most of us think that we might see a small decline or a decline in incidence first, so that s what the models are suggesting. notjust ours but the others as well, suggesting we might see a decline and then it takes off again and increases again may be in the new year. scientists say this might happen if vaccine protection only wanes moderately. there is a good uptake of booster jabs and no increase in socialising. this morning, mps heard evidence about why there might be a decline in cases. i think we are in an improving situation because of high vaccination coverage that we have, the booster programme that will start limiting even further the number of cases and particularly those hospitalised cases. and there s lots of infection that s happening in the community, which is posting lots of younger people as well, including children. all of this comes as the debate continues to rage about
beginning to start to see increases as well in countries that have achieved reasonable vaccination coverage. achieved reasonable vaccination coverae. , , ., achieved reasonable vaccination coverae. , ., . , coverage. sage, they have recently been presented coverage. sage, they have recently been presented by coverage. sage, they have recently been presented by the coverage. sage, they have recently been presented by the imperial - been presented by the imperial couege been presented by the imperial college of london, with a paper, which as their pessimistic scenario laid out shows that we could see almost 10,000 deaths over the winter, that is the most pessimistic. what is the greatest impact that could change those figures in terms of measures? to a certain extent figures in terms of measures? to a certain extent it figures in terms of measures? to a certain extent it is figures in terms of measures? to a certain extent it is the figures in terms of measures? trr . cert
properly over your nose and mouth. these are simple measures, and what is critical in any country, the uk included but any country, you want to have simple measures in place so that you don t get that expotential growth. when you are in the exponential growth, you are in it. that sounds obvious, but you are already in the mad rush of it. you want to prevent that from happening. i realise that is massively challenging given that we are 21 months into a global pandemic, but these are simple measures that can be used and they work. so our recommendation is to continue to wear a mask, continue to distance, avoid crowded spaces while we get vaccination coverage up. maria, on the point of getting vaccination coverage up, - you have heard us talking about jabs for 12 to 15 year olds - and boosterjabs in the uk - to more than 30 million people. now, you re hearing that - and in some parts of the world in the lowest income countries, it is about two in 100 people, . 2% of populations who have h
i realise that is massively challenging given that we are 21 months into a global pandemic, but these are simple measures that can be used and they work. so our recommendation is to continue to wear a mask, continue to distance, avoid crowded spaces while we get vaccination coverage up. maria, on the point of getting vaccination coverage up, - you have heard us talking about jabs for 12 to 15 year olds and booster i jabs in the uk to more i than 30 million people. now, you re hearing that - and in some parts of the world in the lowest income countries, it is about two in 100 people, . 2% of populations who have had even a single dose of vaccine. should countries like the uk be boosting and vaccinating 12 - to 15 year olds when there is so much vaccine - inequity globally? i think you have answered that
and thanks for having me on. - those other countries? good evening and thanks for having me on. what l and thanks for having me on. what we ve seen in the uk on this very high plasil of cases, since midsummer, when the research listened, and the shape of the academic dummett epidemic reflect the strategy put in place at the time and that s not what other countries you have listed, apart from the us, i cannot speakfor the usa, but those other european countries on the graph, they took a different strategy over the summer thatis different strategy over the summer that is left he countries in quite a different situation right now. does the number different situation right now. does the number of different situation right now. does the number of cases different situation right now. does the number of cases matter or should we only be looking at the number of hospitalisations? we only be looking at the number of hospitalisations? yes, the number of cases matters. hospitalisations?