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Pakistan-India peace - Newspaper

Climate change, rich-poor gap, conflict likely to grow -U S intelligence report

4 Min Read WASHINGTON, April 8 (Reuters) - Disease, the rich-poor gap, climate change and conflicts within and among nations will pose greater challenges in coming decades, with the COVID-19 pandemic already worsening some of those problems, a U.S. intelligence report said on Thursday. The rivalry between China and a U.S.-led coalition of Western nations likely will intensify, fueled by military power shifts, demographics, technology and “hardening divisions over governance models,” said Global Trends 2040, produced by the U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC). Regional powers and non-state actors may exert greater influence, with the likely result “a more conflict-prone and volatile geopolitical environment” and weakened international cooperation, it said.

Intelligence Report Warns of Potentially Catastrophic Shocks From Threats Like Tech and Disease

Intelligence Report Warns of Potentially Catastrophic Shocks From Threats Like Tech and Disease A new intelligence report on the key trends and uncertainties in the future strategic environment for the United States warns of a series of “global challenges” that will strain societies and deliver shocks that could be catastrophic, including technological disruption, financial crises, and disease. The report from the U.S. National Intelligence Council (pdf), published once every four years, examines the forces and dynamics likely to shape the national security environment over the next 20 years. It also describes five potential scenarios for the world in 2040 with three defined chiefly by the U.S.-China rivalry and two others impacted mostly by a cascade of intersecting problems like health and terrorist threats.

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