3rd Wave of COVID-19... 3rd Wave of COVID-19 Likely to Hit India by October, 2nd Wave to End in July: IIT Kanpur After analyzing COVID-19 data collected from the study, it was found that a third wave may start from October. However, the impact of this 3rd wave cannot be predicted. | 10 May 2021 5:39 AM GMT NEW DELHI: As India is yet to reach its peak of the second wave of COVID-19, a mathematical study conducted by the IIT Kanpur scientists predicted that India may face the third wave of COVID-19 infections in October 2021. According to reports, IIT Kanpur scientists used the mathematical model formula to conduct the study and claim that the COVID-19 situation in Maharashtra has already peaked and will begin to see a decline in cases while Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Gujarat, and West Bengal are currently at peak and will start receding soon.