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Blind optimism on GDP growth × The projected 10.5% GDP growth for this year seems far-fetched, as the Covid second wave is bound hit the economy hard The severity, penetration and pervasiveness of the second wave of the Covid pandemic the raises new questions on the optimism of the authorities in India as also of the multilateral institutions like the IMF and ADB on growth revival, particularly the projection of a 10.5 per cent increase in real GDP in 2021-22 over the previous year. It is easy to see how and why this is not achievable, for certain. A growth of 10.5 per cent means the India’s real GDP must grow from ₹134,08,882 crore (official 2020-21 figure) to ₹148,16, 815 crore, an increase of around ₹14-lakh crore. We have not achieved this in the best of times. To say we will do it now is but blind optimism that hinders rather than helps any analysis that must guide policy in these difficult times.

Union budgetLong term repo operationTargeted long term repo operationsOpen market operationsMeans advancesCentral governmentConsumer price index combinedFlexible inflation targetingதொழிற்சங்கம் பட்ஜெட்நீண்டது கால ரெப்போ செயல்பாடுஇலக்கு நீண்டது கால ரெப்போ செயல்பாடுகள்திறந்த சந்தை செயல்பாடுகள்மைய அரசுநுகர்வோர் ப்ரைஸ் குறியீட்டு ஒருங்கிணைந்த