FIghters and destroyIng thousands of houses, just hopIng at mIdnIght they have allowed aeroplanes. ThIs attack came wIth thIs context, all the attempts were faIled. The resIstance remaIned strong. ThIs Is the hIghest way of crImInalIty. ThIs Is the hIghest way of crImInalI. ~ u, crImInalIty. We wIll contInue to monItor crImInalIty. We wIll contInue to monItor because crImInalIty. We wIll contInue to monItor because I crImInalIty. We wIll contInue | to monItor because I suspect thIs Is goIng to go on for some whIle. We saId a lIttle earlIer that there were those reports of jets flyIng over that there were those reports ofjets flyIng over beIrut. Hugo pacheco put up the pIctures of the skylIne over that cIty, also confIrmIng that he can see and hear those jets flyIng at low altItude just as Hassan Nasrallah started gIvIng that speech. Let me brIng In James Landau and frank gardner. Just as a quIck asIde, frankly, we dont know the locatIon of thIs News Conference or address. There wIll be paranoIa wIthIn hezbollah, gIven everythIng that has happened over the last two days and events over the last few months. I events over the last few month events over the last few months. , months. I would be surprIsed If It Wasnt known months. I would be surprIsed If It Wasnt known where months. I would be surprIsed If It Wasnt known where hassan l It Wasnt known where Hassan Nasrallah Was. But to assassInate hIm would be seen assassInate hIm would be seen as a step too far. I would slIghtly temper our expectatIons as to how much of a clue we are goIng to get from hIs speech because there Is a lot of rhetorIc here, there Is a lot of anger and fIery words, but he Is not goIng to go and announce what theIr operatIonal plans are. Hezbollah are reelIng and are In no posItIon to fIght a war wIth anybody. They are completely nonplussed as to how they are goIng to communIcate between the leadershIp In the south of beIrut wIth all theIr scattered unIts In Southern Lebanon and syrIa. They are on the back foot rIght now. Iran Is reportedly tellIng them, weIght, revenge, fIne, but serve It cold. Do It at the rIght tIme, dont go and lash out now. We can expect probably a few more exchanges, rocket and drone exchanges across the northern border but there wIll be pressure on Hassan Nasrallah to do somethIng bIgger than they have done before, but at they have done before, but at the same tIme, hIs country, lebanon, wIll be callIng on hIm for restraInt. For restraInt. James, there have been for restraInt. James, there have been so for restraInt. James, there have been so many for restraInt. James, there have been so many calls I for restraInt. James, there l have been so many calls for restraInt over the last 48 hours. I am just readIng emmanuel macron, the latest to pass on messages to hezbollah to avoId escalatIon agaIn In the regIon and callIng on Israel And Hezbollah to avoId an all out war. That I suppose Is an echo of the message we have heard from Antony BlInken as he shuffles around varIous capItal Is. As he shuffles around varIous capItal Is capItal Is. The hope Is that the RealIty CapItal Is. The hope Is that the realIty that capItal Is. The hope Is that the realIty that most capItal Is. The hope Is that the realIty that most sIdesj the realIty that most sIdes seem the realIty that most sIdes seem to the realIty that most sIdes seem to understand, Is that allout seem to understand, Is that all out war Is not to anybodys benefIt all out war Is not to anybodys benefIt. But the trouble Is they benefIt. But the trouble Is they are benefIt. But the trouble Is they are begInnIng to rely on that, they are begInnIng to rely on that, as they are begInnIng to rely on that, as If they are begInnIng to rely on that, as If that wIll ultImately get both sIdes Into the rIght place on thIs. And the rIght place on thIs. And the thIng Is though, that as thIs the thIng Is though, that as thIs goes on, we escalate from step thIs goes on, we escalate from Step Two thIs goes on, we escalate from Step Two step. Frank Is absolutely rIght. The IranIans wIll be absolutely rIght. The IranIans wIll be seeIng cautIon, but the IranIans wIll be seeIng cautIon, but the IranIans themselves have yet to respond IranIans themselves have yet to respond to the kIllIng of the hamas respond to the kIllIng of the Hamas Leader In tIran. So they are stIll Hamas Leader In tIran. So they are stIll waItIng to respond. What are stIll waItIng to respond. What Is are stIll waItIng to respond. What Is InterestIng what we have what Is InterestIng what we have heard from Hassan Nasrallah Is InterestIng, are facIng nasrallah Is InterestIng, are facIng up to the musIc. It Was a major facIng up to the musIc. It Was a major blow and unprecedented what a major blow and unprecedented what the a major blow and unprecedented what the organIsatIon has receIved but It Is also a Pep Talk receIved but It Is also a Pep Talk he receIved but It Is also a Pep Talk. He saId thIs major blow wIll not talk. He saId thIs major blow wIll not brIng us down. Through thIs experIence we wIll go stronger. In other words what we are stronger. In other words what we are seeIng thIs afternoon Is not an we are seeIng thIs afternoon Is not an announcement of what the revenge not an announcement of what the Revenge Response wIll be, It Is an ok Revenge Response wIll be, It Is an ok we Revenge Response wIll be, It Is an ok we have taken a hIt but we can an ok we have taken a hIt but we can come through It. In other we can come through It. In other words thIs Is a leader of an organIsatIon that has taken an organIsatIon that has taken a hIt an organIsatIon that has taken a hIt and an organIsatIon that has taken a hIt and Is stIll standIng and wIll get a hIt and Is stIll standIng and wIll get the next phase. Whether or not hezbollah supporters by that, or they reel supporters by that, or they reel from thIs, Is because of theIr reel from thIs, Is because of theIr Morale Blow they have suffered. But thIs Is a leader tryIng suffered. But thIs Is a leader tryIng to suffered. But thIs Is a leader tryIng to brIng an organIsatIon together tryIng to brIng an organIsatIon together sayIng we have taken a hIt but together sayIng we have taken a hIt but we together sayIng we have taken a hIt but we can move forward. That hIt but we can move forward. That Is hIt but we can move forward. That Is a hIt but we can move forward. That Is a good poInt to brIng In frank because there wIll be people watchIng around the world as we are broadcastIng thIs, perhaps not as knowledgeable as you about Hassan Nasrallah and hezbollah. Just explaIn how long he has been leadIng that group and the group Itself In terms of Its fIrepower and what we have seen In the last 12 months wIth the exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah Sd BrIna Exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up In exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up In the exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up In the 1980s Exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up In the 1980s as exchange wIth Israel. Hezbollah sd brIng up In the 1980s as the | sd brIng up In the 1980s as the result of the IslamIc RevolutIon In Iran and as a result of Israels InvasIon of Lebanon And Israel occupIed Lebanon And Israel occupIed lebanon for quIte some tIme. They have become the most powerful non State Force In the MIddle East. Hassan nasrallah Is theIr leader. He Is a man wIth Impeccable relIgIous credentIals. He Is branded as a TerrorIst Leader by Israel and Its frIends. The 2006 lebanon Israel war, whIch Was fought close to that border and I Was down Injerusalem coverIng that and I remember Israel thought It could defeat hezbollah wIth aIr power. The chIef saId we can do thIs, we have got thIs, we have massIve fIrepower and we have massIve fIrepower and we can bomb hezbollah out of the southern border. They dIdnt. They eventually had to go In on the ground wIth theIr tanks and hezbollah had already pre posItIoned all theIr mInds, as In explosIve booby traps, theIr off Road Route mInds that would explode In the tanks. They thought the tanks were InvIncIble and could not stand up InvIncIble and could not stand up to the hezbollah fIrepower. That 32 Day War ended In 2006 InconclusIvely. NeIther sIde Was the wInner. Both sIdes. I mean hezbollah took more of a batterIng. SInce then they have rearmed, retraIned, restock and replenIsh themselves. They have now got a massIve arsenal, much of It underground, much of It hIdden In cIvIlIan areas, that Is cocked and aImed at IsraelI cItIes, at mIlItary barracks, at hIgh RIse Apartment buIldIngs etc. Israel knows that, should thIs descend Into a full Scale War, however much help It Is goIng to get from amerIca wIth Its offshore fleet, It Is goIng make It Is goIng to take a serIous hIt. It Is goIng to be very paInful. These are some of the constraInIng factors. When people say are we on the brInk, Israel Is goIng to thInk twIce. It Is moved up from gaza so they now have two dIvIsIons In they now have two dIvIsIons In the north, 20,000 plus. That doesnt necessarIly mean to say they are automatIcally goIng to Invade.. , they are automatIcally goIng to Invade... Invade. James, In terms of Israels Invade. James, In terms of Israels strategy, Invade. James, In terms of Israels strategy, sayIng I Israels strategy, sayIng yesterday, we are goIng Into a new phase of the war, troop movements, your analysIs of that. ,. that. ThIs Is the bIg questIon. As frank Was that. ThIs Is the bIg questIon. As frank Was sayIng that. ThIs Is the bIg questIon. As frank Was sayIng to that. ThIs Is the bIg questIon. As frank Was sayIng to the I as frank Was sayIng to the IsraelIs as frank Was sayIng to the IsraelIs really want to do an open IsraelIs really want to do an open offensIve agaInst hezbollah rIght now . There are some hezbollah rIght now . There are some analysts who say that actually some analysts who say that actually they would prefer to waIt, actually they would prefer to waIt, theyre actually In the long waIt, theyre actually In the long run waIt, theyre actually In the long run they do want to do thIs long run they do want to do thIs but long run they do want to do thIs but rIght now they are stIll thIs but rIght now they are stIll engaged In gaza. The mIlItary stIll engaged In gaza. The mIlItary has been stretched, they mIlItary has been stretched, they need to gIve the Idf some kInd of they need to gIve the Idf some kInd of tIme to rest. They want to do kInd of tIme to rest. They want to do It kInd of tIme to rest. They want to do It In kInd of tIme to rest. They want to do It In a kInd of tIme to rest. They want to do It In a place where they can maxImIse InternatIonal sopport can maxImIse InternatIonal support. I thInk they properly work support. I thInk they properly work out support. I thInk they properly work out that now Is not the tIme work out that now Is not the tIme that work out that now Is not the tIme that they would get that. Not all tIme that they would get that. Not all the ducks are In a row for an not all the ducks are In a row for an IsraelI operatIon rIght now for an IsraelI operatIon rIght now but for an IsraelI operatIon rIght now. But whenever you talk to IsraelIs now. But whenever you talk to IsraelIs about thIs, IsraelI analysts IsraelIs about thIs, IsraelI analysts and Idf types, they always analysts and Idf types, they always say, hezbollah Is the long always say, hezbollah Is the long term project. Hamas Was a shortterm long term project. Hamas Was a short Term Shot but the Idf has been short Term Shot but the Idf has been plannIng and readyIng Itself been plannIng and readyIng Itself for an operatIon on hezbollah for many years. Many IsraelI hezbollah for many years. Many IsraelI commandos see thIs as unfInIshed busIness. The strategIc questIon Is, when become strategIc questIon Is, when become Todays BusIness . I dont become Todays BusIness . I dont know the answer to that. I dont know the answer to that. I am dont know the answer to that. I am not dont know the answer to that. I am not sure yet whether the IsraelI I am not sure yet whether the IsraelI government knows that. It IsraelI government knows that. It Was IsraelI government knows that. It Was under huge pressure from Its InternatIonal allIes not to Id Its InternatIonal allIes not to go there Its InternatIonal allIes not to go there. Its InternatIonal allIes not to go there go there. Just as you fInIsh that sentence go there. Just as you fInIsh that sentence that go there. Just as you fInIsh that sentence that has go there. Just as you fInIsh | that sentence that has Boller ChIef saId the group wIll not stop fIghtIng Israel untIl the Gaza War ends and that has been the realIty of the last 12 months at least. These two hostIle actIvItIes have been totally IntertwIned. Totally IntertwIned. ThIs Is the contradIctory totally IntertwIned. ThIs Isj the contradIctory analysIs. Totally IntertwIned. ThIs Is the contradIctory analysIs. The west. The contradIctory analysIs. The west. The the contradIctory analysIs. The west, The UnIted states and the europeans thInk that If they canjust europeans thInk that If they canjust get a europeans thInk that If they can just get a ceasefIre europeans thInk that If they canjust get a ceasefIre In Gaza Canjust get a ceasefIre In gaza then that takes all the Heat Gaza then that takes all the heat out gaza then that takes all the heat out of out of the other perIpheral conflIcts and that gIves perIpheral conflIcts and that gIves less pretext for what an open gIves less pretext for what an Open War gIves less pretext for what an Open War between hezbollah and Israel~ Open War between hezbollah and Israel. There are some IsraelI strategIes that you thInk, If they strategIes that you thInk, If they get a ceasefIre In gaza do not close they get a ceasefIre In gaza do not close the decks and allows Israel not close the decks and allows Israel to not close the decks and allows Israel to move towards what they Israel to move towards what they now Israel to move towards what they now say Is the next phase. Frank. They now say Is the next phase. Frank. A they now say Is the next phase. Frank. A lot they now say Is the next phase. Frank, a lot of detaIl, we know, In the last couple of days, about the way thIs attack Was mounted wIth the pages, the WalkIe TalkIes. There has been growIng dIsquIet about the sense of usIng communIcatIon devIces, used by many people, Notjust Hezbollah but doctors, cIvIlIans, nurses, whIch has been turned Into a warfare devIce. It been turned Into a warfare devIce. , been turned Into a warfare devIce.. devIce. It has been condemned b the devIce. It has been condemned by The Un devIce. It has been condemned by The Un and devIce. It has been condemned by The Un and brItaIns by The Un and brItaIns government, whIch probably consIders Itself a sort of ally to Israel, although It recently dId do a partIal suspensIon of Arms Exports to Israel, whIch InfurIated the IsraelI government. But nevertheless they say they are very concerned by thIs. TurnIng, Booby TrappIng A cIvIlIan object wIth explosIves Is agaInst InternatIonal law. Israel has yet to say that they dId It. They are not goIng to own up to thIs. It took a whIle before the Mossad OperatIon to hunt down other perpetrators of the I972 Hunt down other perpetrators of the 1972 munIch 0lympIcs massacre, that that fInally came to lIght, but I thInk there Is a growIng call for an Independent InvestIgatIon Into who dId thIs and how, and whether InternatIonal law Was broken. ChIldren have been hurt In thIs. Yes, hezbollah Is a prescrIbed TerrorIst OrganIsatIon by several governments but nevertheless booby trappIng ordInary objects lIke thIs, where does thIs end . Can you ImagIne chrIs make you your phone, and hang on, you thInk, Is It goIng to blow up . That Is the feelIng rIght now In lebanon. Lebanese dont know whether they dare open theIr laptops. Should they throw them away . To blow up . That Is the feelIng rIght now In lebanon. Lebanese dont know whether they dare open theIr laptops. Should they throw them away . Should they throw them away . Should they throw them away . Should they dare answer a Phone Call . Are they goIng to have the sort of Hassan Nasrallah where he saId Israel Was lookIng to kIll 4 5000 of our fIghters. If Israel had wanted to kIll them It would have packed more explosIve In there. It Was lookIng to send a message and to maIm. Some people dId dIed but less than 1 . I dont thInk It Was lookIng to kIll. They would have fIne tuned exactly. They knew what they were doIng, whoever dId thIs. Than whoever dId thIs. An InterestIng whoever dId thIs. An InterestIng couple of poInts that you go through. It Is worth mentIonIng that spaIns ForeIgn MInIstry Is the latest to condemn the use of those communIcatIon devIces. InterestIng that Hassan Nasrallah sayIng that the top offIcIals of hezbollah dont carry the model of pages that exploded. I suppose that underlInes that there Was dIsquIet wIthIn hezbollah about communIcatIon devIces, phones, as beIng a potentIal way they could be InfIltrated. Ester could be InfIltrated. Ever sInce the could be InfIltrated. Ever sInce the october could be InfIltrated. Ever sInce the october the. Could be InfIltrated. Ever| sInce the October The 7th could be InfIltrated. Ever sInce the October The 7th war, or the sInce the October The 7th war, or the raId. SInce the October The 7th war, orthe raId, rather, the horrIfIc orthe raId, rather, the horrIfIc raId In southern Israel. HorrIfIc raId In southern Israel, and then the devastatIng IsraelI Counter Attack devastatIng IsraelI Counter Attack Into gaza that has ended up attack Into gaza that has ended up In attack Into gaza that has ended up In and attack Into gaza that has ended up In and around 41,000 people beIng up In and around 41,000 people beIng kIlled, mostly women and chIldren. BeIng kIlled, mostly women and chIldren, ever sInce then hassan chIldren, ever sInce then Hassan Nasrallah and the leadershIp of hezbollah warned theIr fIghters, leadershIp of hezbollah warned theIrfIghters, If leadershIp of hezbollah warned theIr fIghters, If you want to fInd theIr fIghters, If you want to fInd an theIr fIghters, If you want to fInd an IsraelI spy, look no further fInd an IsraelI spy, look no further than your phone. Lock It away, further than your phone. Lock It away, put It In an armed box and It away, put It In an armed box and dont It away, put It In an armed box and dont use It. You wIll be hacked and dont use It. You wIll be hacked and tracked. Israels mIlItary hacked and tracked. Israels MIlItary Cyber CapabIlIty Is possIbly second to none In the world possIbly second to none In the world. You may have heard of the n50 world. You may have heard of the N50 Group whIch Is a cIvIlIan the N50 Group whIch Is a cIvIlIan company In Israel whIch cIvIlIan company In Israel whIch developed somethIng called whIch developed somethIng called pegasu