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Pandemic Taking A Lasting Bite Out Of U S -China Trade
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U S -China Trade Recovery Slows to Near Stall In May 2021
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How Much Time Did The Coronavirus Pandemic Cost In U.S.-China Trade?
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Source: AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez, File
One year and one coronavirus pandemic after the U.S. and China agreed to the Phase 1 trade deal in January 2020, the trailing twelve month average of the combined value of goods traded between the two countries has returned to its November 2019 level.
At $47.6 billion, this measure is now roughly at the level a no coronavirus pandemic projected for March-April 2020. One way to think about that result is that it means the coronavirus pandemic has cost the U.S. and China the equivalent of 9 and a half months worth of lost trade. Here s a chart showing the combined value of U.S. exports to China and imports from China in the period from January 2008 through January 2021, where you can see how different this measure is from what could have been.
U.S.-China Trade Surged In December 2020
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Source: AP Photo/File
Year over year, the value of goods traded between the U.S. and China surged in December 2020. The following chart shows that surge as measured by the year-over-year growth rate of the exchange rate adjusted value of U.S. exports to China (red) and U.S. imports from China (blue).
Taking a step back to look at the modern history of trade between the U.S. and China, we see that the level of goods traded between the two countries has swung from an extreme low a year ago to nearly recover to pre-trade war highs.
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