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Rally Caps Were Waving

The Markets (August 15, 2022) Rally caps were waving. In recent weeks, investors have embraced the idea that economic data will persuade the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of rate hikes. Last week’s inflation data fanned their enthusiasm. The big news was that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation, didn’t
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The Real Reason Mortgage Rates Are Dropping at a Record Pace

(Much of the following is adapted from yesterday's coverage, but with additional charts and examples.  As far as brass tacks go, if you got the message yesterday, today's version is just a little bit more of the same.) 
 Mortgage rates have been all over the map recently, both in terms of their movement and in their variation between lenders.  The disconnects are so big as to require a deeper explanation.   
 Let's qua...
Treasury Note Unlike Treasuries

How To Explain The Huge Drop in Mortgage Rates This Week

Mortgage rates have been all over the map recently, both in terms of their movement and in their variation between lenders.  It's not altogether uncommon for certain borrowers to be seeing rates that are half a point lower than they were just last week and a full point below the mid-June highs. This is an  exceptionally fast drop!  Perhaps even more interesting (and uncommon) is the fact that mortgage rates have dropped faster than US Treasury yie...
Treasury Note Unlike Treasuries

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