Transcripts For CSPAN3 Digital Technology And Connectivity 2

CSPAN3 Digital Technology And Connectivity June 22, 2024

National park service celebrating on tuesday of next week is the official birthday. We appreciate your calls this morning on the washington journal. Remind our viewers to join us tomorrow morning for a special show from richmond, virginia, one year after the shooting of Michael Brown in ferguson. Well talk about a closer look of policing and rebuilding the trust between the police and communities of color. Well be joined by alfred durham, richmond, virginias, police chief. Captain harvey powers will join us, virginias Police Training Center Executive and also joined by the mayor of richmond, dwight jones, all at 7 00 a. M. Eastern 4 00 a. M. Pacific, tomorrow morning on the washington journal. Today on cspan3, programs about technology. Coming up next, author larry downes, innovation as a result of the digital revolution. Then a discussion on the technology on the u. S. Economy and workforce. Former secretary Larry Summers is among the speakers. After that a hearing on new technologies to improve the safety and efficiency of the nations transportation systems. Officials from volvo, amazon, Bnsf Railroad and the port of long beach testify before the Senate Commerce committee. Tonight at 9 30 p. M. On cspan, liberal activists at the annual left forum in new york city. The final day of the event m features speak others a number of issues, including politics. Here is charles lynchner on why he supports Bernie Sanders as president. The Democratic Party for me is a set of Interest Groups and they represent different groups with different interests. Some groups that represent the corporations are fighting for things like ttp and they fight,w for imperialism. They do things you and i would disagree with. But other parts of the Democratic Party are fighting to have more rights for unions and increased wages for low income workers and more rights for people who work so that our families can be better off. And those other parts of the Democratic Party, in my opinion, shouldnt be con plate with the other parts. I think its Carl Davidson who talks about there being a sixparty system in this country, not a twoparty system. Within that within that theory theres four elements in the Democratic Party. I feel like im part of one of those elements and that Bernie Sanders is the champion of that particular faction and im going to do what i can to support him because id like to help make that faction victorious over the corporations. The left forum also featured a hiphop artist, clergy, discussing a variety of issues and goals for the movement. You can see the Forum Tonight at 9 30 p. M. Eastern time on cspan. Author larry downes says were in the Second Generation of Disruptive Innovation as a result of the digital revolution. Soon everything from our home thermostat, dryer, car and door locks will communicate with each other in the sensor revolution. He joined communications consultant, Robin Murdoch and author Shawn Dube Rav ak. Im best known as producers of a small trade show in los angeles called the international cs. Were just off our biggest year. Almost 50 years of history. 2. 2 million square feet, 170,000 of your nearest and0 n dearest friends. Im sure well be talking about that today. This is my oprah moment. Woven given you all a copy of my new book that just published yesterday, digital destiny which looks at how we ended up here and also paints a picture of what the implications are when everything becomes digital, becomes connected, becomes sensorized. We see a world where that really starts to impact every experience we have. Well get into that. Larry, let me turn it now to you and, perhaps, you can spend a minute, just introduce yourself and robin as well. Sure. Well, thank you. Thank you to the churchill club. Congratulations on your book. I read it in manuscript and its going to be a complete success. I think it encaps lates a lot of the same kinds of technologies that ive been doing in looking at the research, that was the basis of our book last year, big bang destruction and i think its more of the same. We certainly talk about ces this year, since the two of us were there. My feet still hurt. But i think one of the big themes i want to look at, as what we think of as the second disruption saturday of digital revolution. 20 years ago when i first started writing about these trends, you know, the industries that were really affected immediately were the obvious ones. Consumer electronics, computing, communications, entertainment and media. The ones that were effectively using those technologies all along as the core of their offering. What we found in the research for big bang disruption is that now were entering a new stage where all the other industries that werent affected or as transformed the first time around, now its their turn. A lot of interesting reasons we could talk about, why some industry its happening slower than others, why some its happening faster than others, but all the same kind of being amazon, being napsterized, all the same things that happened the first time around are now starting to happen in industries that had very little impact last time. Thats created both, you know, an interesting set of threats, an interesting set of opportunities for incumbent businesses as well as startups, investors and other interested parties. So, those rare the technologiesi think you write about so well in the book. We should sort of hopefully talk about some as many of them as we can. Yeah. Robin . Fantastic. Robin murdoch. I lead our Global Industry that serves our internet and social clients around the world. Vnl ive been there for nearly two decades. One of the privileges of working at accenture is i get to work with exciting clients. As i chart my history with accenture, ive been working around digital disruption for the last couple of decades. Its interesting you mentioned napster. I was working with music majors, all of them, when napster hit them. And, you know, their response or lack thereof. Then ive done a little work in the console gaming space. Ive worked on all the last three generations of the consoles we know and love today. Thats interesting from a digital disruption perspective. Unlike the smartphone we throw away every couple years, consoles, you know, the likes of playstation and xbox, they have to last for a much longer period of time. So the product strategy and the digital decisions youre goinga to make around architecting those consoles, how you launch them and how they work through their generations is very different from a lot of the throwaway Consumer Electronics weve seen today. Ive also been lucky enough since 2005 work with the leading cloud providers on their local clouds. Thats interesting because from a capital intensity perspective f youre making decisions that are quite often a decade, or if youre looking although things like Network Technology and laying fiber across oceans, thats a twodecade investment. Youre peering into the Digital Future and guess where the world is heading. As you look at some of the other areas ive worked around mobile and iot, a much, much more false cycle of development. If you look at the results from ces, Amazing Development just over the past year around the internet of things. Just bringing it full circle, i started my career with Ford Motor Company back in europe in vehicle development, particularly around electronics. I worked in the worked with ford back in 95 with Virtual Reality using silicone graphics and a think called a cyber glove you could put on and you could see your hands. 20 years on, it actually works. Back in the day 20 years ago, it didnt and we couldnt achieve what we wanted to. So, i think its interesting, as we look at digital disruption and the fast pace that we see that, everything is changing really fast. There are long cycle developments around Digital Technology that actually underpin a lot of the change we see and disruption we see right now. A lot of the seeds and foundation that allow that disruption to occur are actually sowed over a decade or so. Im dlided to be with both of you. Congratulations on the book. Ive only had a day to read it. Fascinating read. Thank you. Its interesting we both all three of us, but both of you have talked about timing. Its something i talk about in the book as well. We tend to think of these eureka moments, these aha moments where innovation is binary but its part of this broader evolutionary path that plays out over years or decades. I think thats definitely what we see with the trends were talking about today. Digitization, connectionization. We started first with devices owned at very high frequency. Telephones were the first to become digitized. 98 of households own them, they have three of them. You take something widely owned and start there. Weve gone throughout last 15 years all of the core devices we have. Were starting to now spill over into these adjacent spaces, these second order effects, i suppose, if you will. What do those start to look like . We can kind of paint to the end of the story where everything gets impacted. Thats an easy jump. Whats the sequence of events we see now until the end of digitization, if you will . As of a general rule, one of the things we found in our research about industry transformation is it sort of happens. A famous quote from earnest hemingway, a character asks another character, how did you go bankrupt . The other one says, gradually and suddenly. Thats what we found in the industry as we look at, you see a long period of gradual change where incumbents say, all right, this new technology is coming. It may eventually affect our core customers or Core Products but its happening in an incremental way, a predictable way and i dont have to worry about it. Some day, some event happens or some Critical Mass is reached, some product. Somebody finally gets the right combination of technologies and a Business Model and they put it together and they let it go and its facebook. All of a sudden, you know, all the rules are changed. And i think thats the general trend were seeing. As you talk about in the book, the Price Performance and size and power utilization also very important of sensor technology, you know, computing stuff, is Getting Better all the time. You keep having this more is law type of effect. It now becomes Cost Effective to start introducing intelligence into more and more things. And my takeaway, from las vegas last week, i said in an article we did for forbes, if there was one overriding message, it was the theme song from the lego moving. Instead of everything is awesome, it would be everything is connected. Everything you saw was connected to everything else. One of the ones that struck me is the nest thermostat. They have a Partner Program called works with nest. The list of partners initially seemed completely bizarre. It was the Car Companies. It was the lock company. It was im trying to remember some of the other, your fitbit. What do those have to do with the thermostat . Oh and the dryer. Whirlpool is also part of it. So, your dryer is now talking to your thermostat. Whats going on . Its telling you that if youre lets say you get in the car and you left, if the car tells that to the thermostat, the car tells the thermostat, nobody is home and were going to turn down the air conditioner. If youre not home, the dryer is told, theyre not home, slow down the cycle or ten minutes before they arrive, turn it back on to get a fresh psych. When you put your key in the smartlock, it says, shawn just walked in, this is the temperature he likes. Adjust the settings accordingly. These are connections that initially they seemed quite bizarre, but as you work your way through it, you realize, wow, that makes a lot of sense. Of course, these are totally different industries. The Car Companies and washing Machine Companies and thermostat companies, google. They dont normally seem like people who would be partners or things that would go together. Once you get to that incredibly low price point and you shove a dozen sensors into everything, then suddenly these connections become possible. The idea of industry, you know, this is the car industry, the manufacturing industry, the the very idea of industry starts to fall away. You see these very strange bed fellows. One of the things that happen in technology is we have these periods where we move from a scarcity and it goes to a surplus. I think of the 60s and 70s where Computing Power was a scarcity. We used it very sparingly. Universities may or may not have had computer access. There might have been a main frame people could cue up for. They would sign up for time on the computer. And then around 84, we take that scarce resource and it becomes an abundance so we waste it. 1984 apple introduces the macintosh. First computer to use a graphicical user interface. Prior to that time we would never have wasted computer time on graphicical user interface. It was a redundant feature. You would use a command window. Xerox tried a graphicical interface in 81 but it wasnt expensive and it was very expensive because had you to pay a premium for that Computing Power. I feel like sensors are there today where its gone from a scarcity to a surplus. We start to waste it. When we do, it creates these new opportunities or new marketplace. I think about image sensors on phones. We used to take one on the back, now one on the front and multiple ones. Now a second one on front. It changes our behavior. It introduces the selfie. We can argue whether thats a good thing or bad thing. Word of the year two years ago. Right. And thats empowered because we employed sensors on the front of that mobile device. If youre in an industry, you need to think about what are the deployment of sensors going to do my end user has . Thats a great example of the dwrad wal and sudden phenomenon. One thing driving the sensorization of everything is sort of an unexpected event, which was the smartphone revolution. We have a billion plus smartphone devices. Whats thats done is created this secondary market for all the parts that go into smartphones. If you take a commercial drone, a 3d printer, most of the things if you literally take them apart, what you find is most of the pieces in them are smartphone pieces. Often the last generation smartphone pieces, you now buy them cheap on the secondary market because theyve been made in such incredible volume. I can get a gyroscope, magnatometer, cameras, displays, the chip sets themselves, theyre made in incredible volume just for the Smartphone Market that it spills over into other industries. Suddenly, what might have been years away from a costeffective moment to start introducing these, now its happening overnight. Id say as you look at Core Technologies, i like to look at it in simplicity terms, device levels, huge examples, at the sensor level. You have the network, the connectivity, you talked about connected devices. Arguably connectivity certainly is not moving as fast as were seeing the devices, advances in devices. Then you have the cloud that is just unlocking incredible creativity. I struck by at a Technology Level is there are those things happening but i think there are three other thins happening almost as vital. I think the i think the reason were seeing explosion of creativity and everything atok is not only the Technology Development but also the fact there are kind of open ecosystems for development. If youre a small startup today, you can now conceivably go into the hardware space. You can work with a variety of different players in the supply change, amazon to do your fulfillment. You can get into the hardware space. Clearly in the software space, weve seen many years of open source now, so you can stand on the shoulders of giants. The other thing, of course, you mentioned smartphones. You can look at the smartphone or the user and the financial power of that user. With android and ils, just take those two, thats 1 billion customer accounts. 1 billion paying users you as an individual developer f youre willing to sign up and develop for android or ios, you can access. Thats unique. Thats something thats happened over the last few years. Back to your world, shawn, you know, just continual rise. Indeed, enterprises expand on Consumer Electronics. Whats fascinating just in that space is not only are we spending more and more on Consumer Electronics as the expense of other categories products like your tv is catching left. That kind of fueling of spend in these new categories is just phenomenal. And it comes to the point, you know, how many units of the apple watch will be sold . Whats your proxy for how many apple watches will be sold . Theres such a huge amount of spend thats opening up for these devices. I fully agree. I think were in an amazing time of creativity in the digital space. Its almost this cambrian moment where were seeing the proliferation of so many products as witnessed by ces. The other thing is which one will survive . Which ecosystem will survive . To your point, larry, how will they interact . Its a very good question. Which services will be the kingmakers and the platforms that everything will Congress Rate to. An incredible amount of change well see

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