Looks at the year 1774. And leads up to the beginnings of the revolutionary war. Enjoy but to be, now and over the weekend on cspan2. Host and now, please join me in welcoming our next speaker. Statement doing of the gavel. [laughter]. So were just going to dive right in. Us all read a little intro and then we will jump right in. Lets start here. I have no interest in giving a speech. On friday here we go and just in time for thanksgiving. A book to help you deal with people with whom you disagree. Everyone. [laughter]. So, gavel, intro, questions. Please send your zip pretty they do not have to be related to just book. Here we go. [applause]. My name is melissa kane, welcome to the hosting of scott adams. In his new book loserthink how untrained brains are ruining america he develops and dives into shortcuts. This would think is responsible for people stereotyping all of trump supporters, as racist. And gun control is equal to full compensation and most importantly avoiding self reflection and personal relationships and were very excited to have him with us now. In his new book, mary lane and what arrest you guys would like to asko him, he said nothing is offlimits. So ladies and gentlemen, please welcome scott adams. [applause]. Scott it is a word i invented because i noticed when i was on twitter mostly, the debate with various controls and real people, and every once in a while somebody would make a really good comment that i think, i dont quite agree with that but its really well put. I checked in the profile, they would be a lawyer or an economist, scientists. An annuity comment that is just that shipped crazy. Im probably not supposed to say that my look at it nothing, one who said this. And i would click on the profile. It would be a poet or a musician or a journalist. [laughter]. And i would think to myself, is a coincidence or is there something about your experience in the different fields and teaches you how to think. And a reflecting on my own experience. I have a degree in economics. And an mba in the literally teach you how to think. Its not so much the learning of the specifics of economics and they teach how to compare things and teach you how to about the time valuehe of money and these are just some of the techniques howith the teacher had how to think productively about your world. Scientists have their own way of looking at things, historians, psychologists. In some weird reason, ive had experience in all of the field. Im a trained hypnotist. Melissa please dont. [applause]. Scott overton Corporate America for 16 years. So just by chance, i have experience a lot of domains a new pickup how did they think in enose o domains. I thought i would write a book and fill in your gaps if you have not had those experiences. Melissa are you makingg a case for multidisciplinary. Is it just on the non humanities. Scott does not even mourning the death of the fields. I can teach you how to an economist things. It how easy it is. So cost, if youve heard of that concept raise your hand. Maybe less than half. So some cost refers to the idea that youve already spent your money on something. Say you have invested it. That you should not look to that to make your next decision. Another jason say that money is gone i cannot get back and theres nothing i can do in the future they will change the fact that it is gone. In a sulk. So if you make a decision based on the money you have already spent, which will do, they say i finally put x dollars into an dont want to waste it. And then a better down and keep investing. Will that feels like common sense but the first time here, you cannot change the past, you say well we are, thats a look. It is gone. I will make my decision as if i were to starting today and have not heard of that other stuff. You just have to hear some of these things once and becomes part of yourr thinking. Melissa you really want to stay away from calling people names. Calling people stupid will not make them smart. You wrote that. [laughter]. Its a pity and is true. You said those are think because you wanted to addressay the behavior and not demonize the person pretty can you a talk abt these labels and how that is one method. Scott mockery is incredibly powerful people would say to me, i cannot tell you how many people said this. They would write to me they would say, we were going to do the certain policy at work but we saw coming of years mocking it so we decided not to. [applause]. Because nobody wanted to deal with things that have already been pre mocked. Usually we have to wait. I mock you in advance. No eating. [laughter]. Even elon musk is writing about his employees tell them how they should behave and what the culture should be like. One of the steps was to not do anything. Policy wise. Now the power of that everybody is knowing with the word dilbert is in the comic, the knowing when we see him right. So use that same tech think bike coming up with the word list think people people can say specifically, is a photo i took with my phone of the page of the book that explained it better than i can. So get permission in the book 23 down the page to know people who have a gap in their thinking. And maybe feel good. Having word like loser think makes it easier talk people. Nobody wants toie hear, and that is loser think. As i was just checking my twitter feed of argument here, must be one of the book, and kissing other people listen think. It is already working is whatlri was thinking. So music mockery is most productive way to mock people into more productive thinking. Speech of dok you think people who need this bookk quiet. What is it kind of like holiday sales for people to buy it. [laughter]. [laughter]. Scott youre pretty much guaranteeing that somebodys going to give this book to somebody in the holidays when you named the book loser think. It feels like aoo gift. But youre not really sure. Mac hey uncle bob, i got to this book. Loser think. This is about other people. [laughter]. So one of the chapters that you write talks about mind reading. Unintended, you read my mind with it because it was one of the most frustrating things that i see on the internet. People sort of trying to assert that they know what is in your soul, what is your mind was in symbiosis heart. Scott mind reading, and applying it in this way gives it a little power. News, somebodys jabbering on one side or the other and quite often, is about an assumption about what a stranger was thinking. What is the real reason theyre doing this. Was sometimes, youre right, and sometimes it is obvious stuff, political is usually the obvious but so manyim times that we coud not possibly know with the strangers thinking. It is evident that youre not good at migrating, i give you every relationship you have a fair been in. Theres probably somebody sitting at right next to you that in the last 24er hours assumed that you were mad when you were not. He said that you werent hungry when youre not. Assume you are happy when you werere not. Melissa my husband is in the front row so please be careful. [laughter]. Scott so mind reading is something that i call out. I give you the sword loser think. And it allows people to say oh yeah, that is a bad thing. It was so pervasive, i dont know if i have ever heard a Single Person never called nell. I go, youre imagining you can read somebodys find. The moment and is called out, it becomes part of the conversation and then you get to start spottingen it. Wait until you see what happens in the coming weeks. You will see mind reading all over the place. And you will t say, i saw this before but it crystallized because somebody talked about it as it were. And that is the thing. Melissa so theres a lot ofe Great Concepts in the book but there is something here i really feel like i should say. In one part you talk about the difference between coincidences and things that are actually, anything you should take seriously. So is writing about estate, and talking about through all of the things that are happening. It appears to be magical. A few days ago i arranged my collections of flashlights. It was like, you have a collection of flashlights. [applause]. This book should be called a collection of flashlights. How many flashlights do you have. Their community. I need to know. Scott i really like flashlights. I confess that readily. And a bill destroying to my flashlights in my man cave in my garage. Literally put them up on board. Living in my house, someone run into a power pole with an suv and plunged my neighborhood into darkness. The same time i built a shrine to flashlights. [laughter] i said to myself i went to my flashlights and that was it. So how many do you have . Speech i recycle in throw some out theres a solid core collection of 25. Stu went are there antiques and other hard to find some and thats that version . Guest thats a good idea, mostly plastic and i like how they look i like flashlights i dont n know how to explain it. Traffic now we know you are not a fan of the press and i was reading it thinking i am a member of the press and i thought wow. Speech i didnt name you. I didnt feel like it was unfair when youre there attacking the structure of the prospered a lot of journalists would not disagree with you about brick you talk a little bit about thatbo and how the way it feeds into people think . Like to put it in the context of a small technological change that nobody noticed when it happened. Ea it what people are clicking on and why in some cases. Onehe set was the case once everybody could measure, these people click on this these people click on that, it would have become obvious the things we want to click on the things that make your hair catch on fire i dont want to hear about the budget i want to hear about impeachment. On here about a plot to overthrow the government we are all elevated is the news model is forcing us to more provocative stuff. Before they wouldve said heres the news and now it is replace entertainment to some extent but i bet some of you would relate to this. How. Many watch the news like entertainment a siding for the news anymore its for the laugh laughs. Host theres so many lies near everybodys hand should be out. [laughter] guest thats a problem once you can measure stuff theres no way that Public Companies beholding to stockholders could do anything but the things that get the most attention. We had to get to this point once the change happened we are in bubbles looks crazy or insane or stupid or maybe they are lying and we cant quite tell. We know theres something wrong in that bubble. We cant make any sense of it people are very interested in their news consumption. Conservatives are little more likely statistically to sample cnn once in a while because more pervasive. People on the left typically are not even aware of the argument on the right. For they might know one of them but not the good one, for example,. [laughter] , mine. [laughter] s thats part of the problem. Stu when you do get some tips on how to get out of your bubble how to recognize if youre in one and then how to communicate. Guest yes i recommend pharmaceuticals. [laughter] not in the way you think. If you watch the news there are pharmaceutical commercials that come on if you make the mistake of actually listening about one there are more problems and you knew the humans could have healthwise you can take this pill to solve this problem but then youre going to have diarrhea your heart will explode in your lungs and be congested. Forget about because all good jokes take that off the table, thats the first thing they do so when theres a pharmaceutical commercial on i say first of all get this off of their because i dont hear about all these problems because i dont have those problems but if i hear about them im going to get them. Im going to get all of those problems if i hear about them im like oh, i do think i have a rash as a matter fact. So wanted to change the channel as quickly as possible to the opposites of im on i go to fox news and vice versa with pharmaceutical commercials. In that way i miss a lot of the ugly commercials but exposing myself to content on both sides. I recommend that thats the way i do it if youre not sampling both sides you really dont know whats going on but you think you do you tell sorry about your dog snickers you write think my dog m snickers believes simon edit because they dont take her outside to play what she is clearly communicating to do so she knows she send the lets go outside signal snows i see it im physically able to see it go outside but i dont stop what im doing to take out that she think im stupid . So sometimes you are snickers and sometimes you are you in the scenario theres sometimes a requires empathy and imagination to really think about where the other person is coming from. So sometimes a creative person gives her little more vision of the world and the engineer or scientist bird before nursing different professions have different styles of thinking, it was not to insult one because theres ingenious that goes across every kind of domain. As an example of an artist or someone who creates for a living might have a little more propensity to imagine their other explanations for the facts. The story i use and there is my car is perpetually dirty. Nephew saw my dirty carha youd say to yourself thats kind of an expensive car youd think he could afford to get it while shes got a flexible schedule he certainly could get it washed, so if he can afford it has the time and its never washed, he probably saving water . He cares about something or hes blind . Whats the reason . The real reason is the one youd never imagine. Facture always try to think of it right now its the real reason whats the real reason to seek an tells . Yes im going to tell you the real reason is i have an irrational fear of public instructions. I dont know if any of you have this. But i dont want to be in public where b anyone can see me that i have to figure out the instructions while people are watching. Problem is im too literal. Because it will be very clear, but for example use the example of the go to the store olivia sign that says wait here. And the cashier s will say next come on up here and for a moment ill be stunned and says wait here. But youre saying go up. I dont know if you have that authority . [laughter] did you make the sign . Is this your sign . Or is this your bosses sign . Because if its your boss aside and here. [laughter] i dontam w want to get a car wh get halfway in and turned sideways they have to dismantle the carwash to free me and the headline idiot cartoonist destroys car wash. Tr thats when my car is dirty did you get that . Does anybody get that one . [laughter] no. [laughter] the point is you have to make assumptions to live. You cannot live and operate in the World Without continuously making assumptions including assumptions that what people are thinking no matter howlu poorly we do it. You have to do it tono survive. But just be aware, just because you cant think of the other reason these things could happen, especially if youre watching the news, that doesnt mean that one reason given is the reason. The fact they talk about the 48 hourr rule. Or you should just wait 48 is when you see something on the news that makes your blood boil and you think how could that happen, how could that happen and then two days later the nooses that didnt actually happen, it seems we got that wrong. So just wait a couple days let the fog of war dissipate before you get too worked up about it. Sue and excellent have a number of questions from the audience bird were going to sort of ping back and forth between the book and some questions. This is a great question. Why does delberts tail always wag when he does people . The characters are mostly versions of me. You know how you have lots of different personalities are all inside you . Will dog bird is a part of my personality but i couldnt do because i would be beaten up or jailed i think of those things but i just dontt do it because its not polite or illegal so dog bird can do them i like to show his delight of biting his tail because he doesnt have eyeballs or mouth. I got ears and a tail to work with thats about it. But hes a giant. [laughter] okay so this question is when you find yourself using user think that you have to fall into. What i have fallen to all the time is using analogies for more than they should be used for. It is just so easy because its a natural way to talk to make analogies. Now analogies are great for explaining new concepts for the first time. If youre trying to tell somebody what a zebra is theyve never seen a zebra but they know to horses, so it looks like a horse but its got stripes. Its a good shortcut. What you dont want to do is use the analogy to predict. In fact if you turn on the news shall see all kinds of people doing exactly that. It makes no sense. So if you see for example your cat has a little mark under his nose it looks like a hitler mustache that does not mean your cat is going to invade poland it doesnt work that way. Likewise if you seen the president criticizing the press, well yeah dictators did that. But that doesnt mean is going to invade poland either. That could mean the process crossed a line, hes productive or politically productive to criticize impaired dont take the analogy is predictive. Its really bad way to predict. Sosa slippery slope you talk about a number of things people do in a future trip as some people say about sort of how this guy is going to fall and how bad things are going to be based on history repeating itself. History repeats as one of the biggest loser think examples you are all familiar with. He heard a million times a seat in the newss you see history repeats. History does not repeat. It cant. Because you are in a different situation with different variables often you are familiar with the other history thedi y real one, so tht tells you not to do it at this time. The reason it seems like history repeats, first of all we are just reminded of other things, thats the analogy problem. We dont notice all the times history does not repeat. If you could somehow see a chart, heres your pie chart here are all the times history did notot repeat because it couldnt and heres this one sliver kind of looks like something that happened before, but is not predictive because you dont know which slivers going to repeat coincidentally and which is going to be the one you never notice didnt repeat. And wind big league talk about your political views and about how in some ways they are very liberal. Although now into a lot of defense, at least on twitter, you engage people about allegations about the president. Can you talk about how that came to be, sort of how you ended up in this position of somebody who may be very liberal on certain issues we find yourself defending a republican president . For the longest time i called myself left of bernie. Part of it was a little joke on myself because there was nothing left of bernie. [laughter] it was a way of not characterizing myself. But then the democrats found a bunch of people who are left of bernie and unlike old come on i had the space all to myself. Youve ruined everything for me. [laughter] what i meant was at least on social issues i am left of bernie. All give you some examples bernie would like to legalize marijuana i would legalize more drugs come certainly mushrooms, do a test on opioids, even if it was just locally. So the drugs on commercials . [laughter] another example, just to make the point, and abortion