Course a party for whom it is in their political d. N. A. To get out of the European Union they have got 0 m. P. s all the predictions were that bracks it would get 0 the top line on the mr Johnson Boris johnson has got precisely what he wanted hes got more than what he wanted lets bring in Chris Hopkins from savannah to commerce chris i have to say this time last night you were saying 6 or 7 maybe hes got a strong king majority thats up there with tony blair back in 97 yeah absolutely i mean it seems to be the. Completely justified if that the post correct which weve got no reason at the state a doubt that it wouldnt be he was committed justified in trying to call this election in order to get a large majority to push back that theyll through. You know he did run a very Safe Campaign and to work for him and youre frankly you know looking at those numbers its a disaster its not for the for the labor party will get on to that of course in the coming few hours here on aljazeera on a special broadcast what does he do next once hes given the speech as he will do of course it is just the exit poll thats all it is we are not 12 hours ahead of where we are at the moment its big though so in theory if it does translate into being that he had to get 26. 00 as a minimum to do what he had to do yeah so in theory on monday parliament will sit again or. Sounds like if there was a large conservative majority boris is going to push for queens speech on thursday parliament might even end up sitting loosely over christmas and hes going to want to get back there for as soon as he can and it sounds like hes going to have the numbers to do so at the concert really very very easily his campaign correct me if im wrong here his campaign was photo op photo op photo op easy interview photo op photo op it was him driving the tractor through a polished irene brick wall it was him hiding in the fridge etc we discussed this this time yesterday why did that message get through to the voters and it would appear the labor message of the n. H. S. Is safe with us you get a 2nd referendum and then we might or might not do some sort of intermediate deal with the s. N. P. Up in edinburgh i think if this was the bracks election and it looks for all intensive purposes again if this expo is correct that it was the bricks election then the simple message of getting back to dan will of we clearly has resonated i think there are a number of remain voters up and down the country that will be sick to the back teeth of whats happened over the last few few years i think you know if they might have had the time again they would probably still vote remain but equally they probably think that the result of the referendum should be respected and there may have been some of those that didnt turn out today you know there may be some remain voters that might have even voted voted conservative in order in order just to end you know this stalemate the parliamentary logjam been going on for the last couple of years you know clearly boriss get back to the message if that supposed correct pretty worked ok lets just look at the figures and how they are unpacked one more time for you if youre just joining us here on. This is how people voted in the u. K. Is general election the conservatives it looks like according to those exit polls have got that majority there up at 368. 00 labor on 191. 00. There you see as well liberal democrats on 13 the s. And p. Doing quite well it has to be said 23 of those. Were labeling them as others basically that means people standing on independent tickets in constituencies i think it be fair to say chris constituencies that arent what you might call normal shes talking about the west country youre talking about Devon Cornwall youre talking about wealthy farming constituencies in the south west of scotland places like that yeah im not sure that my mental math might not be up to this time of the evening but i would assume that the 23 might also include the 18 in Northern Ireland so that means that might only be 5 kind of others we did have quite a number of independent standing this elections conservative that. Didnt retain the weapon of chosen the standard independence i think there was also one in the east devon that maybe contribute to that number but i think in general. Those 23 made up with 18 or in our seats to what extent if these figures are right and exit polls have been wrong before 992 famously and that you could gen x. And they got it completely wrong assume for a 2nd this exit poll is correct to what degree we were using this expression last night did people go into the voting booths today on a wet windy midwinter day here in the u. K. Holding their noses metaphorically in going well im not quite sure who to vote for i voted perhaps people who voted for breaks it they voted with their hearts not necessarily was their heads thats what their critics would say how did people decide who to go for this time around i mean again i think they may have voted say they may have voted for the conservatives traditionally they label themselves as not a part of government so the electorate may well have gone to the polls today giving boris the majority that hes i craved in a very similar way to how they didnt give mrs may the majority that she created 2017 i think the or maybe there was even some regret from voters based on what happened 2 years ago and the fact that since then all weve had is a parliamentary logjam nothing has progressed nothing has changed and finally it pays at least at this stage that the electorate has given us a clear decision chris for the moment thanks very much where we have correspondents outside parliament in london as well as in edinburgh and oxbridge. The seat that the Prime Minister. Whos. He wanted. The exit poll it looks like thats precisely what hes going to get. Yes piece of this is true then 360 or 191 for labor the conservative party if this is true and these polls have been wrong before once in 192015 but if this is right then its certainly a working majority of the very least if not a landslide possibly. And the words get bricks it dumb how many times have we heard that phrase internationally not just in the u. K. Its pretty simplistic messaging on one side but it would appear. Boris johnson will claim this is vindication for his hard push for the country to decide the way forward with a general election it had been resisted strongly by the labor party and indeed the other opposition parties because of the timing with the destruction of a whole variety of not necessarily the normal political issues of debate in such a difficult thing as a general election the had been a lot of emphasis put on the National Health service with the u. K. By labor it would have pay labor did very well on this point but no the brics it issue was pushed harder and harder every time Boris Johnson got into what looked like considerable trouble with his style of interviews by turning to be used by his type of messaging he come back to those words get it done get bricks it done the actual building of want to do about pulling out of the your. The an election europeans a union not necessarily full on detail a deal that could put well put the u. K. Out of europe within the end of the month the end of january generally the 31st but then a question mark over the trade deal so theres a long way forward the brics it isnt all over and done with by any means with this result but it does mean that the parliament behind me. Looks if this is true to be. Back in conservative working with joy to territory that would mean that you get the level of to pay for the sort of twisting and turning and Parliament Coming to the decisions that the dont suit the government in power so this is a pretty historic seeing if its true well see if its true you will see the pattern of swing within a matter of hours 1st up. As a round 11 am only less than an hour away but the race to get the 1st. Results in will take place in the north east of england as traditional it wont necessarily give you any bearing on whats happening but then by about 1 am g. M. T. We will see these socalled toll retarget seats these are the labor seats particularly in the north of england labor held seats a marginal some of them where the conservative supposed hard in here is a crucial indicator of how things may have switched because the last opinion poll before people went to vote i came up with some interesting statistics it showed that the number this is so sure groupings being studied in this opinion poll and what the marketing people and the the research is called the blue collar social sector thats thats. What was once called working class but effectively lower salaried families and indeed the unemployed showed a marginal increase in interest support conservative support compared with the middle classes the a. B. C. Ones for example as they termed it which is managerial middle class voters and that is quite extraordinary because its showing that that those perhaps who wanted out of bricks it who were labor supporters found themselves turning conservative and thats what weve been hearing in many parts of the country that is a major factor. Here the other factor thats very clear from from all the research and that the list last opinion poll is the massive number of young people supporting Jeremy Corbyn and feeling that that that they could not trust the conservative party that is colossal the 18 to 34 Year Old Age Group if that it extended from 18 to maybe 60 year old for the sort of lead to the how they were getting you know youre talking leaves of up to 26 points in the opinion polls that this will be a different story you have Jeremy Colbert as the next Prime Minister but no if this is true it could be a landslide for the conservatives under thanks very much ok lets go live now to 90 whos in edinburgh for us monitoring events of course all the scottish capital certain the line from nicolas sturgeon the scottish 1st minister has now been for several weeks a strong vote for the s. N. P. Strengthens the case for a 2nd independence referendum. Absolutely peter and theres been lots and lots of attention here in scotland on exactly how her party would fare. In 2015 serges really knocks labor out in many parts of scotland gens now if we believe those exit polls theyre back up to those levels of 2015 on around 55. 00 westminster seats of course her party wants independence they voted on it here in 2014 and rejected it many people were looking to the s. N. P. As performance in the scenario perhaps of Boris Johnson failing to get a parliamentary majority and perhaps a Coalition Government involving jeremy colemans labor in which nicholas sturgeon has made it quite clear to labor that their price would be a promise of what they call in direct to another referendum on independence next year will cope and has already said that if he were in power that wouldnt happen in the early years of a labor government now were looking at a completely different scenario many people now will be wondering where these this leaves the many people who are very worried about bricks it here in scotland which voted by a majority to remain in the European Union and perhaps for that reason a starting to even if they werent favorable to the independents argument before starting to shift that way and so it really is a complicated picture here in scotland many of the seats in fact 46. 00 of the 59. 00 seats here were deemed to be marginal and we have to still take those exit polls with some caution but for the moment it seems that theres been a breakthrough a further search for the s. N. P. But in westminster the picture now the question for scotland will be well where do they go with this question of independence now that it looks like there will be a government her. By Boris Johnson who many analysts say is still the idea of a hard break sit at the end of 2020 there might not be a trade deal by that time thats a prospect which will worry the many right remain voters here in scotland for the moment thanks very much lets just show you some of the lives his life is coming to us from the sun linda newcastle area thats the constituency that generally declares 1st you can see there are certain urgency there where the running into the counting hole they generally return their result within about i think is about 90 minutes or 2 hours historically theyve always been pretty much always been the 1st to declare sunderland of course very prosperous town in the north east of england facing the north sea that when it comes to the weather getting all that wind and rain coming off the north sea particularly at this time of year if youre just joining us here on this aljazeera news special weve got the exit poll results it looks like the conservatives are going to get and this is a prediction predictions can be wrong they can change theyve been wrong before the conservatives Boris Johnson is going to get 368 seats the labor party 191 the lib dems will get 13 the s. N. P. Will get 55 the brics it party which on paper is actually not a Political Party as such its not constituted as being a Political Party on paper its actually a company how many m. P. s did they get 0 we can talk about that and the dynamic of that a lot of course in the coming hours were joined by emma hayward who is our correspondent covering all aspects of this Boris Johnsons own constituency and his majority is not particularly big and healthy and people are saying he took his eye off the ball to concentrate on the national campaign. Hes been rarely seen here actually peter he was seen though just outside one of the underground stations in the constituency earlier posting pictures on. Twitter looking very confident and youve got to think that he maybe knew that he was going to do well tonight if those exit polls are to be believed here it is busy already we are waiting for the 1st to arrive they usually come in about 10 past 10 here and we get the 1st boxes from the more than 100. 00 polling stations in this constituency we were talking about Boris Johnson if that is to be believed then he will his correct that mantra get this correct that done will simply have worked among the public which will come as a surprise to some people who simply wanted to remain in oxbridge he divides opinion like in many other parts of the country there are some of course who believe they want to have it enjoy having a Prime Minister. Others believe he is the wrong man for the job there has been a Real Campaign to oust him as well Bruno University is home to thousands of students and many of them have been really trying to get behind this campaign to get Boris Johnson not elected in this constituency but we will get to know in the early hours of the morning we expect the declaration to be between about 5 oclock ok and well come back to respect as and when that happens in the meantime well talk to you again in the coming hours to thank you so much. Spreads joining us here in the studio kevin craig a political commentator and donor to the labor party and saeed come all a former conservative m. E. P. Whos now Research Director of the institute of Economic Affairs kevin create if i can come to you 1st what went wrong for Jeremy Corbin well can i go back to what you just said which is that the exit polls have been wrong before ive been very active in this election and i am genuine the staggered by what we have just seen and i do think it is too early to take his red and exit poll predicting a majority of that magnitude has been a difficult election no doubt about that turnout was not helped today by the weather in any in any sense. Yes but i think its too late i genuinely someone whos done many general elections cannot compute the size of that prediction and i think its too early to say that nothing indicated that a majority of that size was coming and certainly none of the data that ive been privy to across the country ok time will tell of course its not an exact science but even if its half of the 368. 00 the majority between the post and how far hes gone beyond that its still incredibly good which means that your guys message of the n. H. S. Is safe with us people decided to go with Something Else and i think its good to be quite honest and show a bit of Emotional Intelligence in politics even a result half of whats predicted would be an awful night for labor it would be were it true an awful night for Jeremy Corbyn im sure that he wouldnt stay in post if that were the case but i think you know there are the next 5 or 6 hours thats when were going to see what actually happened i dont know what side of things but no this is enormous what will come soon a 2nd slate the message though the look after the n. H. S. Message people didnt buy it but maybe that was because people didnt believe it and also people drill down into the figures i mean you know if you look at the figures labor was saying well spend 3. 8 percent more to save the n. H. S. According to the office for fiscal studies here in the u. K. The tories are going to spend 3. 3 percent more so 0. 5 percent more of a spend on expenditure cannot by definition be enough to save the n. H. S. When the people youre up against are going to spend almost the same amount of money well the fact is yes the 1st did say that but also we received credit for proposals that were very well costed and utterly transpire in a way that in the past labor manifestos were and on the n. H. S. You know jeremy did display documents which clearly indicated they had been early stage discussions about. Greater involvement of american corporates in the n. H. S. So i think when i was campaigning you know in constituencies with brilliant m. P. s i marched called over and other leading lights the Labor Movement i found great appetite for a message that said if you only if you were in over 85000. 00 pounds a year would you pay any more tax i found that resonating with people especially the