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Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 3): calculating the sample size required for an external validation study

An external validation study evaluates the performance of a prediction model in new data, but many of these studies are too small to provide reliable answers. In the third article of their series on model evaluation, Riley and colleagues describe how to calculate the sample size required for external validation studies, and propose to avoid rules of thumb by tailoring calculations to the model and setting at hand. External validation studies evaluate the performance of one or more prediction mod...
United Kingdom City Of Garys Collins Lucinda Archer Kym Ie Snell Ben Van Calster
Source: bmj.com

Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 2): how to undertake an external validation study

External validation studies are an important but often neglected part of prediction model research. In this article, the second in a series on model evaluation, Riley and colleagues explain what an external validation study entails and describe the key steps involved, from establishing a high quality dataset to evaluating a modelโ€™s predictive performance and clinical usefulness. A clinical prediction model is used to calculate predictions for an individual conditional on their characteristics....
United Kingdom Lucinda Archer Lauraj Bonnett Glenp Martin Paula Dhiman Richardd Riley
Source: bmj.com

Evaluation of clinical prediction models (part 1): from development to external validation

Evaluating the performance of a clinical prediction model is crucial to establish its predictive accuracy in the populations and settings intended for use. In this article, the first in a three part series, Collins and colleagues describe the importance of a meaningful evaluation using internal, internal-external, and external validation, as well as exploring heterogeneity, fairness, and generalisability in model performance. Healthcare decisions for individuals are routinely made on the basis o...
Glasgow City United Kingdom Administrative Coordinating Center National Institutes Of Health Care Research Birmingham Biomedical Centre Research Foundation
Source: bmj.com

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Patterns of antibiotic use, pathogens, and prediction of mortality in hospitalized neonates and young infants with sepsis: A global neonatal sepsis observational cohort study (NeoOBS)

James Neal Russell and colleagues report a global neonatal sepsis observational cohort study (NeoOBS) exploring patterns of antibiotic use, pathogens and prediction of mortality in hospitalised neonates and young infants with sepsis.
United Kingdom United States Principality Of Monaco Research Ethics Committee World Health Organization Global Antimicrobial Resistance Innovation Fund
Source: plos.org

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