smoke. heather: the u.s. hit with lousy unemployment numbers this week. bad news for the million out of work. if history is any indication, not good news for president obama. in the past 30 plus years only president reagan won reelection when the unemployment rate was over 7%. right now the unemployment rate, more than 9%. 9.1. can president obama obama buck the trend in 2012? here now democratic strategist. and youth reach youth outreach director. thank you both for joining us. thank you. heather: justin i ll begin with you. can president obama buck this trend? will he be reelected? can he as unemployment numbers continue to be so large, if