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3Q growth rebounds to 1 5% after 16 3% contraction in 2Q

Contraction of 5.3% for first 3 quarters  But Govt. optimistic of 4Q recovery and 5.5% growth in 2021  Agri shows strongest growth of 4.3%, Industries 0.6%, services S.1% Industry shrank 23.1%, Services 12.9% and Agri 5.9% in 2Q Growth rebounded to 1.5% in the 3Q after a severe contraction of 16.3% in 2Q, the Census and Statistics Department (CSD) said yesterday, releasing long-awaited data, which also revised slightly down the 1Q growth from -1.6% to -1.7%.  The latest data indicates that Sri Lanka’s growth contracted 5.3% for the first three quarters for 2020 and could end the year with further downward growth given the partial curfews imposed due to the second COVID-19 wave in October. In its mid-year forecast the Central Bank predicted a contraction of 1.7% for the entire year while Budget 2021 has predicted a robust turnaround of 5.5% growth for next year.

November 2020 Headline Industrial Production Improves But Remains In Contraction

November 2020 Headline Industrial Production Improves But Remains In Contraction The headlines say seasonally adjusted Industrial Production (IP) improved month-over-month - but remains deep in contraction year-over-year. Our analysis shows the three-month rolling average improved. Analyst Opinion of Industrial Production The best way to view this is the 3-month rolling averages which improved. Industrial production increased 0.4 percent in November. After having fallen 16.5 percent between February and April, the level of the index has risen to about 5 percent below its pre-pandemic (February) reading. In November, manufacturing output advanced 0.8 percent for its seventh consecutive monthly gain. An increase of 5.3 percent for motor vehicles and parts contributed significantly to the gain in factory production; excluding motor vehicles and parts, manufacturing output moved up 0.4 percent. The output of utilities declined 4.3 percent, as warmer-than-usual temperatures reduced th

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