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The Only Way to Get Ahead Now Is Crazy-Risky Speculation – Investment Watch

It’s all so pathetic, isn’t it? The only way left to get ahead in America is to leverage up the riskiest gambles. It’s painfully obvious that the only way left to get ahead in America is crazy-risky speculation, but nobody seems to even notice this stark and stunning reality. Why are people piling into crazy-risky bets on speculative vehicles like Gamestop and Dogecoin? The obvious answer is because others have reaped a decade or two of wages in a few weeks, and skimming a couple hundred...
United States Bureau Of Labor Statistics Federal Reserve Wall Street Labor Statistics Corporate America

America's Fatal Synergies – Investment Watch

America’s financial system and state are themselves the problems, yet neither system is capable of recognizing this or unwinding their fatal synergies. why do some systems/states emerge from crises stronger while similar systems/states collapse? Put another way: take two very similar political-social-economic systems/nation-states and two very similar crises, and why does one system not just survive but emerge better adapted while the other system/state fails? The answer lies in what author ...
United States Charles Hugh Smith Geoffrey Parker Fatal Synergies Benign Synergies Global Crisis

Our Fragile, Brittle Stock Market – Investment Watch

This heavily managed ‘market structure’ is far from equilibrium and extremely prone to instability. The relentless melt-up in stocks offers ample evidence that the market is rock-solid and that any decline is an enormous opportunity to  buy the dip. That this has worked splendidly for the past 13 years cannot be denied. This doesn’t necessarily guarantee the next 13 years will merely be an extension of the same trend. The market’s sources of fragility and brittleness are well cloaked...
John Maynard Keynes Alan Greenspan Charles Hugh Smith International Monetary Fund Foreign Affairs Global Financial Meltdown

What Would Happen If the Fed Ceased to Exist? – Investment Watch

Extremes get more extreme until risk breaks out; then the reversal will be as extreme as the bubble expansion. What would happen if the Federal Reserve ceased to exist? We all know the answer: global markets would instantly collapse and the global financial system, now entirely dependent on Fed stimulus, intervention, manipulation,  free money for financiers and endless printing of trillions of dollars out of thin air, would crash, leaving nothing but a steaming, fetid pile of corruption inf...
Richard Bonugli Federal Reserve Shrinking Planet Great Fire Final Fall Democratic Republic

When Social Capital Becomes More Valuable Than Financial Capital – Investment Watch

This devaluation of financial wealth–and its transformation to a dangerous liability– will reach extremes equal to the current extremes of wealth-income inequality. Financial capital–money–is the Ring that rules them all. But could this power fall from grace? Continuing this week’s discussion of the idea that that extremes lead to reversions, let’s consider the bedrock presumption of the global economy, which is that  money is the most valuable thing in the Universe because the o...
New York United States Charles Hugh Smith Richard Bonugli Jeffery Epstein Gilded Age

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Can 20 Years of Deflation Be Compressed into Two Years? We're About to Find Out – Investment Watch

The absolutely last thing anyone expects is a collapse of all the asset bubbles, i.e. a  deflation of assets that reverses the full 20 years of bubble-utopia since 2000. The consensus is universal: assets will continue to loft ever higher, forever and ever, because  the Fed has our back, i.e. central banks will create trillions out of thin air without any consequence other than assets lofting ever higher. This research paper from the San Francisco Federal Reserve begs to differ. Here is an...
San Francisco United States Richard Bonugli San Francisco Federal Reserve Longer Run Economic Consequences Black Death

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