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Silver Swans, Maginot Lines and the Unforeseen Risks of Collapse – Investment Watch

Many people have heard of Nassim Taleb’s  black swan but fewer understand how few events qualify as  black swans. Per Wikipedia,  a black swan is an unpredictable or unforeseen event, typically one with extreme consequences, an event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, severe impact, and the widespread insistence they were obvious in hindsight. Taleb’s black swan th...
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