Transcripts For ESPRESO 20240702 : vimarsana.com

ESPRESO July 2, 2024

Six months at the expense of democraticcivilian control, which the Verkhovna Rada can exercise within the framework of the creation of appropriate temporary investigative or special commissions, i want to remind you that this should be a mechanism of control by the opposition over the activities of the authorities, it was blocked, now it has been created, i really hope that even though it is not an investigative commission, but a special commission, it will be able to prove to some. Logical public finale, all that happened at the level of officials who actually stole money from the state budget, withdrawing it through their incomprehensible companies, with an incomprehensible reputation and actually disrupted the preparation plan itself, it would be good to really know the names of the companies and prove , ms. Iryna, but are these deputies who will check it professional and professional . Do they understand these fortifications and security issues, will this group of deputies be provided with some sensitive important state secret information, if so, is it not risky that in the company of this special commission there is such a person with a prohibited opzh, for example, well, there is such a concept as a state secret and admission to a state secret or to documents containing a state secret, respectively, if. A person has this permit, and the permit is also granted by the sbu, which checks for the possibility of this person being used by the enemy or cooperating with the enemy, so here the question will be to the sbu whether this odious person, who is currently a member of the temporary special commission, has a permit to state secrets, in addition, the commission can really hold closed meetings with members or under the signature of everyone who will be. Summoned to the meeting regarding the nondisclosure of information that will be made public during the meeting, so i really hope that the commission will have sense and will have certain results that will enable us to prosecute or demand the prosecution of those criminals who profited from the fortifications. Iryna, do you know whether there were such checks regarding the group of deputies that is already in the commission . I do not know this, no, i do not know this, each deputy has this permission, for example, we, as members of the National Security committee, have permission because a certain number of our meetings are held in closed mode, does this entire commission have permission, i dont know, i thank you that joined, iryna friz, peoples deputy of ukraine, was a guest of svoboda ranok, and another important topic, of course, it is all related, related to the issue of war, but. Representatives of local authorities, entrepreneurs, businessmen have already begun to complain about the shortage of male employees, for example, the mayor of mykolaiv, oleksandr senkevich, reported that the number of buses on city routes decreased precisely because of the mobilization. He says that there are buses, but there is no one to drive them. However, he did not explain whether the men had already been mobilized or whether they simply did not go out work dnipro mayor Borys Filatov wrote similar complaints even before the law on mobilization came into force. He says that due to approaches to reservation and mobilization in the dnipro , public transport may be stopped and Utility Services may be shut down. My public transport will soon stop and no one will work at the water supply and heat power plants, and the enterprising comrades from teck should also think not with their ass, but with their heads. Workers of Critical Infrastructure are not cells in plans dropped from above, but those who give the opportunity to live a normal life in the rear, in particular for the families of those who fight. For example, women have already been mobilized, forbes writes about this, referring to the words of the executive director of the plant, if previously women worked mostly in administrative positions at the plant. Now, due to the lack of men, they take on more physically demanding work. At the same time , business representatives complain about the lack of personnel, and not even because of mobilization, but because of the departure of people abroad, in particular women. For example, the owner of a cafe and bakery in in kyiv, anna dunina declares that she is already experiencing a lack of personnel in the Service Sector. She predicts that the level of the Service Sector will fall, businesses will stop, accordingly, the economy will weaken due to unpaid taxes. We will talk further about the economy, about the approach to mobilization. Serhii fursa, investment banker, banker joined our broadcast. Sergey, congratulations, thank you for joining. Congratulations. The reservation system that operates today, its logic is clear to you, does it work normally, or is it fair, lets say yes, do you also have questions about this whole fairness scheme . Well, look, justice is generally a very conditional concept. Actually fairness here, if youre booked then. Everythings fair, if youre not booked then its not fair, thats what it sounds like, so id drop the term fairness and talk about efficiency, is the reservation efficient now, well it is partially, actually , is it 100 effective, well no, of course, because nothing in our country works 100 effectively, eh, so now they are also talking about economic armoring, for example, because it should be an important element in order for the same kryvarizhstal plant to increase production. Whether other businesses could book critical employees for this business. Sergey, well, critical enterprises and where there are, for example, mostly men, professionals in this field, this is one story, and it is regulated by the state, if state enterprises, there is also a private sector, not all of them work in belarus, lets say so , officially, and also here there is a question, that is, how it should be from an economic. Balanced point of view, for example, if this is a profession for which a woman can retrain, then this man should be taken into the army or not, which should be so general approach so that it still looks and is economically justified, so that enterprises do not stop, certain spheres do not stop, we just quoted the mayors of ukrainian cities who say that the communal sphere is also stopped, that buses, and not all those who should leave through these crossings leave for the flight mobilization well, look, firstly, i think that women can retrain in any profession, and here we dont need to promote some kind of gender inequality, secondly, well, will we make some kind of perfect model, well, no, of course we wont , and here it should also be noted that the problem is not so much in mobilization as in the communication of this mobilization, but we currently have a labor force of approximately 1314 Million People in ukraine, and approximately 300,000 people are mobilizing this year, that is 2 . That is, if it is distributed as a whole in. Somewhere evenly across economy, it will not have a critical impact at all, the fact that in order to mobilize 300 thousand, scared several Million People, and people are afraid to get a job, are afraid to actually leave the gray zone to the light zone, it is more influential now that they talked about economic armoring, that is why that kryvaristal itself cannot hire people, because people say, well, look, we sit at home here, we dont turn off the lights, if we go out to work with you, we will immediately. Under the radar of the tcc, we are afraid, we dont want to do that , and precisely because of this there is also a need for economic reservations, when a factory or an enterprise says, i will pay for these people, they are critically important to me, i will pay high taxes for these people, it will go to the state budget, let me hire these people, who are already somewhere in the gray the zone is sitting there, you dont see them, hire these people and guarantee that you wont take them away from me there for the next six months and a year. Thats what its really about. Sergey, you as an economist wrote and say that terrible communication regarding mobilization took place, many different experts in their spheres say the same thing, this is how it is evaluated, and you wrote that the pr effect of mobilization for business is much worse than the real effect, because mobilization cannot be avoided, yes, there is already a reaction, and you are talking about it, so what to do, is it possible to fix this error at all, or is it possible to somehow set it up for someone. Well, look, i think that, unfortunately, you will not be able to fix this situation, because people were scared, not business was already scared, people were scared, starting from december, creating this artificial excitement, in principle, we have a million in the army people, now 3,000 are being mobilized, that is, this is a third of those who have already been mobilized, and i repeat, this is just not. A significant share, in principle, of the people who are currently working in the country, but since it is already parelyak, if there was some kind of strategic strategy communication, we simply do not have it physically, but we see how the russians are constantly digging into our society, having their own plans, and they are clearly following these plans, and the ukrainian side, ukraine reacts sporadically, is it possible already to fix all this damage that was done, no, we will not completely fix it, or you can somehow try to smooth it out with proper communication, well, you can, yes, but it must be done, there must be some conditional strategic communicators at the level of the state, at the level of the president s office, who developed the strategy in the preterm. Followed this strategy, there is no such thing, we just sometimes see brutal statements that scare people, stir up society and then turn everything back, it is almost impossible, and what should a business do, well, a business that heard, for example, you, and understood , what is the biggest problem in communication, for example, and that not everything can be so scary, and how they can get out of this situation, how to react in general to these mobilization processes, including, well, i cant give any advice, i dont have any. No advice really, because the business is really facing a lack of personnel, it was a problem before the war, it intensified during the war, and yet now they say there are no people, there are actually as many people in the 24th year as there were not in the 23rd there has been some significant outflow of people over the last year, its just that the economy has recovered and the lack of personnel became more noticeable, and we actually have to live with this lack of personnel during the war and in fact after the war in the same way, so the issue of migration and strategy is very relevant, again. Migration strategy, so that it is not a chaotic process, now we have to live with it, we have to understand that we will all face a shortage of personnel, a shortage of labor, according to the calculations of our analysts, this will affect Economic Growth, the processes will not destroy the economy, and in Economic Growth is expected for us this year, even despite problems with recruitment, its just that the growth will not be 4. 5 , but 4 . Gdp, but this is growth, you say about the strategy of attracting migrants that it should be developed, it can be a solution to some significant part of these issues, in general it can be a solution, after the war it will be a solution to a significant problem, because we have depopulation, that is the war is ending, now the problem of security is the most important thing, yes, and thats why you cant say there, mobilization is good for us, mobilization, you wont get anywhere from mobilization, yes, this is the base, after the war eh. We will already live in a normal economic situation, and in this normal economic situation, the biggest problem will be depopulation, and not the number of people, even, because well, 5 Million People live in finland, they live normally, the question of the ratio of people who work and pensioners, and pensioners, yes, we have it its a terrible ratio, we have big problems with the labor force as such, with the youth as such , the number of these people relative to pensioners, and its not by any laws there. You will fix it, when you will introduce taxes and so on, this is quite a natural process in all countries, actually, which are already considered civilized, now this is the biggest challenge in principle for the world and for ukraine as well, so after the war we must have a strategy to attract migrants, we will not get anywhere from this, or we will be beaten, or several million migrants will come to work in us, and here the state has to determine itself, because there is an example of australia or canada, which sensibly approach this policy. They filter people, they themselves determine who they need, what gender, what religion, what even skin color and so on, or it will be a chaotic process, as in france, sergey, well, you know about the irritating topic of economic reservation, there are such initiatives, proposals in the Verkhovna Rada, including, say, uah 20,000, for example, you pay for a month, support one military man and work yourself, and this is how you get this reservation, in your opinion, does it still make sense at all, this discussion and this approach . It makes sense, it is effective, but unfortunately, populism prevents it, in what sense populism prevents it, well, when the conversation about economic reservation, its about efficiency, immediately politicians start saying that its not fair, and its populism, well, not only politicians, its like that , ask people, theyll also say, i dont have the opportunity, relatively speaking, to redeem myself , someone has it, then im going to the army, because the wording here is incorrect, to redeem, its not about redemption. Not redemption, it is about the taxes that you pay and have paid before, but now we see, for example, a bright situation with the aytishniks, the aytishniks felt great for a very long time, worked as fops and paid 5 taxes, now they cant be booked because they are fops, thats all, so heres an example, just like that too, that actually economic reservation is an element of justice, you pay taxes, you support the state, youre up to it did you pay back taxes . Then you have, so to speak, less chance of going to the army, because the state, lets make it clear that i am a state, what i am interested in, i dont have someone rich, someone poor. It is impossible that some corrupt person who simply stole the money brought it and paid, it is necessary to receive money from the state, replenish the budget, including having resources for mobilization, i thank you serhii for joining, sharing your vision, your thoughts, serhii fursa, an investment banker, was a guest of freedom mornings. Thank you to all our viewers for being with us, we work for you and will be grateful for your support, for your likes, subscription to our channel, see you tomorrow, have a good day. Thinking about a new mattress, but heres whats stopping you, have you wondered what youre sleeping on . Old mattresses accumulate not only dust, but also moisture that a person releases during sleep. A new mattress topper or bed linen can only improve the mattress aesthetically. 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Maria, glory to ukraine, good day, glory to the heroes, congratulations, what everyone is probably most interested in is the schedule itself, the disconnection, eh, will this scheme actually continue in the near future, will there be longer periods of disconnections, because currently some have no electricity for two hours, some for three, the situation in the power system is really difficult, since march 22. The enemy carried out five massive missile and drone strikes on energy facilities, in particular, the enemys main target was ukrainian power plants, these are the facilities that directly produce the electricity that you and i consume, so, unfortunately, we all have to get used to to the fact that schedules of hourly outages are our new reality for the time being, as of today, the Ukrenergo Dispatch Center has already warned that restrictions are possible for a long time. The noise of the whole day. And now i was informed that they have already started in various regions. This is mainly due to the fact that today over ukraine, and in the regions , the weather is cloudy. This means that due to low solar activity, solar power plants cannot produce enough energy to cover the needs of all consumers during the day. As you know, now solar power plants. In fact, they are forced to insure and replace the operation of thermal and hydroelectric power plants that have suffered significant damage, therefore, as long as this mode of operation in the power system is maintained, restoration work on those power units of the power plant that can be restored, and our Energy Colleagues are working on this, but with the onset of higher air temperatures, with the onset. Or a greater warming of the heat, the

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