That are present on the station, so again, the longer they are there, the worse the situation is going to be, the question of where is that limit, when a certain event can happen that will affect the environment there, its a matter of time, so the sooner we will take them away from here, the world will take them away, that is, i always say that it is not, the war between ukraine and russia, yes, this is a question, in fact the russians put the whole world at risk and destroyed everything that the world has achieved in terms of instruments, International Conventions regarding nuclear security. Thank you, mr. Minister, for agreeing to the interview with us, thank you for the conversation, we continue, you are watching the marathon. The only news, 5 am on the clock now, nikita mikhalov, serhiy chernshov, we are working for you in this studio, and now we will Pay Attention to the map of alarms, so the Luhansk Region and the autonomous region remain traditional, traditionally red the republic of crimea and, unfortunately, the traditional one, there is now danger in the nikopol district, there remains the threat of artillery fire. Meanwhile , the occupiers transferred 15 ships to novorossiysk. And a submarine, including caliber carriers, satellite images that confirm this were published by analyst matthew anderson, and stated that one russian ship is in dry dock, according to the analyst, as of october 17, the dock was flooded, but on the 19th drained again, this mr. Analyst suggests that this is possible there was a check on the sealed hull of the ship , which is under repair, but in general, there are two ships at the second base of the black sea fleet, this is admiral hryhorovych, four small missile ships, three patrol boats, two submarines and four large amphibious ships, so what is this means, we will not only talk about this, we will talk with serhiy bratchuk, he is the spokesman of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army south, a military expert. Mr. Serhiy, we welcome you, our greetings. Glory to ukraine, glory to the forces, congratulations colleagues. To the heroes glory. So, about the 15 ships, in particular naval submarines, which the russian occupiers threw into novorossiysk, well, of course , on the one hand, we would like to give birth on this occasion, on the other hand, we would like to ask questions, and what could be the reasons, besides the fact that, well, they are frankly afraid in to leave them in the sevastopol bay . In fact, it is the main reason that the ships are rebased to what i hope will be the future permanent deployment point of the Russian Federations black sea fleet, at least what will remain after the russoukrainian war, after our victory who certainly has no doubts, precisely to novorossiysk. The enemy also uses feodosia, the enemy also uses kerch, and tries to withdraw as many ships as possible from sevastopol, what he actually demonstrates, on the other hand, one should not forget an equally important thing in my opinion, which is the existence of the infrastructure of the black sea fleet of the Russian Federation, which works not only exclusively to maintain the trousers of the black sea fleet of the Russian Federation, this infrastructure also works to provide the corresponding units of the Russian Occupation army, which is also located on the territory of the temporarily occupied crimea, and actually works, including those groups of Russian Troops located in the southern direction, the threat of missile strikes, unfortunately, it has not disappeared anywhere, these are the most important risks that today there is, well , in addition to the air situation, we understand that the enemys Tactical Aviation is constantly operating in the waters of the black sea. Therefore, of course , we are talking about the fact that this missile threat is very relevant today, and despite the certain shortage of calibers that can to arise today with the enemy, and we understand very well, this is no longer news here, i will not reveal to america now that the enemy, judging by everything, is accumulating a missile arsenal in order to use it in the near future. The threat to Energy Facilities is the most important risk that also exists today. Well, we perfectly understand that just like from the black sea equator to the crimean region, these carrier ships launched calibers, these calibers, they can also do it from the equator in the novosiysk region, to level this threat, it turns out, has become more difficult from the point of view of logistics, since , well , then you need to be logistically novorossiysk. There were cases when the enemy attacked us with calibers from the waters of the sea of azov, but it should not be forgotten, and at least in the summer the enemy did this, as far as. Loading, for example, with calibers, that is, the relevant technical, routine work that takes place at arming the rocket launchers with missiles, this happens only in sevastopol, then they will have to return to sevastopol after a possible attack, and it is clear that they are trying to close the bays there as much as possible today and somehow they are already closing them in order to secure their ships, of course, at the same time various situations are possible during the transition. And our intelligence is sure that it is usually monitored, those units that can really cause damage to enemy ships, primarily surface ships, we understand that surface, surface flotilla of naval drones of ukraine, it is not standing still, it is developing, and i hope that these results will eventually be shown on the battlefield, well, of course, the physical destruction of ships is huge. It will be a plus for us, and actually, lets not forget that , what i said a little earlier, infrastructure, it is very important, because, well , as it is customary to say today, this game can be played by two people, that is , the struggle for preemption, that is, the launch of missile strikes from our side on objects, military about projects on the territory of crimea, in particular in the sevastopol district, in sevastopol bays, bays, of course, this will be a huge plus for our success in this struggle, and in terms of infrastructure, just with the speaker, we recently spoke at the Ukrainian Ministry of foreign affairs, and he said that, well, anyway , ukraine is without, a fleet, a classic the fleet cannot be dispensed with, so ukraine still needs to invest money in building its own classic fleet, not a mosquito one, not only to use naval drones, but in particular there must be a classic fleet in order to provide, provide. In particular, sales grain by sea well, look, if we are talking about preliminary, for example, about sea babies, yes, about sea drones, we are talking first of all about a tool that today exists and can be effective precisely in the russianukrainian war, so it is a tool, once again i say that as regards the development of the naval forces of ukraine, the national fleet, of course it is not only about this. Also , the mosquito fleet should not only be about the mosquito fleet, of course we are talking about the construction of new ships, and we know that in the shipyards of the partner countries there are such vessels are being built, i hope they will be launched, with a certain time they will be ready for the work you said about, well actually look, first of all we are grateful to the naval forces of the armed forces of ukraine that the route that today is called apparently for the expansion of the export corridor, it works, because the first task was set precisely for the naval forces of the armed forces of ukraine. Mr. Serhiy, regarding the threats in the black sea again, now from the migs, the carriers, yes, of the kinzhal missiles, that is, the British Intelligence says that this does not go beyond the scope of russian rhetoric, which already existed before that, so in fact the situation will not change, if the situation does not change, then this is a reversal, then it says something, just that there was something freeze putins internal audience and no more . You know, i agree with this, as with the main thesis, because, well, just look at the time , at this period of time that has passed since putin allegedly gave the order, or rather, announced this initiative to the whole world, as they say migi himself will be overturned, of course he also talked about daggers on the territory of temporarily occupied crimea, but actually he was talking about the waters of the black sea. It is clear and literally immediately the order of the socalled Supreme Commander from the kremlin was carried out, again, today there is no 100 confirmation that these migs of the 31st, which are located on the territory of crimea, they are precisely this prefix with the letter k, that is , dagger carriers, and again, lets talk about l logic, the logic is that if mig 31 with daggers take off from any airfield in the depths of the Russian Federation or other territories, it is clear that the alarm is being sounded throughout the territory of our country, we have been going through this since the beginning of the great invasion, does the situation of the presence of migs in the territory of crimea change, something in this regard, absolutely not, the alarm signal is sounding, we again, lets not forget, this is strategic aviation, there are still restrictions in the air, including territorial ones, well , again, i dont think that this is only for the domestic russian public, i think that this is also an effort, well it is an old concept that is no more works, in my opinion, after all, russian, to work for a western audience, i think that even at the. Basic level today this pressure, even with migs 31 mik, informationally, is still not so key, well, how was it , for example, at the beginning of a large invasion. Well, by the way, regarding migs and daggers, i will quote you, just a couple of days ago you said that you think that this is a story with daggers, another horror story of putin, primarily for the west, until now he believed that that can frighten the president of the Russian Federation as well tried to joke, but his excitement gave out. Are these only, well, such demonstrative actions to scare, or after all, well, there is a certain threat, and for the kamats as well , is putin really afraid of attacks now, especially after the recent events, when they showed themselves quite well, any weapon , it is dangerous. Perfectly understood, especially if it is in the hands of a russian monkey, from the lowest to the highest level, and this is not trolling now, not trying to make a joke in some way, this is the absolute truth about the attacks, about of other ukrainian weapons, we can talk about the fact that it works , works effectively in the hands of ukrainian soldiers, and accordingly we talk about the fact that the aviation component in the near future, as much as possible, of course. Can change the situation, affect it, at least including on the battlefield, but of course, we must talk about the most important weapon in my opinion that we have today and which we cannot simply lose, this is the unity of Ukrainian Society and this is the unity of our western partners and allies, this is the most what today the enemy is afraid, two points are key in my opinion, it is from the enemys side , to influence today the separation of these factors, which i mentioned, and the attempt to intimidate , including the Ukrainian Society in some way , because of the losses, because of those blows, first of all ballistics today, when we are suffering losses, to intimidate civilian people in order to somehow raise the appropriate mood of pacifism, there is an attempt to come to power, lets go to negotiations, these are the theses that the enemy is trying to. Attempts of some loud victories, that what we see, for example, in the area of avdiyivka, Great Respect for our soldiers, they are not just steel, and i dont even know such an epithet that you can call them today, and of course, if you mentioned ballistics, then my sincere condolences to the families of the dead and the fastest recovery of the victims from the strikes in the kharkiv region, mr. Serhiy, now moving on to the situation on the front line, taking into account. The avdiyivka that you just mentioned, taking into account the transfer of enemy forces and means from the east from lemyanno to the lymanokupyan axis and from the south exactly to on donets direction, and what is left of siltazabs with the enemy in the south of our country, in the temporarily occupied territories . First of all, aviation weapons, we can see how the enemy is actively using them, there are already certain statistics here, according to the kherson Regional Military administration, we have all seen these statistics and know how the enemy , with what number of aerial bombs strikes at on the right bank, personally, this is an attempt to restrain in some way possible, i emphasize, possible advances or intensification of the actions of the Ukrainian Armed forces, because exactly those reserves that you said about, they really spill over to the avdiivka direction, borog needs avdiivka, and here we are talking not only about military art, about some kind of operationalstrategic initiative, it is about what they need to do at any cost , frontal. Attacks, and they throw in those units that were today the most combatcapable in general on the russianukrainian front, these are the brigades that were already ground near avdiivka, they restore them again, throw them into battle again, that is, this butchery is russian, it is working, and i really want our units, which are there today, to hold out in this fortress and inflict as much damage as possible, but the situation. Is very difficult, and in the south, i already said that the enemy is trying to attack precisely with aviation weapons, that is, where today, unfortunately, he has a certain dominance , i hope, once again i am talking about the aviation component, which should appear in our country, we hope, mr. Serhiy, thank you for these explanations, serhiy bratchuk, spokesman of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army south, a military expert has just been with us on communication, well, we will continue literally in a few minutes. We still have many important topics ahead of us. Chevrons approaching victory. Infamous, united, independent ukraine was, is and will be. Because we are ukraine, no matter how they try to quarrel with us, we are united, so dont try to do to us , we will keep our line, because we are strong, we will contribute and do everything for victory, because we are free, we support those who are close to us, who lost spirit, who lost and continues to lose, we release from captivity those who stood up for the defense of the country. And our future, because a strong rear the guarantee of a strong army, inevitable victory and our independence, which we prove every day. Rules of a warm country bathroom. Thank you for passing through the night at low temperatures, loading the drum as much as possible. Lets beat the winter together. I dont know if i can, what i have is enough for me, women dont get paid that much, he is more professional than me, can i change anything, i dont deserve this kind of money, can i get more, and what if they refuse me, a high position is probably not for me, there are many people like me, i cant, of course i can. Well, now about money in different cuts, the export of ukrainian grain fell by almost three times in october, the press service of the ministry of agriculture reported this, according to the department, for this month, the export of grain amounted to about a million tons, which is almost three times less. Than in the same period of october last year, in general , t wheat, 654,000 barley, a ton of rye, and 3,000 tons of corn were exported in the new season. The main part of this shipped volume is wheat flour, which is 38,500 tons. Well , i will also add that at the same time the export of wheat flour and flour from other crops increased by 23. 5 , or by 7,500 tons, that is, it is 30, almost 40,000 tons. We will now. Talk about it all with ivan us, he is the chief consultant of the National Institute of strategic studies and candidate of economic sciences. Congratulations, mr. Ivan, our greetings. Good night to the studio, good night viewers. Well, lets figure it out, first with the fall, yes, about which minap reports, on the one hand, the reasons are clear, but now we need to understand, and how it will happen in the Global Situation in the world, well, i understand. That ukraine will feed itself, but regarding, for example, the global south there, as we like to talk about it, what will happen to it . Actually, really, if we look at the dynamics, we had, lets say, a period until march, when the situation was more or less normal, and then, let me remind you that in april, our partners in the european union, they started to create, lets say, certain problems, and after that it began. A reduction in grain exports, which was then imposed by the withdrawal of the Russian Federation, or rather the reluctance of the Russian Federation to continue the work of the black Sea Grain Initiative in july and what. What do we have now, lets face it, in march, grain exports from ukraine reached 1 billion 200 million dollars, in september, the month has already ended, it was 340 million, that is, such a drop, and how does it affect other countries of the world . And you know, well, yes, i agree, ukraine will feed itself, at the same time, there, for example, bangladesh, such a very large country in terms of population, has significantly reduced the volume of the worlds grain purchases. Because there a certain share came from ukraine, now they do not receive them, and if we look at the un reports, we see that many countries in africa, there are kenya, ethiopia, they name it, which also most likely do not receive grain, precisely because there is no opportunity to receive it from ukraine, because if you look at the data of the Monitoring Center of the black Sea Grain Initiative, china was the first there. Who received the goods, followed by spain in second place, italy in