On this programme before, but this is the first time that youre talking to us since you stepped down from your role as the uns humanitarian Chief Injune this year. Response that we will be facing a situation where people will drift fast it always is fast, its viral with famine into a situation where we cant see whats going on. The good thing about ethiopia, as you remember, was we could see what was happening and it attacked our consciences. Its not happening in sudan. Butjust to be clear, what ethiopia resulted in, it was A Million deaths from famine. So, you are saying that sudan could cause more than A Million deaths from famine . Yes. Yes, of course. And i know its very difficult to comprehend that because we dont really understand famine and we understand it probably less now in many ways than we did then when it was a very important subject of study and response. But to manage the response to famine in the middle of a war where we dont have access journalists, crucially, are not allowed to have access to these situations in sudan, nor are my community i dont think anything is off the table. I think we could have a terrible, terrible disaster, people dying on camera, etc. But we do know that 25 Million people are in urgent need. And the worlds most powerful countries know that, dont they . So, when they dont appear to see it as an urgent international priority, what are we supposed to conclude from that . That they are otherwise engaged. And this is just another sign of the terrible situation we face across the world. Do you remember afghanistan . Thats beyond our horizon now because, of course, of Ukraine And Sudan and gaza. But sudan is particularly important and interesting because its worse in many. The numbers are worse. Its half the population. 25 Million people means half the population. Its geography is very, very important and very worrying about its outflow and its impact, and the lack of attention until recently on mediation and the fact that the humanitarian operation is now, i think, less than 40 funded. As you said, its a famine or a threat of a famine that has been caused by war, and essentially its a civil war. So, the backdrop is the leaders of the sudanese army and the paramilitary force, the rsf, and their struggle for power, and both sides have been accused of Civilian Casualties and of obstructing aid. You know these people, dont you . You know the two generals. Youve talked to them. Yes. So, what did they say to you when you said, Let The Aid Through . They said, well, were right, because if you do that, if we Let The Aid Through, it will just simply reinforce our enemy, and thats not good for the people of sudan. And my care is mostly for the people of sudan, and so on and so forth. Finding people who think theyre right all the time is exactly what were seeing across the world. But i think sudan is the Poster Boy for this. These two generals went to war against Each Other for their own personal ambitions. They were willing to destroy their country, to kill. We dont even know the numbers of those dead in sudan because we cant get access. The fact that famine. Its the sermon of sudan at the moment. The famine that has been declared in el fasher, its a no brainer. The Reason Famine has been present there and its a huge threshold to get to it is because the two parties didnt allow food in. So, when they say this to you, we cant let the food through because it will help the other side, what do you say . I say thats wrong. I mean, the privilege that i have had and i will have, i think, is that i speak for a very simple value, backed up by law, but a simple value if humanity requires it, you do it. You have an obligation to do it. It doesnt matter if youre in opposition or, you know, an Rsf General or the other, you all have that international obligation. By the way, so does this country, so does the us and others, to make sure it happens. And you just say, youre wrong. This is wrong. And by the way, you can avoid it by helping us get access without even losing your position. So, i disagree with you about the fact that this will help the enemy. It may, but its your people. So, you argue with it. Now, i think whats very striking now is the absence of consequence for Great Powers who say, we need to have the right thing done there, and they dont seem to have the leverage, or they havent worked enough on the leverage on both parties to make it happen. But who does have the leverage . Because you spoke recently about the warring parties and their backers, and we know, dont we, from reports from Amnesty International and human rights watch, that there are weapons flowing into the conflict in sudan that come from countries from china, to russia, to turkey, to the uae . So, are these the countries which have the leverage . Yes. And choose not to use it . And have not been mobilised to use it in a suitable way. Now, its an extraordinary omission because the aim here at this point and i think this is important is not actually to stop and resolve the conflict. That will come. Its essential that we get to that. We need a ceasefire. But the aim at this point is to feed the people. This is a global commons. Surely, all these states can gather around that. What they need. I was contacted by one of them just this morning to get some advice on this. What they need is a plan, a pathway, which shows how good can be done. This is what we did in the Black Sea. You know, we did the Grain Deal and it worked for a while, and we had an agreement between ukraine and russia. As they said, we can sign this because its for a Global Welfare. Its humanitarian, so we can do it. So, the obligation on people like me and others is to offer that incentive and have that coalition of leverage. But if countries are not interested enough about the welfare of some of the most vulnerable people, people who dont have food in front of them, then how does caring about Global Welfare make a difference . I mean, that sounds short of real pressure. That sounds like appealing to peoples better instincts, which we know often arent there. Its the better angels, isnt it . And, you know, my life has been spent trying to appeal to the better angels, me and many other people. And sometimes it works, and sometimes it doesnt. I still think that we had an opportunity last year in syria, which didnt work out, but its an incentive. Its not a pressure. Its an incentive to show people they can do the right thing, even in the middle of doing the wrong things. And that hasnt worked. Number two this is perhaps more important. We see in gaza, as well as in sudan, the failure of the usual powers the us, obviously, and others to actually find their way. President biden complains about whats happening in sudan. Hes totally right. Well, you know, Tony Blinken has been in and out of the region for these many, many months. Why hasnt that worked . Why isnt the traditional sources of Power And Leverage a source, using humanitarian incentive of creating dialogue and enforcing that . So, whats your answer to that . Well, i think the answer is this. And, of course, ive thought quite a lot about this and, again, sudan is the real case. Why wouldnt you go to war these days . Theres going to be no accountability for it. You might win it and youd be better off. Yes, of course, people would die, but its all in a good cause. Impunity is all over the place. War. Sorry, law is abused. You know, its not there. And we have allowed this to happen so long and so consistently that people take note and people say, ill do this now. You know, why not . Why not invade ukraine . Whats the problem . Ill be invited, says mr putin, but it wont mean anything. Do you think that the overall lack of international Attention Or Care for sudan is because of race . Thats what the head of the World Health Organization suggested to me recently, that he thinks race is a factor, that conflicts in africa just do not get the attention they deserve. Well, i do. Id frame it differently because i dont think its just about africa and i dont think its just about race, but, you know, its a. It is not a wrong labelling of it. The truth is that the consequence of the attention to ukraine, and appallingly invaded by russia, nobody has any question about that. The massive response from the west in armaments and in aid, which has not been applied elsewhere, of course, has led, as you know better than me, to a disaffection globally with western double standards and so forth. And so you can call it about race. I call it about only looking after our near abroad, only looking after our neighbours. And thats just not good enough. The obligation is global. Do you come to the conclusion that ultimately wars are just a more compelling place to be . You can see that in the flow of money, cant you . I think you yourself said that, in 2023, which was a terrible year for humanitarian crises, Military Expenditure rose above 2 trillion, and the un and other agencies got about 2k Billion for their work. And its going down. And its a shocking. Its a shameful comparison. And, you know, i have many. Because ive worked a lot in ukraine and in the mediation with them and russia, and many of them say, please, help us make this war end. Feed our people. Please do that, obviously. But not an indefinite endless war where were getting savaged on the Front Lines. I think theres a couple of things here that are important. I would say this. Number one, i dont. There is a massive decrease in international mediation of conflicts. And mediation of conflicts, as i know directly, is not a matter of action from those who have interests. Its got a whole discipline and principles. Its not there. We look around the world as humanitarians, but its not mediation. Number two and i know this from all over the world, conflicts its difficult to end a war, not least for the reason that those generals are good at war. Theyre not so understanding of peace, and they have to take their constituency with them whove lost their Family Members and who now said, well, its over. Sorry. Its like The Last Man killed in the first war and so forth. So, weve become completely untethered, and across the world its notjust in the places of our focus. And were not doing enough. Look at whats happening in venezuela. Why arent we sorting this out . There was a potential there, and its gone badly wrong. Gaza is a place where theres a huge amount of diplomacy. What, Tony Blinken is on his 10th Trip . Yeah, and a huge amount of international attention. Huge amount of international attention. So, then its probably the Polar Opposite in terms of international. It is. Attention. Its just around the corner from sudan. Its an extraordinary sort of coincidence. Although the lack of external journalistic access is common. Its common. Exactly. And thats crucial. I think its because its not only diplomacy and international attention we need. Its professional mediation which encourages dialogue. And you used to do that work. Iwonder, though, overall it is a very bleak picture you are painting, and youve seen the system from the inside and youre now on the outside. That system is not working, or arguably is failing. Its not working as it should. And im not blaming the secretariat for this. Im blaming the governments whove made. Of course, the Security Council are divided and unproductive. The five permanent members of the Security Council. Well, you know, ive been public about that. Of course, these institutions are not fit for purpose at the moment. By the way, i think the Renewal And Reenergising of The General Assembly because of this inadequate performance by others is very telling and very important, so thats true. But there are two more things i want. That i think are relevant to this. One is we see very clearly because of the double standards, because of ukraine and so forth, the anger in the global south, who paid their price for the war in ukraine as well through indebtedness and prices, and so thats why the Black Sea tried. The power is draining out of the west and towards the global south. Its an inchoate process at the moment. It is not adequately, properly, systematically addressed. And its not a matter of having a global dialogue. Its a matter of actually doing some listening. The new mediators are not in the north. Theyre in the gulf, theyre elsewhere. And look at south africas role, for example, in the gaza. Thats one. Secondly, perhaps more importantly, and it was part of what the founders talked about. They talked about saving succeeding generations the scourge of war. My experience in the last years has been consistent that we ordinary people, we local people, retain exactly the same values globally that we always have. We always want to help our neighbours. We want to provide better for our families. That hasnt diminished. The impunity, the anger, the belligerence comes from the top, not from this great majority, this silent majority. You know, i was in tigray. I was in sahel. Who helps displaced people first . Communities bankrupt themselves. Its notjust a nice thought. Its a fact. So, that also is a rescue point. Not necessarily out of choice. Sometimes because people havejust come across borders and its. Well, its. They might. Sometimes they resent them. Of course. I would. But they have this sort of residual sense of whats proper because they see it for their own communities. So, enlisting these new peoples and states is the way to bring back the relevance of the un. So, youve been prepared to talk to anyone, really, in the course of your work. Are there ever times when you feel that does go against principles . Im wondering about when you talked to the taliban at a time when you know that there are afghan girls who are sitting at home, not only unable to go to school, but unable to go anywhere and unable to speak in public. Unemployed. How do you think. Well, how do you think those girls feel when they see Pictures Of You sitting with the taliban . Well. I checked, of course, when i, on my various visits to kabul, tried to fight back against this edict. And what i was told consistently, notjust me, but by Women Led afghan organisations providing help to women and girls in this terrible, constrained set of edicts, they said, dont go away. Keep funding us. Keep helping us. We dont want to suffer twice for what the taliban are doing. You see this in other countries too, but afghanistan is particularly true. So, the answer is not if you face a problem is not to leave and go away. Its to engage and try to change it, so. And again, its a privilege of the humanitarian. We are not supposed to confer legitimacy by meeting people. Thats a privilege. It is questioned, as you say, and you need to be very careful about it. I met President Assad frequently last year and had a lot of criticism of that. I met the regime in naypyidaw and i was criticised a lot for that. Myanmar. But i dont repine from it because if you dont talk to these people, theres no chance. Would you have met isis . I have had an occasion on which i thought very carefully about that. I was engaged with them for some time back in 2018 with the Raqqa Case and i realised it was a real challenge for me in my principles and thinking. I realised it was a nonstarter, that they werent open to any proper discussion. And its not true of all. There are terrorist organisations and there are non terrorist organisations. Some of them are open for dialogue, some not. In mali now, which is dominated by isis groups or alqaeda groups, we find that its more easy to talk to the alqaeda groups. How would that happen . Youve had to make choices in. Amid the very difficult funding environment, particularly in the last sort of 18 months before you stepped down. And that meant, didnt it, like reducing the amounts you asked for . Mm hm. Historically, un appeals have not been met in full by donors, but what is the current picture . What is the difference between whats happening now and what you were used to historically . Yeah, very quickly. It diminished very, very quickly over the last three years that ive been directly involved. And were now down, each year, less percentage of the total. Of course, their needs are growing. And thats why, as you say, weve tried to focus on the priorities. But the Percentage Funding is diminishing. So, it would have been 50 before quite regularly . It would have been 50 and its going down. To . Well, you know, if you look at syria, its probably got 18 20 , for example. And that kind of percentage is not uncommon . Its not that uncommon. I mean, even ukraine, with all its obvious importance for major donors, which i understand, theyre below 50 , so theres just not enough money, but theres also prioritisation. And the problem with prioritisation, which of course i understand why it happens donors have interests is that, again, it doesnt respond to the principles of humanitarian aid, which is a global obligation. And so what happens is people in my community, me included, have to be god to decide on, you know, which, place will get more aid and less. We have to, you know. We look at persuading. When you say playing god, you mean that you have made choices that have meant Life Or Death . I think thats right. Ive never traced it down to, you know, the legalframework for that, but i think it must be right by logical deduction. But what we do as a community, and what i did as well, is you look at the level of need. You try to prioritise within that need. For example, in sudan, were trying to reach 14. 7 million of the 25. Were doing the same around the world, because of the market. At the time, when the humanitarian community said and did, we will not respond to the market. We will simply state what is needed and you, the donors, can decide and you will play god. We eventually, as a group, in my time, decided that was actually leaving them to play an even more invidious role, and that we should be part of that because we are in the Front Line and we can decide with people who we should listen to its another issue, we need to listen better to them we need to decide this because god is going to be played anyway. Often it is the case, isnt it, that you did not succeed to make a significant difference. Yeah. By and large . What does that do to you . And what made you decide to, you know, pick yourself up and carry on the next day . Because it feels, listening to you, as if this whole system is unsustainable now, the humanitarian aid system. Yeah, i. You know, ive battled my way through exactly that issue, particularly when i was involved in mediation with the centre for humanitarian dialogue in geneva. When i realised, in that work in particular, not directly humanitarian, that the percentage of success that you would get out of trying to stop a war, end a conflict, was very low. You know, the percentage is down, i dont know, 20 30 , if youre lucky, sort of thing. Youve got to accept the level of failure, which is about Human Nature, and not bash yourself up about it. But what you therefore need to do is increase your experience and get it right. So, that means, one day, you hope that, perhaps even after your lifetime, sudan will come to an end. Oh, yes. Gaza will come to an end. Yes. Yes, definitely. Look at what happened to the Basque Conflict and eta. You know, i mediated there for some years, 15 years ago, and the Armed Struggle was declared over. A very special and different case. But, yes, of course, it can happen. There are a number of places where this. Kofi annan� s mediation in kenya in 2008 stopped the abyss for kenya and its people. Yes, it works. It doesnt look like it now because the record is so poor now, but that just asks you to do it harder. As i said earlier, when you face a problem, dont walk away from it, find a way to address it with the basis of Human Nature behind you. So, i dont measure my work by those kind of public successes. I measure it by effort and by doing things which i think is right, and thats hard enough. Martin griffiths, former un humanitarian chief, thank you. Thanks a lot, mishal. Thank you very much. Hello there. Well, following the recent heavy rain, theres plenty of saturated ground out there, particularly across the South Midlands, and a lot of Standing Water too. This photo taken by our Weather Watcher in warwickshire on tuesday, when there was a bit of a break in all of the wet weather. A drier looking day, but theres more rain to come, including here over the next couple of days, and then it turns colder but also drier as we head into the weekend. So this was tuesday, then, on the satellite picture. You can see this break in the Weather Systems there, a nice little gap. But wednesdays low Pressure System approaches from the South West. And ahead of that for the rest of the night, there will be some heavy showers across parts of Southern England. Clearer skies further north, and actually across parts of scotland, temperatures could drop as low as freezing. This is a sign of things to come, of course. But a lot milder further south under quite a lot of cloud and, of course, some misty conditions over the flooded fields. And then on wednesday morning, heavy, persistent rain will push into South West england, moving further northwards and eastwards up through wales, approaching the South Midlands and central Southern England by the time we get into the middle part of the afternoon. It does stay largely dry further north and west, a few showers across northern scotland, The Cloud amounts increasing across eastern england as we head through the second half of the day. And then on Wednesday Night into thursday, our low Pressure System continues to push further northwards and eastwards. Notice the brisk easterly winds developing across parts of north east england, just driving more rain into north east england. This is where well see the heaviest downpours, particularly over the higher ground of the north york moors. The rain stretching further west, out into northern ireland. Some showers to the north and to the south, but plenty of dry weather too. Feeling coolest, of course, across parts of scotland. And then our front starts to take a bit of a dive further south. It will really take its time as we head through Thursday Evening and into friday, not really clearing until the end of the day on friday. But behind it, we draw in more of a northerly wind, so temperatures are going to drop away to well below the seasonal average. And actually on friday night, as we see high Pressure Build in from the South West and the winds lighten, there could be quite a widespread frost. So, these will be the temperatures as we head through the weekend. Feeling cooler but largely dry, i think, for many on saturday. Bye bye for now. Welcome to newsday, im Steve Lai reporting live from singapore. The headlines. Tens of thousands flee their homes as Lebanons Capital is pelted by israeli missiles more than Five Hundred And Sixty people have been killed in two days. Appealing to World Leaders at the un Security Council, president zelensky warns that Russias War in ukraine cannot be calmed by talks. Russia is commissioning to make committing crimes and this war cannot be combed by talks. Action is needed. Sir Keir Starmer lays out his � long term project� for the uk setting out the � trade offs� that he says the country must face. We must build a New Britain built from that age old spirit of creativity and enterprise. The Pride And Ambition of working people. And, a � succession� Style Battle to decide the heir of the Murdoch Empire wraps up. But who will be the chosen one
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