Page 7 - Turnout Machine News Today

Democrat and he won. look, i dont think the president is a shoe in for reelection. this will be a 50-50 race. the enthusiasm factor is huge. the presidents people are fired up. the presidents opponents are fired up just as well. the 2018 election, usually 85 million people. you had over 110-million people vote. we will shatter records in 2020. >> laura: i agree. it will be all about turnout. that rally was impressive like all of trumps rallies are. democrats cant turn that number out. on electio...

Seem to be with people younger than 45 years old. walk us through the numbers a little bit. >> i think this is really key. we see sanders giving biden a run for his money among independents, but its this youth category that i think if i were in the biden camp, i would be like oh, we need to pay attention to this a bit more. look here. under 45, sanders is actually beating him there. 26% to 19%. obviously biden is dominating older than 45. thats one of his best categories. that under 45 crowd is ...

Hillary clinton is very likely to win this election. donald trump found people who we didnt necessarily -- werent polling, didnt expect to vote. they turned out. the question is, is donald trump also, particularly as a president, a really good turnout machine for democrats. is the level of vitriol directed at him -- ive never seen like this in polling. his unfavorable rating is lets say 59%. his strongly unfavorable rating is a 55%. you either like him or hate him and typically in politics that ...

36%. it was the lowest since 1940 something in 2014. to pauls point, it would suggest that 20 million early votes is way up in every state that has early voting. donald trump said, ive never seen crowds like this. he may be right. the question is donald trump can drive his people out. i think we saw that in 2016. we learned that lesson. i will admit, i was in the hillary clinton is very likely to win this election based on everything we know. donald trump found people who we didnt -- necessarily...

In any of the other states, thats the culinary -- >> that was marias point. theres no unions in texas and georgia the way there is here. >> the kuculinary union is the latino turnout machine. theyve registered many of those members. if the culinary union does its job, then heller and the governors race have a lot to worry about. >> thats the interesting this evening when you mention spanish language ads. thats something i hear over and over again. that is not enough to marias point, too. look at...

Turnout machine come next week. it is unbelievable the amount of energy. it is unbelievable the amount of energy bernie sanders has. >>what bernie brings is medicare for all and the talk of democratic socialism. where do you fall in that. >> i will tell you what we need first and foremost and that is turnout. when our demographic -- when the voting population looks like a demographic population, well have an idea of what the two university campuses and bringing a phenomenal job bringing young pe...

Its not multiple choice. you have to vote "yes" or "no." that should help democrats because theyre the party thats taking on trump, obviously. >> i do think thats true. theres a little bit of nuance when youre talking about the difference demographics of women. for example, in 2016, as you know, donald trump won 53% of white women, but he lost the majority of all women. that means that black and latino women and aaip women are voting for democrats. normally that does impact the outcome of certai...

Approval and generic ballot polling do not get better for them. the danger for republicans and one thing that could put the house out of reach for them is if those indicators get worse. thoughts on that? >> i think the environment is largely locked here. democrats are going to have an overheated turnout machine and not much we know based on the elections are already happening in this cycle. i think a better indicator of the challenges for the republicans is in the structure of the election itsel...

It was 40%. does that mean the democratic turnout machine was better than thought or people were motivated? >> people were motivated. we saw a high turnout in virginia as well. roy moore, to say the obvious, was a candidate with unique vulnerablities and liabilities. but how much this result had in common with what we saw in virginia, new jersey and for that matter about who approves and disapproves of president trump to begin with. as we talked about yesterday, alisyn, three components all clic...

Tom cotton, i dont think anybody is going to beat tom cotton for a very long time but you go into selective districts into some of these places, its all about turnout at the end of the day. democrats do not turn out in off-year elections. they just dont. what is the percentage of people who actually voted, you know, for donald trump as president or hillary clinton? in the 30s or something? you get all of these people out right now, sam, they are going to come out even in states and districts tha...