Scott here no interest in giving a speech before we start so just start asking questions. Already. Just in time for thanksgiving. A book to help you deal with people with whom you disagree. [laughter] so everyone [laughter] gavel intro, questions. Please send viewers up. They dont have to be related to just the book. Right here we go. My name is melissa welcome to the club posting of scott adams. It is a book, lose or think. Scott dives into the epidemic of mental shortcuts. He believes this is making as thrown to believing bad ideas. We discussed, loser think is was possible for people stereotyping Trump Supporters as racist. Believing that bench control is equal to full compensation in this most important link avoiding self reflection on personal relationships and period were very excited to have them with us to discuss his new book loser think. And whatever else you would like to ask him. He has told me nothing is offlimits today. These gentlemen, please welcome scott adams. [applause]. Scott loser think is the word i invented because i noticed join i was on twitter mostly debating with various real people to and every once in a while we would make a really good comment. And i would think, i dont quite agree with that but that has really been well plugged. Icheic in the profile, there would be lawyer or economist scientists in the neighborhood see a climate that is just sheer crazy im not supposed to see that but i would look at it and everything will visit this. I click on the profile and it would be a musician or journalist and i would think to myself is this a coincidence or is there something that you experience in different fields that teaches you how to think. And reflected on my own express. If an injury agree in economics and an mba. Literally teaching, so so much the willingness of the specifics that weve god economics but they teach you how to compare things, teach you how to sync costs and the value of her name and time. And these are just some of the techniques that they teach you how to think productively about your world. Instead of just a an economist. Scientist or psychologist historians they have different of thinking. I am also train hypnotists. [laughter] i worked in Corporate America for 16 years. I hold a variety of jobs from the strategy of marketing to technology. Just by chance, ive experienced a lot of domains. And you pick up how do they think in those domains. A lot of people just havent been exposed to them. So that i would write a book and show them the gaps if you have any. The three remaking the case here for journalist brain if you are, and multidisciplinary and if you are, is it just the non humidity. Scott is studying and learning the depths of those fields. So i can teach you how and economist thanks, and ill give you an example. So this is how easy it is pretty if youve never been in [applause], of silk costs. Raise your hand. Maybe less than half. So sunk costs refers to the idea that if youve already its been your her name on something, lets see an investment. That you shouldnt look to that to make your next decision. In other words you should see the her name is gone. I cant get it back, theres nothing i can do in the future that will change the fact that it is gone. And sunk. So if you make a decision based on the her name youve already its been, which people do, ive already put x dollars into this, i dont want to waste it. So that a down and keep investing. So that feels like common sense. But the first time you hear that you cant change the past, you see oh yeah, thats sunk. That is gone. I would just make my decision as if i were date starting today. And im never heard of that stuff. So thats easy it is. You dont have to be an economist you just have to hear some of these things once and it becomes part of your thinking. Host you call it loserthink because you really want to stay away from politics domains. I think you actually wrote a live that calling people stupid will not make them smart. [laughter] 50 untrue. You think was a think because you want to address these behaviors not demonize the person. So if you talk about lease of labels and how that is one method of use losing. Scott mockery is incredibly powerful. And people would see to me, i cant tell you how many people have said this over the years. It would write me an email as a clue going to do this certain policy at work, but we saw a coming up years mocking it. So we decided not to. [laughter] because nobody was to do the things already been pre blocked. It is like you know you have to wait. I mock you in advance for you dont even have to wait. In fact, even elon musk who would he was writing the memo to his employees telling him how he wanted them to behave, what the culture should be like. One of his tips was to not do anything, policy wise that would make it into a gilbert, comic. In the power of that, is that he didnt have to be slain meant. Because everybody was familiar with the gilbert and the comment, they can kind of, you know them join they see them. Yet its a gilbert situation there. So use that same technique by coming up with the word loserthink. The people can use and see that they all hate that is listening. Specifically here is the photo i took with my phone of the page in the book that explained the better than i can. So i get permission in the book to tweet on a page to people who have a gap in their thinking. And maybe they can be filled in. Now of course having the word like loserthink, makes it easier to mock people. Nobody wants to hear, that is loserthink. As i was just checking my twitter feed, before i came in here. I saw lots of people over the book accusing other people of loserthink. [laughter] and thought, it is already working. They are already working. Host hashtag was a think. Scott im using it in the most productive way. To mark people into more productive thinking. Host to think of people who really need this book are going to buy it or do you just kind of like a holiday sale or that people will buy it for them. [laughter]. Scott we do leave a book, listening, you pretty much guaranteeing 70 is going to give to their relatives for the holidays. [laughter] the beauty as it feels like a gift. You are not really sure. Its like a uncle bob, i got through this book. This is think. Youll learn about other people. [laughter]. Host someone of the chapters that you write is mind reading. Pun intended, you read my mind with it. Because its one of the most frustrating things that i see on the internet. There are people who are sort of trying to assert that they know whats in your soul, whats in your mind, but whats in somebody elses heart. Scott is another example where i try to name it. Migrating of of courses already were but applying it in this way gives it a little extra power. If you look that is, you see the pilots jabbering omma one side or the other, and quite often, they are jabbering is about an assumption about what a stranger is thinking. What were their real motives. What is the real reason you are doing this. It will sometimes, you are right, sometimes it is obvious stuff. Political stuff is usually pretty obvious that theres any time we do couldnt know with the strangers thinking. In his evidence, you not good at migrating, i give you every relationship youve ever been in. [laughter] theres probably 70 sitting right next to you join the last 24 hours, assumed you were mad when he warned. Assume that you work on right we do work, some do it work happy we do are. Host im in the front row be careful sir. Scott someone reading, is something that i call out and by giving it a word and putting it in the book of loserthink, it allows people to see, oh yeah, that is a bad think. And weirdly enough, it was so pervasive, i dont know if ive ever heard a Single Person ever call it out. Like no, you are imagining you could read from somebodys going. But the moment is called out, it becomes sort of, part of the conversation and then you can start spotting it. Wait until you see what happens in the coming weeks. You can start seeing migrating all over the place. And you see, i saw it before but not a crystallize because somebody talked about it and it is a word and now it is the think. Host are a lot of Great Concepts in the book there is something here i really felt like any three. So in one part you talk about the difference between coincidences and things that are actually, anything you should take seriously. His writing about a safe base talking about all these things are happening and appear to be magical. , a few days ago i arranged my collection of flashlights. And i was like, you have a collection of flashlights this book should be called, i have a collection of flashlights. I have so many questions. How many flashlights you have, is there a community. I need to know. Scott i really like flashlights. I confess that. Readily. I built a shrine to my flashlights if my man cave in my garage. Literally, i put them up on the board and to make sure they all have fresh batteries and everything. Ive never done that before and waist by a flashlight whenever i see no one. Oh thats a new one, and i had my collection up there and theyre all fresh batteries, so happy with it in the first time ever. Been leaving in my house, somebody ran into a powerful with an suv and plunge might neighborhood into darkness. The same time that i built a shrine to flashlights. [laughter] as i said to myself no problem with a flashlight, i was good. Host how many do you have. Scott i recycle so i have a good solid 25 that are the core collection. Host are there antiques, hard to find ones that are like a that or that is that version. Scott thats a good idea. No mostly plastic and i just like other look. I like flashlights. Theres no expending it. Host terrific now we know. Thank you. So you are not a fan of fresh. As a member of the press i was really staying i think it is fair. Scott i didnt name you. Host i think it was unfair and attacking sort of the structure of the press, something that i think a lot of journalists wouldnt even disagree with you about freitag little bit about that and how that feeds into the way people think. Scott like to put it in context of a small technological change the nobody noticed what happened. Which is the ability to measure with precision, the people are clicking on anything white in some cases. And once that was the case, once everybody could measure these people click on this and that. It wouldve been come obvious as it did for the things they want to click on the crazy stuff. The things that make your hair catch on fire. I want to hear about the budget. I want to hear about impeachment. I want to hear about the plot, whats going on with the government. I want to hear some really good stuff. So we are all elevated in our opinions because the news model is forcing us towards more provocative stuff read somewhere before they just wouldve said heres the news. Snore. Now, it is replace the entertainment to the large extent. Some of you would relate to this. How many of you watch the news like entertainment. Like his her name not even for the news anymore, it is really for the last. And you watch it. Host somebody liars in here. Everybodys hand should be up on this one. [laughter]. Scott so that is the big problem. That once you can measure stuff, there is no way the Public Companies are beholden to stockholders to do anything that get the most attention and there is no way you can ignore that so we had to get to this. The small technological change happened. And that caused us to complete almost civilizations at this. And we are in bubbles and we dont really see what is happening in the other bubble because it looks crazy or insane or stupid or maybe there and lying and we cant quite tell it doesnt make sense in that bubble. And we cant make any sense of it. It is largely because people have become totally in the news consumption. Conservatives are a little bit more like statistically clean and once in a while it is more pervasive. But people on the left, typically are not even aware of the argument on the right. If you watch the news as i do, from a suitable commercials that come on. If you make the mistake of listening to them, you will hear more problems than the human could have healthwise. Ill say well, you can take this bill and it will solve one problem but you will have diarrhea and your heart will explode in your lungs the congested. Thus the first thing they note. When is a pharmaceutical commercial on, i say first of all, get this off of there. I dont want to hear about all of these problems. If i hear about them, i look at them. I will get all those problems if i keep hearing them. I do have a rash, as a matter of fact. So to change the channel as quickly as possible to the opposite, if im on cnn, fox news and vice a versa, in that way, i miss a lot of the ugly commercials by exposing myself to content on both sides. So i recommend that. On both sides, you really dont know whats going on but you might thank you do and thats the most dangerous situation. You tell a story about your dog, its a great anecdote. You write i think my dog, sneakers believes im an idiot. I dont take her outside to play when shes clearly communicating to me that its time to do so. So shes sending me she knows im able to go outside but i dont stop what im doing and take her out. You go on to say sometimes your sneakers, you are you in this scenario in the way that requires empathy and imagination to really think about where the other person is coming from. Is an example for being an artist or creative person gives you a better vision on the world than perhaps the engineer or scientist. So different professions have different styles of thinking, it wasnt to have one, theres genius for all. But this example, artist might have a little more propensity to imagine other explanations for the facts. The story i used, my car is professionally dirty. If you talk like dirty car you would say, thats an expensive car, he could probably afford to get washed. He certainly could get washed so he could afford it, he has a time. If its not washed, hes probably saving water . He cares about something or whats the reason . The real reason is the one you would never imagine. The fact you are all trying to think of. The real reason is, irrational fear of public instructions. I dont want to be in public where anybody can see me and i have to figure out instructions while people are watching. The problem is, i am too literal. It will be very clear but the example, i go to the store and the cashier will say next, come on up here. Its like lets just wait here. Are you saying go up, i dont know if you have the authority. Did you make the sign . If its your boss is signed, ill wait here. [laughter] i dont want to get this carwash, you are half way in, turn sideways, dismantle the carwash and the headlines are idiot headline. Did you guess that . Anybody have that when . No. The point is, when you have to make assumptions to live, you cant live and operate in a World Without continuously making assumptions including assumptions people sitting no matter how poorly we do it. You have to do it to survive but be aware that just because you cant think of the other reason these things could happen, especially if you watch the news, that doesnt mean the one reason youve been given is the reason. Talk about the 48 hour rule where you should just wait 48 hours when you see somebody in the news that makes your blood boil and you think how could i happen . Then two days later, they said it didnt actually happen. We got that wrong. So just wait a couple of days before it dissipates before you get too worked up. Excellent. We have a number of questions from the audience. Why do dogs details way when he sees people . The characters are mostly versions of me. You have lots of different personalities all inside of you, dog as part of my personality that does things i couldnt do because i would be beaten up or jailed. But the thoughts, i just dont do them. I would like to show his delight by his tail because my balls are enough so i got ears and a tail to work with. So this question is when you find this, your to be conscious of this. When i fall into all the time is using analogies for more than they should be used for and its so easy because its a natural way to talk. Analogies are great for explaining a new concept for the first time. If you try to tell something theyve never seen a zero but they know what a horse is, you say its like a horse with stripes. What you dont want to do is use the analogy to predict. If you turn on the news, he will see people doing exactly that. It makes no sense. If you see for example your cat has a marking under his nose, it looks like a mustache, that doesnt mean your cat will invade poland. Likewise if you see the president to sizing the press, while dictators did that but that doesnt mean hes going to invade poland either. It could mean the press has crossed the line and criticize him but dont take the analogy as predictive. Analogies are really bad ways to predict. Also, its a slippery slope. You talk about a number of things for the future, about how the sky will fall and how bad things are going to be. Heres the reason its one of the biggest examples. Youve heard a million times. History repeats. History does not repeat. It cant because youre in a different situation with different variables and often you are familiar with the history so that tells you not to do it this time but the reason it seems like history repeats is we are just reminded of other things but we dont notice all the times history doesnt repeat. You somehow see a chart, a pie chart, all the times history didnt repeat because it couldnt it looks like something that happened before. But is not predictive because you dont know which sliver will be the one that will repeat coincidentally which is the one feud never noticed didnt repeat. You talk about your political views and in some ways, they are very liberal. Although now you do a lot of not defense but on twitter, engaging people about allegations about the president. Talk about how that came to be and how you ended up in a position where people were on certain issues that you found yourself needing to defend as a republican president. I called myself left of burning and part of it was a joke on myself because there was nothing left of bernie. So its just a way of not characterizing myself but then the democrats found a bunch of people were left of bernie and they were like come on, i have this space, he ruined everything for you. So its on social issues, i am left to bernie. Bernie would like to legalize marijuana. I would go further and legalize more drugs. Certainly mushrooms and do a test on opioids. Drugs on commercials . [laughter] another example, a portion, liberals and bernie would say yes, under the right conditions guess on abortion. I got left of that and say whatever you want to do, i will be very supportive. Never is the consensus, i will be quiet and supportive because i dont have that kind of skin in the game and i dont have anything. I dont have the extra mail smarts to add on your decision or anything. Its exactly whether i have an opinion or not so i think the most credible laws, we have laws that people would kill over. Literally, abortion. When it is that eventually destructive, you need results, no matter which way it goes, its credible. That the people say i didnt get my way and its really important for the way we arr