Whoâs Winning the New York Mayorâs Race? Even Pollsters Are Confused.
The cityâs new system of ranked-choice voting, along with a crowded field of Democrats, has complicated efforts to do comprehensive voter surveys.
None of the three major public pollsters in the New York area have done comprehensive surveys in the New York City mayorâs race.Credit.Amr Alfiky/The New York Times
May 25, 2021, 5:00 a.m. ET
Much of the focus of the New York City mayoral race has centered on one or two perceived front-runners: Andrew Yang, the 2020 presidential candidate, and Eric Adams, the Brooklyn borough president.
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No, really: Adams said he kept a list of must-have endorsers topped by Espaillat’s name under his pillow and prayed over it, lighting candles for good measure. “Finally, Jesus Christ looked down on me and brought me Congressman Espaillat,” Adams said at a rally in Washington Heights.
A Siena College Research Institute poll released Monday found that Cuomo remaining on the job is supported by 49 percent of voters, a drop of two percentage points from his level of support in the same poll conducted in April.
While voters are split over whether he should resign, a majority agree that he should not stand for reelection in the upcoming New York gubernatorial election, set to take place next year.
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Fifty-seven percent of voters said in the poll that they would prefer a different candidate win the 2022 election, while 33 percent said they still planned to vote for Cuomo should he run again.
ALBANY, N.Y. New York state Attorney General Tish James did better than Gov. Andrew Cuomo in a hypothetical gubernatorial matchup against an unnamed Republican opponent, according to a new survey released by the Siena College Research Institute on Monday.
The poll also showed that the embattled governor s own favorability ratings have stabilized after several months of decline. He has become enmeshed in several scandals, leading James to open an investigation while the state Assembly considers articles of impeachment.
Turning to next year s gubernatorial election, voters said they’d prefer James over an unnamed Republican by a margin of 46-29. That’s a 17-point lead.
4:42
New Yorkers are unhappy with embattled New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, but a poll shows they don’t think he should resign.
A poll taken in early March found 51 percent of New York voters felt the third-term Democrat should not immediately resign as he denied sexual harassment allegations and faced multiple investigations.
Siena’s Steve Greenberg says a new survey conducted last week finds voters now say Governor Cuomo should not resign by a 49-41 percent margin. One has to look at a pint glass with eight ounces of liquid in it, and decide if that glass is half-full or half-empty. Cuomo defenders will point to the uptick in his favorability and re-elect ratings. A solid majority continuing to approve of his handling of the pandemic. And more voters still say he should not resign, rather than he should resign immediately. His favorability and job performance ratings, they know, are better now than they were in February 2020, the month before the pandemic. But on the othe