Page 4 - Turnout Models News Today

Republicans being up more republicans voting in this election not properly accounted for in these polls. thats why im telling you, martha, dont get caught up in the horse race numbers. anyone who knows how to read those polls dont view those has as a primary indicator. romney has double-digit leads among independents in ohio. martha: romney folks are definitely feeling emboldened by those numbers that tony talks about, kirsten but you dont hear anything who doesnt have sort of a hint of caution ...

Its very hard unless you are one of those microtargeted groups. you know, there is -- when i tried putting together that 2008 book, "renegade," i said to president obama, then candidate obama -- >> now available in paperback. >> -- i said were going to do this inside story. he said what happens if theres no secret story, what happens if we just had a plan and we executed on it. and they have the plan. >> i talked to the obama folks yesterday. they tell me that they have turnout models for romney...

This one i believe this comes down to virginia sanyo. we started out with 9 or 10 states. its really virginia and ohio. if romney wins those two hes in the game. if he loses those two hes out of the game. >> both these campaigns are operating under different turnout models. one of them is right and one of them will find out they are wrong. this could look like an electoral land slide for one of them. megyn: thanks so much, guys. coming up. outrage is growing over the controversial decision to go...

I think the advantage that team obama has, though, is it is not just the number of field offices but the amount of time that they have been there. they know who their voters are. they know exactly which voters in the states they need to turn out. thats why, you know, focus right now is really shifting to all of those turnout models. >> yeah. chip the organization has been very impressive. unions are stepping up their ground game important the president. in ohio the afl-cio will reach out to 2 mi...

This is "meet the press" with chuck todd. >> good sunday morning. well, it turns out it wasnt somebody sitting on their bed that weighs 400 pounds. even before fridays indictments of 12 russian intelligence operatives for hacking the democrats during the 2016 campaign, four u.s. intelligence agencies had already weighed in. the fbi, the cia, the dni, and the nsa all of them had concluded that russians interfered in the 2016 election and they did so with the goal of helping donald trump. in fact,...

The presidents land mark health care plan is already having an impact on midterm elections. john boehner and tried to frame the republican win. >> its about the economy. its about obamacare. listen. ive stood here after losing some special elections. i tried to put lipstick on a pig but it was still a pig. you can bet they will try to put lipstick on it today but you all know what the facts are. >> other competitive districts that are far more competitive than this one our messaging will work an...

Look, again, you start in a district with a 13-point lead in turnout for republicans. you get $5 million spent against you, trashing the affordable care act, and you come within two points? that shows that she was a great candidate, good message, and other competitive districts that are far more competitive than this one our messaging will work, the turnout models will be good. i came this morning and said the thunderstorms are coming to washington, you dont hide, you fight through it. >> i gues...

Chin the ppp polls. the polls that i believe there show raese with a solid five, six point lead. the issue is of course, california and washington, maybe connecticut. connecticut we suffered a little because rasmussen now has blumenthal 13 points ahead. washington state, murray is 2-3 ahead many in california boxer is 2-3 ahead. i believe that when a republican is two or three behind in these elections, in these polls, he or she is probably gonna win for two factors. the undecided goes against t...

The polls that i believe there show raese with a solid five, six point lead. the issue is of course, california and washington, maybe connecticut. connecticut we suffered a little because rasmussen now has blumenthal 13 points ahead. washington state, murray is 2-3 ahead many in california boxer is 2-3 ahead. i believe that when a republican is two or three behind in these elections, in these polls, he or she is probably gonna win for two factors. the undecided goes against the incumbent. ive sa...