The big guns, former President Barack Obama about to hit the Campaign Trail for Kamala Harris. What could that mean for the Race Today Labor breakthrough for workers returning to work as we speak a strike that threatened to cripple the economy has been averted for now Country Music Superstar Garth Brooks accused of sexual Assault And Battery in a brandnew lawsuit. But this morning he says the allegations are all lies. Im Sara Sidner with John Berman and kate bolduan. This is cnn new central bigger names and politics than Barak Obama for democrats, there are a few voices more popular than Barack Obama. Maybe only Michelle Obama and we just learned, he will soon launch a 27 Day Blitz with every key Battleground State in his path to support Kamala Harris. As for harris, shes wake up battleground, michigan good morning. Fresh off another endorsement. This time from The Boss, Bruce Springsteen as new reporting from over 30 states finds that more than 1 Million americans have already voted just 32 days now left to go some context to that 1 Million number that is less than 1 of the roughly 158 Million votes in 2020 because i know that youre counting cnns Priscilla Alvarez joins us right now for much more on this, priscilla, whats the latest well, look, kate, there are multiple strategies at play going into election day. One of them Campaign Aides tell me it looks a lot like what happened yesterday, going to those red rural counties, counties that voted by trump in some cases overwhelmingly in 2020. But their strategy here is to compete everywhere and lose by less just narrow the margins in some of these counties, again, including those that voted for trump in 2020. So that is one strategy that is unfolding. Were seeing bits of it yesterday and we will see he more of it in the coming weeks. The other part of this too, is continuing to mobilize voters in those democratic areas will see that today with the Vice President in michigan, where she is going to have a rally. But of course, the other part of this is surrogates. And you mentioned that theyre foreign President Barack Obama. He is one of the partys most Popular Cuellar leaders, and he is going to be hitting the trail in a blitz over the next several days, where he is going to kick it off in pittsburgh next thursday, it will be his first public Campaign Appearance since the democratic National Convention and there is no doubt that it is exactly these types of mobilizations that the campaign is looking for to galvanize his voters, to get them excited. And most importantly, to get them to the polls, especially with early voting already underway. In some states now, aides say that its an all hands on Deck Moment that is certainly what we are seeing unfold again as they target specific areas, those red rural counties that go to those democratic areas, kyiv voters are going in excited there and then also use obama across the country. One of the things were seeing in the image of the in the wall next to you facil is the very big appearance of Kamala Harris with Liz Cheney and wisconsin, and shes now adding to this republican centered focus surrogate campaign, if you will yeah, this has been something that the campaign has been very excited to talk about because it goes to their argument that they can appeal to democrats, independents, republicans. So of course yesterday, with the former congresswoman, Liz Cheney, the Vice President , touting her endorsement as an example of leading by country over party. Take a Listen Nation are willing to do what liz is doing to stand up for the Rule Of Law fair democratic ideals and the Constitution Of The United States then together, i know we can chart a new way forward. Not as members of anyone party, but as americans cheney, along with former trump aides, including alyssa farah, griffin, Cassidy Hutchinson and Sarah Matthews will also be participating in what theyre calling a Fireside Chat in pennsylvania, a crucial state of battleground, state where they will also offer their warnings up of former president Donald Trump. Now this is not an official event for the harriswalz campaign, but certainly the type of thing that the campaign is touting priscilla. Thank you so much youre seeing those images of Liz Cheney and Kamala Harris sidebyside at a Campaign Event set aside where Liz Cheney stands within the you Donald Trump republican party of today, still like unbelievable. There were sort of a weightiness to it. It Liz Cheney, as she was delivering the speech, you sort of saw these thought bubbles where you could see like, i cant believe im doing this or how did i get to this point . There was this seriousness that over it was hanging over the whole thing. It was really interesting. It really was. All right today, Donald Trump will be in battleground. Georgia was someone i think the kids call a friend of me not since 2020 had trump in Georgia Governor Brian Kemp appear together . Trump has filled the year saying mean things about camp until a few weeks ago. Now we needs him so you know, theres Alayna Treene is with us this morning. So whats the goal for today well, i cant emphasize enough, john, how remarkable it is that were actually going to see these two men together, as you pointed out, its the first time that well theyll have some sort of joint appearance since 2020, but i mean, ive covered trump for a very long time. I was on The Hill during that house January 6 Committee Hearings to see Brian Kemp ended Donald Trump together. Today in georgia is pretty stunning. Its something i never would have imagined four years ago while covering all of this, but theyre going to be in Georgia Today together for a briefing on the brown about the States Hurricane Recovery efforts. Now, i am told by a source familiar with the planning that the two men were invited separately by officials on the ground in columbia county. But of course, they will be appearing together. Theres expected to be some sort of Press Availability after this. And again, and you mentioned this, john, but Donald Trump has had very harsh words and criticism for Brian Kemp over the last four years, even as recently as august Donald Trump, during a rally in atlanta, was criticizing Brian Kemp calling him a bad guy claiming that he is not a true republican criticizing his wife. I mean, theres been a lot of love lost between these two men, however really Donald Trump has changed his tune in recent months as he realizes that one, Brian Kemp is a very popular republican governor in the state. A lot of voters in the state are fans of Brian Kemp end georgia, of course, is a state that both trump and the harris campaigns see as crucial to finding victory and their path forward to 270 electoral votes. In november. So trump has sort of embraced Brian Kemp in recent months, weve seen camp doing some Fundraising Events for the trump campaign. I will argue that over the last, you know, In The Beginning in the primary, Brian Kemp did not come out and endorsed Donald Trump early, but he had always said that he would support the republican nominee. And so today youre going to see these two unlikely, i guess, allies now appearing for the first time again since 2020, drawn politics, it brings people together Alayna Treene. Thank you so much. Okay. Joe all right. Coming up new threats this morning from iran, Supreme Leader, as israel claims it has killed a top Hezbollah Leader in an airstrike and the Dock Worker Strike that. Threatened to create shortages of goods on jobs and the economy as a whole has come to an end what happened . Happened and what that means for all of us. A proud Papa Moment for rapper eminem. He releases details about a new role hes taking on a new Music Video hes leading. So the real slim shady, please stand up hes saying please stands up because im swing at assigned a real say to you, you on this wednesday, hes i just want to 30 years. Ive been saying publicly for people to say and turns out, i have enough money. I could just shut up but hes back i Car Tomorrow at seven on cnn good day to cough. Oh, no bob, i call later chest congestion. Hello. 12 hours of relief wow not coughing and movies, hashtags, gel not coughing Mucinex Dm 12 hours doesnt just quiet coughs. 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While that is going on and the fight directly between hezbollah and israel, iran Supreme Leader is speaking up now saying that iran strikes on israel this week may just be the beginning. What are you hearing and its important to note that these remarks from the Supreme Leader Humming A came during, as he was leading friday prayers, which is a rare occurrence the last time he did so was about five years ago following the death of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards chief a Qassem Soleimani and so not only is that significant because of the importance that he clearly holds for hassan nasrallah, the leader who was killed, who he was commemorating in these prayers. But also because of this critical moment at which he is speaking and he is making, is sending a very clear message about the potential for additional iranian strikes against israel at a moment, when israeli leaders are considering their options for retaliation against ron for that ballistic Missile Attack earlier this week in which iran fired at least 180 missiles at israel. Several of which actually hit their targets is really basis, but also civilian areas here in israel, the sites of which we visited, visited several earlier this week. And so as israel considers whether it is going to carry out a strike on irans nuclear facilities, on its Oil Reserves were perhaps on some other Military Target inside of iran, the iranian Supreme Leader saying iran is capable of firing against israel. Again and potentially doing more as all of this is happening, you were mentioning the fight between Israel And Hezbollah is certainly intensifying the israeli military now has two divisions engaged in this in these Combat Operations targeted at hezbollah positions inside of southern lebanon, issuing additional Evacuation Orders for lebanese villages there. And Hezbollah Rocket Fire also intensifying against Northern Israel with at least 100 rockets fired just this morning. So this fight is certainly intensifying and the prospects of the potential for an intensification of the conflict regionally also growing as well, sara. And that is the huge concern in the region and here of course, in the united states saints as well. Jeremy diamond, thank you so much. Appreciate your reporting. Kate, Coming Up for us, convicted and acquitted jurors reach a mixed decision in the federal trial of three former Memphis Police his officers accused in the Beating Death of Tyre Nichols. Details on this Coming Up, and a tennessee Plastics Company responding this morning after workers they were forced to stay on the job as Hurricane Helene was bearing down, 11 workers were swept away in the floods. Some die. And the company now has a horse full response. This morning weekend. Questions like, what does a Comedy Show doing on cnn thats too much i want donald. Now, can you slice that the have i got news for you tomorrow at nine on cnn Make It easy. Was open door so your home in any season for any reason start your move it open door. Com with blue Diamond Cook on diamonds for this unbelievable price, Diamond Confuse Technology creates the hardest nonstick coating. Its five times harder will you tend to say big messes, white, clean, get Blue Diamonds unbelievable performance, unbelievable price, estimate helps motivate our students custom here. We love how customer takes care of everything we need. A week focused on the kid. 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While they set up for the honest meant to succeed america is acyl a weak july. If you read it the Penguin Streaming exclusively on max this is breaking overnight. Three former Memphis Police officers have been acquitted on the harshest federal charges that they faced in the fatal Beating Death of Tyre Nichols last Year Video of the incident showed officers punching and kicking nichols and also hitting him with Police Batons after a traffic stop. Autopsy results showed that nichols died from blows that he suffered after that violent and can encounter with police though the officers were acquitted on the most serious charges, all three of them you see there were convicted on charges of witness tampering related to the coverup after the fact cnns Shimon Prokupecz has fallen following all of this when i first heard about it, i was confused. So what is happening, it was definitely very confusing because this is what happens. You have multiple defendants, mixed verdict. And on the top count, which is really deals with the civil rights violations of Tyre Nichols and his death. All of the officers were acquitted on that. The prosecutors just did not meet their burden was a fairly quick verdict, about six hours. The jury comes back with their with their verdict one of the officers, demetrius haley, he is convicted of civil rights violations, but for the injuries to Tyre Nichols sort of like an assault and also for not giving him the care that he needed in the immediate after afterwards. And then obviously, all of the officers here convicted of essentially a Cover Up here. They try to hide what they did with their bosses on body camera footage, you can hear them saying turn your camera. You can also see them and hear them making up, Coming Up with a story of what happened here and so on that the jurors convicted all three officers and keep in mind there were five officers in total involved in this. Two of them actually pleaded guilty and wound up cooperating with the government with the united states. This was a federal case. Those deals still stand. Yeah, those deals still stand, but its going to be interesting to see because they pleaded to the top counts so its going to be slated to they pleaded guilty to what theyve were just these other guys were just acquitted . Correct. And so its gonna be interesting to see how this Winds Up, Winds Up playing out with the judge. Its ultimately up to the judge what the sentencing will be for the three officers who were convicted. They are right now sitting in jail. The judge i just held him remanded them until monday where theres gonna be a hearing on whether or not they should get be freed until sentencing, which is going to be in january. But also theres still another trial. All five officers are facing trial on murder its a Murder Case in there in memphis the da theyre prosecuting that and thats expected at some point to go to trial, hopefully before the end of the year. A big chapter of this now closing, but still theres a lot more to come here. Thanks for thanks very much. Sara all right. Just. Ahead, the Port Workers strike that. Threatened to ding the economy, raise inflation and create a shortage of items like bananas is over, but No One has seemed find on the deal just yet, the hurdles that still exists to keep the ports running an would just over a month to the election, The Boss has spoken why hes on fire what Kamala Harris with victor blackwell smerconish, the chris wallace show, the amanpour hour, the weeks biggest stories. The weekends hottest topics tomorrow morning, starting at 8 00 on Cnn Car insurance is up 20 this year. So i went to the experience insurance marketplace. They shopped my info with over 40 top providers. 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All knew Tuesday Night at 8 00 on hgtv new this morning, breakthroughs striking Port Workers are back on the job after a Union Negotiators reached a tentative deal on wages with the Management Group representing shipping lines, terminal operators, and Port Authorities this was what president biden said on the Agreement Everything all right. The deal still needs to be ratified by the Rank And File members before it takes effect. Cnns vanessa yurkevich, who was out on the Picket Line just seems like a few minutes ago is here with this now. I mean, that was quick. It was quick. There was political pressure, there was pressure now from consumers who are panicbuying. And there was obviously economic pressure and this came together yesterday. Are our colleague, kayla tausche, reporting that president biden instructed his administration officials to really put the pressure on usmx. That is the group that represents the ship lines to make a better deal and ultimately, they sort of met in the middle. They decided that they were willing to offer 4 an hour of an Increase Year over year . Here on a sixyear deal. If if the workers were willing to work under their current contract as they worked out the rest of the deal. And ultimately what this did was get them a tentative agreement on wages, but allow them to work through some of the other nuances. Wall folks went back to work and that was so critical for these workers in particular though, because they were not getting strike pay. They were not bringing in any money and the longer this drags out for the workers, they were going without a paycheck. And then obviously for the overall economy, the biden administration did an analysis and found that if this strike last lasted two weeks, this would have an impact on the October Jobs report, which is the last Jobs Report that anyone was going to see before the election. And it could have an impact on the race for the White House so there was a lot of pressure from all sides trying to make this deal happen. Look, this was a big deal, potentially people are treating it like a big deal, like it could really cripple the Economy Hello to me but they fix it in three days. Will consumers feel those three days know they shouldnt really what we were hearing was that if this drags on past a week, thats when you were going to start to feel it perishable items, things that just wouldnt keep fruits and vegetables. Those would be harder to find in that ultimately could have led to higher prices. But a threeday porch strike, we probably wont feel that yeah, theres going to be a little bit of a backlog at the ports obviously, trying to bring these containers off ships. But for the average consumer, there is not a Toilet Paper Shortage right now because of three days of a port strike. But ultimately, this has to be ratified by the Rank And File members. And we just saw with boeing that there theyre officials recommended a deal to them to the union and the union members voted down. So well have to see what happens. Theres still a little ways to go on this, but right now, everyone back to work, that would be january. The deal does call for a slightly higher End Point on wages and they gotten the west coast. So there is something, there is something for the its workers to grab onto vanessa yurkevich. Thank you so much. Great coverage in all this okay. Also new this morning, a second investigation has been opened against a tennessee Plastics Factory after 11 of its workers were swept away in floodwaters from Hurricane Helene to workers died and crews are still searching for four others. Five of the Factory Workers were rescued. One of the surviving employees took this video. Were showing you right here. Just look at what they witnessed. This is moments before he was rescued and he and other workers now claim that their Employer Wouldnt let them leave work until it was too late lost my mother, and my grandmother, my children, my father lost his wife of 38 years of marriage we are not okay this morning, the company is responding cnns Gustavo Valdes is following all of this from tennessee and you were headed there as soon as these reports really started coming out because sovo what is the company saying . Well, the company finally has spoken out first, they just released a series of statements in solidarity with the families of them employees affected. But last night, the ceo released a video in which he explains the Company Side of the events leave the plant, at least 45 minutes before the gigantic force of the flood hit the Industrial Park there was time to escape employees were not told at any time that they would be fired if they left the plant timeline starting at 10 35 a. M. When they said the water begins pulling in the Parking Lot just four minutes later, the power goes out on the factory and a minute later the public warnings go off on the cell phones. At 10 50 a. M. The employees are directed to leave, both in english and spanish. Im told that about half the workforce is hispanics so the Spanish Language is a necessity in this business. And also at 11 35 is this final senior Management Walk through and Departure Diversions . Ive been hearing on the ground. Is that at least some of the supervisors were not very helpful telling the employees to leave, and at least the employees so that they felt like they had to stay. Now, the company also says that they have video that some of the victims stayed in the Parking Lot up to 45 minutes after the water started to rise and that is going to be party but of the investigation kate, i mean, a major investigation now, i mean, we have people who have confirmed deaths. You have people still missing, and you have a community thats not only shattered by the impacts of Hurricane Helene, but now whats happened here as well, gustavo, thank you very much, john. All right. New this morning The Boss is backing Kamala Harris, Bruce Springsteen endorsed harris and Tim Walz in a new instagram video. Know we kind of has done this before with John Kerry on Election Eve and 2004 in cleveland. Kerry lost ohio and lost the election. Born to run with us now, joe walsh, former republican congressman from illinois, and former trump White House Associate Counsel May Mailman i actually want to talk about an endorsement that may matter a little more than Bruce Springsteen. Forgive me. Brock obama going to pennsylvania for the harris campaign, allegedly a lot over the next month show. Now stipulate you spent your entire correctional career beating the snot out of her, trying to president obama. I think here in a different place its right now what kind of a difference do you think obama in pennsylvania overtime can make i think it will make a big big difference look, theres so much enthusiasm for Kamala Harris across the board Brock Obama remain its the most popular democrat ive spent a lot of time on the ground in pennsylvania in all the Battleground States and theres, theres great receptivity among republicans, independents, and all the way down, all the way across to 0progressives for something to stop trump Brock Obama will really help to make that case. I think a lot of people are waiting for him to come out. May rate for me in order the importance of springsteen, obama going to pennsylvania, Elon Musk, going to butler, i guess, pennsylvania this weekend with Donald Trump, rank them in importance he is somebody who can actually point to doing something for the american people right now versus Bruce Springsteen you know, careful. What do you know about the life of a pennsylvanian, right . Where have you been . And i think that that issue of the common man, that there that there is an that does not know the american people that does not care about them, that spent 43 Billion on rural Broadband Internet to not provide it to one single person out of a vindictive anti Elon Musk motive like that message to the american people. I think is super powerful because people just want their government to work for them. Thats it. I pay all these taxes. I want the government to work for me. Bruce springsteen. What are you going to do . I think Barack Obama is actually maybe harmful because it reminds people that Kamala Harris is part of the incumbent Party And Income big Class Joe Putting Elon Musk and the common man in the same sentence. I just, i need a break. That was a tough one for me. You all musk. I will say if youre on twitter or x, or whatever its called now, which frankly i am too much. I mean, that guy is in this thing that he owns every minute of every day pushing, pushing, pushing, pushing for trump. Do you think that has no impact you oh, no, i think it does look and free country. He owns twitter. He can do whatever the hell he wants with it yes, it makes a difference. Hes out there every single day. John, echoing the lives and the disinformation that trump points out. Remember, Elon Musk, who is out there, right . With the theyre eating the cats and the dogs. They, these haitian migrants, Elon Musk is always peddling. Hes reinforcing all the Bull Crap that trump puts out there. It does just make a real difference. Im not denying that thats an interesting segue into Something Else that seems to have happened this week. Look trumps Election Denialism has always been there. But after it came up again in the debate with tim Walz And Jd vance, Jd Vance refusing to say that trump lost the election. I want to play some sound. One of the bits of here is trump at his rally in michigan yesterday, the other is won some comedians caught up with Jd Vance. Lets listen election, we did great in 2016, a lot of people dont know we did much better in 2020 we won, we won is a rigged election did Donald Trump Win Yesterday . Yes. He did. So were you when you concede . Would you concede that really, if your opponent gets your opponent gets more votes, you concede really feel bad bad for you you know, its interesting because republicans blame, democrats are obsessed with this trope was at his rally saying we won, we won. Thats something he did watch because obviously youre not going to get any new voters by trying to relitigate the 2020 election. And Jd Vance is just trolling. I mean that but yeah, theres a lot to campaign on and as a republican and you just know that if he had gone quietly into the night in 2020 and run again, i really, you couldnt campaign on january since you couldnt trot Liz Cheney out and say, this guys a threat to democracy. It would be a blowout. I think people would just say was i better off four years ago . Or am i better off now . So it is frustrating, but hes going to keep doing it. And so you go with a Candidate Youve got i do wonder if its Something Everyone talking about the traps that Vice President Harris Set for Donald Trump in their debate, i do wonder joe, if this was sort of a subtle trap, it certainly was in the moment, but if it will ive legs over the days and weeks of trumps saw that moment in now is going to say things like this on the trail that up, not your help him john, heres all i know its not just trolling and its nothing to laugh at, not that you are may or anybodys laughing at this this is this is it right here . This is an attack on our democracy. My god. You cannot acknowledge who won an american election thats utterly disqualifying. Thats bigger and more important than where do you stand on the border or taxes or Health Care. We have these things every two years are every four years. We have winners and we have losers. And the thing that keeps america going is we all respect the will of the people we acknowledged the winners and the losers and we move on to fight another day. Trump and vance are still there and its wrong and it is an attack on our democracy i could see its not trolling all right. Joe walsh, May Mailman great to see you both this morning. Thanks so much for coming in. Sara i had dont wait. Get your flu, Covid And Rsv shots. Now, thats the message from us Health Officials who say october is the prime time to get vaccinated. Cnns morel is joining us now. Meg, respiratory viruses. This is the season for it. Its here, but the peak months wont hit the peak months for this wont, wont its not now, right . Now. Thats right. So we typically see the peak for both flu and Covid And Rsv closer to the winter months. But right now is the time respiratory are the public Health Officials say because it takes a little bit of time for our Immune Systems to react to that Vaccine Buildup the protection. So the saying for the Flu Shot is flu before boo typically they recommend getting your Flu Shot before the end of october or before halloween and for covid, of course, theres a new updated vaccine out now and the recommendation there is that if youve had a recent sort of older covid shot, a lot of older folks have gotten those more recently, weighed at least two months since your previous covid shot to get the updated vaccine for rsv, everybody over 75 is recommended to have an rsv shot. Although if youve got one last season, you dont need to get another one now, theres also recommendations for people over the age of 60 who are more vulnerable and for a women who are pregnant, theres also an immunization for babies for rsv. So folks are hoping that those really make them Make It out there this season and can make this a less severe season. The recommendations for Flu And Covid is that everybody over the age of six months get an updated vaccine every season. And now as the month to do it, if you havent already but he sara. Thank you so much. Meg tirrell, i remember as a kid the Flu Shop and now weve got Covid19 And Rsv. Those are things i dont remember having to deal with. Of course, covid, a new thing. Covid19. Appreciate your time. Appreciate your reporting. Appreciate you Coming Up for us the conflict in the Middle East, and its impact on Oil And Gas prices this is a spike at the pump, the October Surprise that No One wants and Garth Brooks is now speaking out, breaking his silence after being accused by former Makeup Artist of sexual Assault And Battery. Why he says the lawsuit has been like having, quote, A Loaded Gun waved in my face well be back brought to you by unitedhealthcare, medicare here plans reliable coverage for your whole life ahead united healthcare knows youve got your whole life ahead of you to focus on what matters which reliable Medicare Coverage from united Health Care why did we choose safe flight . 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Theres a way that i can communicate with patients now in a way i never they before, they have their own ekg in their pocket with Cardio Mobile, you can take a medical grady, katie, and just 30 seconds from anywhere, Cardio Mobile is proven to detect atrial fibrillation. One of the leading causes of stroke, and its the only personal ekg Thats Fda cleared that detect normal heart rhythm bradycardia, and tachycardia. How been Cardio Mobile . Its its a Peace Of Mind for me because you get cancer, youre cardiologist doesnt day. You can see your Cardio Mobile every day, checking your heart anytime anywhere has never been easier and Cardio Mobile is now hsa fsa eligible get cardio Mobile Today for to 79 that cardiac. Com or amazon passions we were made to put them in the package told us many things that loves stargazing, hate parallel parking, and occasionally, youre right foot gets a little heavy. The lexus es didnt begin in the studio. It began with you the news sports a little Family Gaza maybe. Now, you dont do that, right heres another topic for you. As they get older, their risk of getting really sick from a respiratory virus, lake flu, Covid19 And Rsv goes up a lot so talk to them about getting the season vaccines because youve still got so much to talk about it. Publicly what people say and turns out i have enough money. I can just shut off tomorrow at seven on cnn im bill, were on the California Coast and this is cnn this morning, a hair and Makeup Artist is accusing Country Music Star Garth Brooks of Sexual Assault in a new lawsuit. The woman says, brooks raped her in a Hotel Room during a Work Trip in 2019 Team Brooks denies the allegations and says the woman is trying to extort him for quote, hush money, Indiana Fever Star Caitlin Clark is a Wnba Rookie of the year. We have a video of the moment she got the call almost unanimous one vote went to chicago skys Angel Reese Clark had the Wnba Singleseason assists record of 337 and score the most threepointers by a rookie, 122 please while no real time grandfather. His daughter, Hailie Jade, is pregnant with her first baby, eminem revealed the news and using video for his song, temporary Hailie Jade gives him a detroit Lions Jersey with grandpa written on the back end. If it wasnt obvious enough already, she also handed up a sonogram. The baby is due next year. Grandpa shady it was say youre old without saying youre old is that video right there is me feeling quite old anyway, back to this also this morning is conflict in the Middle East has escalated the Oil Market has been relatively in remained relatively calm, but there are new fears that could change what experts now fear could send Oil Prices through the roof. Cnns Matt Egan is tracking all of this and that would be what well, listen, kate, this is a very serious situation thats happening in the most critical region on the planet for energy, theres a growing risks that this becomes not just the Security Disaster or humanitarian disaster, but an economic one just weeks before the election. Whats surprising is how relatively calm the Oil Market has been. Yes, prices have gone up, but not dramatically. So you can see lower than other points during this year. Years ago. This is the kind of scary situation that would have caused Oil Prices to go well past the 100 Dollars a barrel, only last 24 hours or so, have investors started to wake up here to the danger . Youre there is a boy who cried Wolf Mindset because investors had been burned in the past by Security Situations that did not cause actual disruption and the threat of like direct conflict with direct conflict with iran is greater than ever yeah, its massive. Ive talked to bob mcnally, a veteran Energy Analysts and he told me this is going to get worse before it gets better. And he said the story of the Village Boy who cried wolf, did not end well for The Village or the boy, The Big Question here is, how is israel and the west going to respond to the attack by iran . If this theres just sanctions from the west, then we could see a muted response in Oil Prices. But if this is something bigger, like an actual attack from israel on iranian Oil Facilities, clear View Energy says, we could see all prices go to 86 a barrel. The big fear, the big danger though, is that somehow this gets out of hand and there is a disruptive option to the Strait Of Hormuz that would cause Oil Prices to go above 100 a Barrel Citigroup says maybe up to 150 a barrel, all time highs because the Strait Of Hormuz is the most critical Choke Point for oil on the planet. And that is the kind of situation that would cause a major, major consequences for the economy and even for the the election, potentially Gas Prices stand right now, will kick. Thats the good news. The good news is Gas Prices are continuing to go down because they move with a lag to oil. So the national average 318 a barrel thats about the lowest that weve seen in eight months, sharply lower than this point last year. And theres a growing number of states that are below 3 a gallon, 17 states, not just the typical ones that you would expect like texas and louisiana. But iowa, new hampshire, rhode island, and even my Home State of new jersey. Of course the point here though kate, is if theres a Price Spike for oil, this could all change very quickly. Absolutely so they keep thanks for tracking it, matt thank you, sir. All right. New this morning, iran supreme Leader Warning that iran will attack israel again, quote, if needs be, he issued that warning while Hezbollah Chief Hassan nasrallah, who was assassinated by israel a week ago. Joining me now cnn military analyst, retired Air Force Colonel cedric leighton, and cnn global Affairs Analyst kimberly dozier. Alright, israels promising major retaliation against iran directly, iran Supreme Leader is now vowing to respond with potential vast destruction. These threats are clearly not empty as weve seen. So kim we closer than ever in your estimation to a sustained regional war directly between iran and israel i think were closer to a sustained for tat, where everyone is on Tenterhooks Waiting for the next response. Israel has vowed to response to the hundred and 80 ballistic missiles so i think in the next coming days, maybe early next week, because weve got this Geo Storm this weekend that could mess up communications and satellites but were probably going to see them choose from hitting ballistic missile so sites where they were launched from, where their manufactured. And then look at what they did in yemen this past week to punish the houthis for Firing Missiles at israel. They hit three different Power Plants and an oil port installation, which makes it harder to transfer Oil Sell Oil thats the kind of thing that theyre likely looking at to hit iran with if they hit irans secret facilities. That is much less of an embarrassment to the regime because regime could just tell his people that didnt happen. But if they hit the Oil Facilities of some Manner Or Sword that creates or knock on effect on the market. And also, its visible, its hard to hide Colonel Leighton im curious as to what you heard this this idea from kim about the for tat and that that would be sustained. At what point do you see this turning into the united states becoming very involved in this . They are already involved trying to keep the missiles from iran from hitting from hitting israel. But at what point will you seeing more involvement by the united states getting drawn into this yes, there i think the biggest point is exactly what kim was alluding to in this would be one of the things that also Matt Egan was talking about. And that is if there were disruption to the oil flow, i we would definitely get involved if the streets or four moves were closed by the iranians, where they attempted to close them. And if that happened, the idea would be that we would get in there and try to prevent something like that from happening kind of like what we were doing in the 1980s Way when Iraq And Iran were fighting and there was a huge impact on oil flows from the Persian Gulf at that particular moment in time. So thats the kind of thing that i would suspect we would get involved in. Of course, all of the Air Defense and Missile Defense systems would be put in place not only to protect our assets, but to continue to protect israel as well. Colonel leighton, this ones for you. It appears when it comes to the war in the north, that is wrong well, has decimated much of hezbollahs leadership. It is trying to crush it out of existence. They have tried this before with hezbollah and hamas, but both groups regrew. Can this be solved militarily . Not really. I mean, there are certain things you can do militarily and were seeing them in action and that is the attacks on the Hezbollah Leadership and on the Hamas Leadership as well but the ideology stays. These people have many reasons to the field the way they do, even if we dont agree with what theyre what theyre the way they look at the world. This is one of the areas where the israelis are going to use as much force as they possibly can. Theyre going to try to move the danger from Hezbollah North of the litani river. So its less of an in impact on a northern settlements in israel are going to do things like that. But the ideology will stay, the group will morph into Something Else maybe less dangerous version of itself. But still a danger that israel must contend with probably far into the future yeah, its very clear the involvement of iran with hezbollah, where they stand sidebyside, often. Kim, i want to ask you about it, and Israeli Military Doctrine laid out by an israeli official around the 2006 this war with hezbollah called the dahiyeh doctrine. Its named after an area of beirut essentially, it allows for military to use disproportionate force when there was an attack on israel. And says the military should target not just military assets, but their infrastructure. And try to crush the economy that supports it, essentially putting civilians in the crosshairs. What do you make . Are we seeing this play out right now, especially . When you look at whats happening in gaza explaining many of the strikes and every time it explains what It Hit, it lists and military reason for what It Hit and if youre on the Message Board from the idf, there, they list a bunch of photos of weapons that they got at each site that they rated, for instance. So i think israels very conscious of the fact that in this particular conflict, they have to be seen to be going after legitimate targets under the laws of war. So, yes, that doctrine has been out there and its pushed especially by some of the far right members of netanyahus cabinet. But its not widely accepted because i think also in israel they understand, while they think there should be a disproportionate response to new attack on them that every time you hit a civilian area, you are creating insurgence that you will have to deal with in future generations. I think what were seeing right now is theyre trying to mow the grass thats the counterterrorist term, take out as many capabilities that hezbollah has, that hamas has and has many of the trained fighters the ones in his blood that had a lot of experience. They got it in syria. A lot of those people are being taken off the board. It doesnt mean that they wont have to fight again in future yeah, theres just a lot of fear that this is going to turn into a huge Regional Conflagration if already, if you will, a regional war. When you see what is happening in the region, kimberly Dozier And Colonel cedric leighton. Thank you both so much. Appreciate your time this morning. Who book a new
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