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"What If We Are Wrong": Goldman Reruns Market Forecasts Assuming Its Key Assumptions Are All Wrong

by Tyler Durden Sunday, Jun 27, 2021 - 08:50 PM Halfway through 2021, the S&P 500 closed at an all time high and stands just 1% below Goldmans year-end price target of 4300. So far so good, but as the banks chief equity strategist David Kostin concedes, his forecasts are conditional on macro assumptions: "Inflation will diminish, interest rates will rise, and a portion of President Biden’s fiscal plan will pass into law." And, as Kostin writes in his Weekly Kickstart note, "this future is not...
United States David Kostin Health Care President Biden Weekly Kickstart Real Estate

Goldman:"Don't Fight The Fed" - The Fed Wants Higher Inflation, And It Will Get It

by Tyler Durden Sunday, Apr 11, 2021 - 08:10 PM Summarizing investor sentiment in his Weekly Kickstart note, Goldmans David Kostin writes that three macro issues dominated investor discussions about the US equity market since the start of the year: rates, inflation, and taxes. Not surprisingly, interest rates have been the most important of these topics. In a rising interest rate environment, short duration outperforms long duration in both fixed income and equities and sure enough, of all Go...
United States Goldman David Kostin Michael Wilson Weekly Kickstart David Kostin Die Again

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