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How Breakdown Cascades Into Collapse

The misconception that collapse is an  all or nothing phenomenon is common: Either the system rights itself with a bit of money-printing and rah-rah or it collapses into post-industrial ruin and gangs are battling over the last stash of canned beans. Neither scenario considers the fragility and resilience of the socio-economic system as a whole. It is both far more fragile than the believers in the permanence of the  waste is growth model grasp and more resilient than the  complete colla...
Federal Reserve Shrinking Planet Traumatized World கூட்டாட்சியின் இருப்பு

Increasingly Chaotic Volatility Ahead - The New Normal Few Think Possible

That the era of stability has ended and a new era of increasingly chaotic volatility has begun is not on anyones radar as a possibility. The standard debate about the future of the economy is: which will we get, high inflation or a deflationary collapse of defaults and asset bubbles popping? The debate goes round and round in widening circles of complexity as analysts delve into every nuance of the debate. A recent conversation with my friend A.T. raised  a third possibility few seem to consi...
Warren Buffett Federal Reserve Shrinking Planet Traumatized World வாரன் பஃபெட் கூட்டாட்சியின் இருப்பு

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FOMO Is Loco

We can also posit a general rule that those who inherit wealth and succumb to FOMO are eventually less wealthy while those who are wealthy and take a pass on FOMO / hoarding at the top of the manic frenzy increase their wealth. Judging by the panic buying of everything from homes to yachts to lumber futures, it seems the world has run out of everything except newly issued central bank trillions, and so the logical response is FOMO (fear of missing out) and hoarding: buy everything you can get y...
Shrinking Planet Traumatized World

US Stimulus Has Created A Boom... In China

Maybe maximizing corporate profits isnt all that matters. Maybe national security and resilience matter, too, and if they do, then reshoring critical supply chains should be a higher priority than Corporate Americas (mostly tax-free) profits. As Americas trade deficit explodes higher and the costs of offshoring supply chains mount, the apologists for globalization are out in full force, attempting to shout down reality with their usual specious claims about how amazingly wunnerful globalization...
United States Long Beach West Germany Wolf Richter Services Trade Surplus World Trade Organization

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