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April 18, 2024
After almost a period of a month and half, the mid-cap stocks have been trying to make a comeback. If one looks at their recent performance in the last few days of volatility, it is clear that there is not much selling pressure. If one goes on by the market breadth, there are indications that bulls might be back in control. Keep an eye on liquidity and the market breadth in the next few sessions as that will determine what happens to mid-cap stocks in the medium term. If the market breadth stays...
April 18, 2024
Probably NBFC is the only sector,which has produced both, the best and the worst. Best of the wealth creators like Bajaj finance and worst of the nightmare for shareholders like DHFL. Why can only the NBFC sector throw such divergent companies ? There is a good reason for it, probably the cleanup which RBI has been doing for the last few months is once again reinforcing that it is the parent company and the discipline which the promoters follow which matter the most. As it happens with other sec...
April 12, 2024
If one looks at some sectors, despite being in existence for ages, most of the players are small or mid-sized players. For example sugar, there is hardly a largecap company in that sector. Similar is the case with textiles, it is mostly dominated by small or medium-sized players. There is a reason for it. In the case of textiles, right from having labour issues to smaller Asian countries becoming more competitive in terms of cost of production, and tariffs readjustment due to WTO norms different...
April 12, 2024
Rs 33.44 / Rs 34.41 / 13.05% will these three numbers change how the Nifty behaves in next few days. By the time you are reading this, headlines about TCS beating the Q4 estimate would be running on the ticker. The question is what determines that the company has beaten the estimates and how it makes a difference to the fortune of these shareholders of the company and street and nifty as a whole. In the case of TCS, the estimated EPS for Q4 the analysts was Rs 33.44 for the Q4 for FY 24 and the ...
April 11, 2024
Just a little nudge by the market regulator and if one looks at the flow to the mutual fund in the month of March, the flows have moved toward large cap mutual funds and the performance of the stocks has been better. One thing which every investor makes a distinction between is the narrative on the street and reality. The question which needs to be asked is whether on the real business side, which is the actual bottomline of the companies, have the large cap well established companies have done ...
April 11, 2024
After almost a period of a month and half, the mid-cap stocks have been trying to make a comeback.If one looks at the March data for the mutual funds, it is clear that while there has been a decline in the flows going to mid-cap schemes, but it is no where to extent which was being feared when SEBI has indicated that it is slightly concerned about money coming to mid-cap scheme and hence froth building up in mid cap space. If one goes on by the market breadth, there are indications that it migh...
April 11, 2024
Analysts projects are not bullish, they hardly expect any gains, but the hard fact, sometimes staying glued to excel sheet and earning projections makes one cautious more than it is required. Even the recent price moves are indicating that the street is getting ready to re-rate part of the auto sector, or rather has already done it. Whether it be large OEM or auto ancillary companies. Should one be ready to ignore the pessimism of analysts and move to take exposure for both a tactical trade and ...
April 10, 2024
When it comes to small cap stock there is an interesting equation between desire and challenge. Desire keeps moving up and down but the challenge of finding the right stocks is always present. Lets just look at what happened in the last three months. In January, 2024, the desire to own them was extremely high, then came March 2024 and we saw them getting beaten like anything. Come April, as the nifty recovers, some of these small caps are making a comeback. If the market stays under the control ...
April 10, 2024
In the last four trading sessions, two private sector banks have seen significant development both related to their shareholding. First is the case where the news came out that FII’s have reduced their holding and in another case a private equity investor sold its stake through a block deal. After both announcements, the stock prices moved up sharply. A number of times in stocks, where there is big institutional holding, there are phases, where it is more of technical reason which keeps t...
April 10, 2024
While government policy impacts every sector in one way or another, there are some sectors where government policy is the most important factor both for growth and survival. Why it is important, because all of the spending in that sector is done by the government, it could be central or the state government. At first, it was the central government, but if one looks at how important it has become for gaining political capital, every state government has been focusing on road and highway construct...