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September 13, 2018
It will bring the waves and the wind and that surge that we have been talking about. the center of the storm about 200 miles offshore. it is moving at a terrific base pace, but it will sit over the carolina coast for 36 hours at least. winds gust to 125. just as you say it weakened, keep in mind most storms move in quickly. this storm will not. while structures may be able to with hand 100 mile per hour winds, will they be able to sustain 100 mile per hour winds for 24 or 36 hours? that will be ...
September 13, 2018
Damage. as tom mentioned, theyre all completely different. >> pushed my hairline back half an inch. you mentioned the wave 83 feet. people will look at the data and say the face of it was only 35, 40. we measure from the back of the wave from meteorology because that indicates the force that is pushing along with that water. thats what creates surge. what do you see in these numbers? >> that wave was on the northern right side of the >> if its coming this way, its over here. >> right. so, this i...
September 13, 2018
Created even though it made landfall as a 3 a record 2-foot storm surge. early this morning, a wave height reported in that northeastern quadrant was 83 feet staggering the imagination. so the wall of water is still underneath this storm. the surge is going to be the same. the threat for loss of life and loss of property does not change. so do not pay attention to these numbers. it never was about that. it was about where the storm has come from, how strong it is, the vulnerable coastline and th...
September 13, 2018
Say the face of it was only 35, 40. we measure from the back of the wave from meteorology because that indicates the force that is pushing along with that water. thats what creates surge. what do you see in these numbers? >> that wave was on the northern right side of the storm. if you took the storm and drew a pie across it, the wave height was up here. >> if its coming this way, its over here. >> right. so, this is the worst part of the storm. that quadrant, right front quadrant. to get off wh...
September 13, 2018
Florence is now as well. because it has been so strong for so long, earlier today there was a wave height measured of 84 feet in the bottom right quadrant, the front right quadrant of the storm. all of that wave action is moving towards the short andnd tomorrow its going to slow down and its forward progression. heres the ocean temperature. its got to go still over the gulf stream, thats the warmest water is, plenty of fuel there to at least maintain the category 3 strength right now the forecas...
September 13, 2018
Almost the same size as katrina. with all the damage katrina did, it came on shore as a category three, which is what florence is now as well. because it has been so strong for so long, earlier today there was a wave height measured of 8t quadrant, the front right quadrant of the storm. all of that wave action is moving towards the short and tomorrow its going to slow down and its forward progression. heres the ocean temperature. its got to go still over the gulf stream, thats the warmest water ...
October 7, 2017
Is critical to forecasting the path of the storm. >> i could talk to you for hours about this. just fascinating in terms of scientific perspective. appreciate your time. stay safe up there. >> well, yeah, i just do want to emphasize to your audience. dont pay too much attention to whether its a category 1 or category 2 storm. this storm is generating a very large wind field. the wave height at buoys south of new orleans are very, very high. and all that energy is going to hit the coast and so yo...
September 9, 2017
Increases by 20% or 30% more. so a lot of people who think theyre high up and theyre escaping a lot of things, theyre actually still in a lot of danger because theres less friction the higher you go. when youre down around the ground, a lot more friction. so the higher you go, the higher those winds are expected. theres just a lot of dynamics here. >> can i ask you another question is this. >> sure. >> so you mentioned the storm surge. on top of that, karen, dont you have waves too, wave height ...
September 9, 2017
And the other 2/3 have probably cleared out. staying may not be the worst thing if you have a particularly sturdy house and if youre not going to be serious storm surge. you cant give generic advice to people saying it might be okay to stay when you know for many of them it would not be. >> that also depends on where you are and no one really knows exactly. we know its going to hit florida but exactly where its going to hit and you have to look at a storm surge on top of that, mayor and the wave...
September 9, 2017
About it tracking a few miles this way or a few dozen miles that way, are those not going to make a material difference for this giant a storm. question one, how good are the predictions of where its going. question two, is the sheer size of this storm so overwhelming that the subtle differences in the tracks dont matter. two more questions. third, i know there are people who dont understand this part but i do not. i dont get the relationship between sea level and wave height and storm surge and...