for instance, orange county, south of los angel...

That old adage that politics ultimately is very local. we can talk about trump, larry elder, crazy stuff on the right wing, but if youre worried about being accosted on the street or someone is urinating in your front yard, it feels different to you, and thats what democrats need to remember, that this is really something we got to pay attention to and the rhetoric around crime and law enforcement has sometimes been really counter productive for my party. now, having said that, whats going to re...

The number is going to be, 3.5 trillion, could be a little bit less, but i do believe ultimately this legislation will pass because theres too much at stake for it not to. >> i want to ask you about the california recall, good outcome for gavin newsom, but are there any take aways for democrats moving forward? >> yeah, i mean, look, on the one hand, mika, we talked about this several times on the show. he should not have gone to french laundry, saying one thing to his constituents and doing some...

As he did. i am curious. why does it seem that in san francisco, for instance, a city thats almost unrecognizable from where it was 15 years ago, its almost like youre walking back into new york city in 1977 or 1978. why is there a growing frustration among democrats around quality of life issues in california, in places like san francisco, and why arent democratic politicians recognizing that and responding to it. >> well, first, dealing with the homeless population is hard, joe, because so man...

Anti-vaccine party, an anti-science party, immigrant party and be a majority party in this country and larry elder was so extreme that it made the task very easy. i think one of the lessons can be in the midterms. remember, its not just democrats running on a positive agenda. its democrats running against a more radicalized republican party than when trump was in office, and i think people have to understand this, the republicans in the house are more radical today than when trump was actually p...