From cardiff, were caught when rocks tumbled down the face of el capitan. New evidence is unveiled which suggests the drawing on the right could be a sketch for da vincis famous enigmatic masterpiece. Good afternoon and welcome to bbc news. The governor of the bank of england, mark carney, has given another strong hint that Interest Rates will rise this autumn for the first time in a decade. The base rate was cut to the Current Record low of a quarter of i after the eu referendum. The bank has since been under mounting pressure to raise rates to help curb inflation. Mr carney told the bbc that they are likely to rise in the relatively near term. Our correspondent Simon Gompertz reports. It looks like the cost of money, the Interest Rate on the cash we borrow, is about to go up, because this man, the canadian mark carney who runs the bank of england, has wasted no opportunity to ram home, like he did again this moring, that the banks base Interest Rate is on the rise. What we have said is that if the economy continues on the track it has been on, and all indications are that it is, in the relatively near term we can expect that Interest Rates would increase somewhat. The history is that the Bank Base Rate last went up in 2007. Then, after the financial crisis in 2009, it was cut to 0. 5 . And in the wake of the eu referendum, it was reduced again to an emergency low of 0. 25 to calm nerves. Now theres another concern inflation. Prices are rising by an average of nearly 3 a year and that is way above what the bank of england is supposed to allow. And traditionally the way it deals with inflation is to raise Interest Rates, to increase the cost of money, discourage people from spending so much. So in a couple of months time, just as Christmas Shopping gets underway, we may have higher rates so more costly mortgages to contend with. So we think Interest Rates will rise by 0. 25 in november. That will take the base rate back up to 0. 5 where it has been for the past seven years or so. The crucial thing now is what the bank of england does around communication, communicating to businesses and consumers whether this is one and done, just a reversal of the emergency cut post the eu referendum, or whether this is the beginning of a series. This was mr carneys firmest indication yet that he would vote for a rate rise in november, although it is the whole of the bank of englands Monetary Policy committee, nine people including independent economists, who will be taking that decision. Simonjoins us now. What will this mean for the likes of you and me . The sort of 0. 25 increase that people are now expecting robbery from november would mean about £15 a month on the typical variable rate mortgage. That is about half of mortgages, so for a lot of mortgage holders on fixed rates they were given there were affected at all. If you are a saver, you have long drought of savings income because of Interest Rates being so low. So there will be a slight increase the sum people. If you go back more than ten years, we had Bank Base Rate of around 5 . Now it isa had Bank Base Rate of around 5 . Now it is a quarter of 1 and might go up. So initially the impact is not so up. So initially the impact is not so large. But if over the next year 01 so large. But if over the next year or two there are more increases obviously that will affect people more. This is the latest in a series of hints that rates might go up, but how certain can we be that they will . The governor of the bank of england is talking again, he may even referred to as another time. He has only several times. I think it is because the bank is given out signals before that Interest Rates are on the verge of going up and it hasnt happened for one reason or another, so they dont want to be seen as again crying wolf, they want to make it absolutely clear this time that it really is likely to happen and we should expect probably by christmas to seek higher Interest Rates. Thank you, simon. A former senior Civil Servant has urged the government to pause the roll out of its universal credit scheme, which merges six benefits into one. A dozen conservative mps have also written to the work and pensions secretary, david gauke, calling for the roll out to be paused. Dame louise casey , who was honoured for her work in government helping families and Vulnerable People , told the bbc that the time it takes to deliver the payments could push claimants into dire i think they should pause on it. I dont say that lightly. I completely agree that we all should be wedded to the principle and therefore the overall policy that work should pay. Where they are ending up is that benefits will punish, and i dont think that is the intention of anybody here. And it is about delivery, so the overall strategy might be right, the overall intention might be right, but the fa ct of intention might be right, but the fact of the matter is the actual delivery of it means some people because of the waiting time before benefit kicks in will end up in dire circumstances. More dire than i think we have seen in this country the years, and that we have to stop. And i think it is ok occasionally to say we didnt get the implementation com pletely say we didnt get the implementation completely right, lets pause and see what we can do. At the moment everybody is holding outwith, where pressing on, where pressing on. Its likejumping pressing on, where pressing on. Its like jumping over a cliff. Pressing on, where pressing on. Its likejumping over a cliff. 0nce pressing on, where pressing on. Its likejumping over a cliff. Once you jump likejumping over a cliff. Once you jump you end up in the bottom, and we dont want that to happen. Theresa may has said she wants to see eu negotiators respond in kind to the proposals she set out in her speech in florence last week, in order to unlock the brexit talks. Speaking at a summit in estonia, the Prime Minister said she had seen signs to suggest her intervention had broken the deadlock in the negotiations. But the head of the european commission, Jean Claude Junker, warned he didnt think sufficient progress had been made. He said it would take a miracle for trade talks to start next month. Gavin lee is in tallinn for us. This has been billed as a digital summit, but how much is it likely to be overshadowed by brexit . summit, but how much is it likely to be overshadowed by brexit . I think there is an attempt to make sure it isnt overshadowed by brexit, and thatis isnt overshadowed by brexit, and that is the point that theresa may, she is nimbly dancing on the sidelines of this party because emanuel macron came here last night to give his vision that he had outlined in paris earlierfor a more integrated europe, he had said he felt the ten years there had been lifeless eu which had he said David Cameron to call for a referendum which he said he believed David Cameron did not properly call for. It was that yes stay in but referendum. It is about the future, the Digital Future as well. Theresa may was briefed by donald tusk, to say dont talk about brexit. And today she has brief conversations with Angela Merkel about the fact that in three weeks time she will have to find out is their significant progress so far. This is what theresa may had to say when she arrived earlier this morning. I have set out in my foreign speech the progress that weve made on a number of issues and the vision that i have for the deep and special partnership that we can develop with the European Union in future. I am pleased that the negotiations have been making progress and i look forward to developing that deep and special partnership with the eu because i think it is not only in the interests of the uk, its in the interests of the eu as well. As all the leaders arrived earlier today, some of them talked about brexit. I managed to talk to Jean Claude Junker. Its worth saying he is a conduit for these talks, he is the boss of michel barnier, the chief negotiator for the eu. He also has a pinball machine. This is what he had to say. Im saying that between now and october no progress will be made unless miracles can happen. But you are known for your pinball skills, you are a pinball wizard. If brexit was a pinball game, do you feel it is going right direction . We are making progress. Soi so i think even know these talks about Something Else today it is a good point you make. Ultimately is it being overshadowed 7 good point you make. Ultimately is it being overshadowed . The leaders we re it being overshadowed . The leaders were willing to talk about it. In three weeks time they all meet in brussels they will also have to look at is that significant progress on the exit bill, the Citizens Rights, irish border. The lithuanian president. Today we can say that things are a little bit behind schedule and already we are facing additional for brexit. And this is the message we need to be acknowledging to each other is see that. Quite lithuania has no individual interests, its all european interests. And we need to find a joint solution good for all. We know from the talks this morning with Angela Merkel and theresa may, according to downing street Angela Merkel praised theresa may for the florence speech she made last week when she said britain will stay in the eu till 2021 to be able to get out smoothly. The eu leaders have to agree to that. Somebody put it to me this has been about by the way diplomacy, because theresa may nose in three weeks time they have an important vote and so far Jean Claude Junker thinks a miracle would need to happen. Thank you. 25 Asian Countries to participate in summits. The visit will be part of an asia tour that includes china, vietnam and the philippines between the third and fourteenth of november. 0fficials officials said the president s engagements would strengthen the International Resolve to confront the north korean threat. Ukip is set to unveil its fourth leader in just over a year after a contest that has divided the party. Anti islam campaigner anne marie waters is the favourite to win. But as members meet in torquay for their annual conference, many of the partys 20 meps have threatened to resign if she succeeds. 0ne told the bbc it would take ukip down a very dark alley. She faces a strong challenge by the partys deputy leader peter whittle. Patient care is being damaged because of a shortage of nurses, according to the Royal College of nursing, in some cases meaning patients are dying alone on wards. 30 thousand of its members across the uk responded to a survey, with more than half of them saying they were upset after their last shift because they couldnt provide the care they wanted. Heres our correspondent jenny walrond. Ifeel like im spinning plates but the plates are patients. That to me is the worst feeling. I no longer wish to be a nurse. Im not able to provide my patients with even the basics of nursing care due to the constant lack of staff. I failed my patients, colleagues and now my family. I cried all the way home. I drove home from work sobbing today knowing that the patients i care for did not even get a fraction of the level of care that i would consider acceptable. I felt useless, unsafe and out of my depth. I now worry every time i drive to work. The Royal College of nursing asked members in may to describe their last shift. Among more than 30,000 responses, they heard from many nurses describing themselves as exhausted, demoralised and totally to give theexcellentcare do not have the time to provide the caring aspect. The rcn is now calling for legislation guaranteeing safe and effective nurse staffing. It says members are reporting delays in giving essential medication such as insulin for diabetics and antibiotics for sepsis. Patients wetting their beds because there was no one to help them to the bathroom. And people dying alone. I think we have now got to the stage where the nhs is in the worst level that i have seen it in my a0 year career as a nurse. And i think we are now seeing patient care suffer because of it. The department of health said there are over 11,000 more nurses on the wards than seven years ago and it has committed to funding an extra 10,000 posts for nurses and other Health Workers by 2020. But the rcn says that is just a drop in the ocean. Nhs providers, which represents hospitals and other health trusts, says the report is a powerful reminder of the relentless pressures faced by front line staff. Jenny walrond, bbc news. The headlines on bbc news the governor of the bank of england gives his clearest signal yet that Interest Rates are set to rise for the first time in ten years. The government is urged to halt the roll out of the universal credit benefit system amid warnings that families could be left homeless and destitute. The aviation minister says ryanair has behaved disgracefully towards its passengers for its handling of the cancellation of thousands of flights. And in sport Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola says hell meet with Sergio Aguero this afternoon following the strikers crash in holland which puts him in doubt for this weekends clash with chelsea. Dele alli will miss englands next world cup qualifier hes been banned for one International Match by fifa following that hand gesture during a match earlier this month. England have removed the dangerous chris gayle in their fifth and final one Day International against the west indies. He went for a quickfire a0. A moment ago the windies were 86 for two. Ill be back with more on those stories later. Three former tesco executives are in court over their alleged role in a multi Million Pound accounting scandal. The supermarkets former managing director, its finance director and food commercial director are accused of helping to inflate the companys profits in 2014. All three men deny charges of fraud by abuse of position, and false accounting. 0ur correspondent Adina Campbell is at Southwark Crown court. What has the Court Hearing . This afternoon the prosecution has been outlining its case involving these three men accused of fraud and false accounting, dating back to this scandal back in 2014. This is considered to be one of the most high profile prosecutions by the Serious Fraud office. As i say, these three men at the centre of the trial held senior positions at tesco backin trial held senior positions at tesco back in 2014. They are the brought formerfinance back in 2014. They are the brought former finance director, for now fine managing director, and the uk commercial directorfor fine managing director, and the uk commercial director for food. The Serious Fraud office started investigating the case back in 2014 after tesco was forced to admit that it had overstated its profits by approximately £250 million. The three men are accused of failing to rectify those figures and publishing the correct figures to all gritters to wider members of the community, and to tesco employees. Today the prosecutors said the three men were involved in so called white collar crime. They say they were not the foot soldiers but in fact the general soldiers who were in these high paid positions and were responsible and accountable for these wrong numbers. Prosecutors say these wrong numbers. Prosecutors say the men grossly inflated their profits and accused them of cooking the books and mass are showing the figures. Thejury was the books and mass are showing the figures. The jury was also told about the compensation packages which involved salary, benefits and shares, amounting to more than one 01 shares, amounting to more than one or £2 million each. We also heard some of the tesco employees resigned from their prestigious roles within the company because they didnt want to allegedly become involved in illegitimate accounting processes. This of course led to a huge scandal. It sent shock waves through the stock exchange, £12 billion wiped off and leading to tesco having to admit that their numbers we re having to admit that their numbers were in fact wrong. The three men of course deny the charges, they have pleaded not guilty, they deny any wrongdoing, and the trial here is expected to last the three months. The aviation minister, lord callanan, has accused ryanair of behaving disgracefully towards its passengers for its handling of the cancellation of thousands of flights. The Civil Aviation authority accused the airline of persistently misleading passengers about the kind of compensation they can claim. Ryanair says it will fully comply with all the requirements. Lets speak now to coby benson, who is a flight delay compensation solicitor at the law firm bott and co. Hes in our salford studio. Thank you for talking to us. If an airline cancels flights as ryanair has done, how clear is the law on what needs to be done . The law is extremely clear. It is very simple. If your flight has been cancelled and a passenger has less than 14 days notice they are entitled to compensation. As long as it was not caused by extraordinary circumstances. Rya nair have caused by extraordinary circumstances. Ryanair have already admitted it is not an extraordinary circumstance, it s