Explained: SUTRA Model s Third Wave Predictions â How, When, What
by Swarajya Staff - Jul 3, 2021 05:13 AM
Prof. Manindra Agrawal
Snapshot
The SUTRA team came up with three different scenarios: optimistic, intermediate, and pessimistic â and in the last case, the third wave will be comparable to the first one.
The SUTRA model for Covid-19 pandemic predicts a third wave to occur between October and November this year.
SUTRA, which stands for Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach, is a mathematical model for pandemics developed by M Agrawal (IIT Kanpur), M Kanitkar (Integrated Defence Staff), and M Vidyasagar (IIT Hyderabad).
The model is unique as it incorporates for a large numbers of undetected asymptomatic patients apart from the known asymptomatic and infected cases.
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