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dismayed that his poll numbers are falling in iowa. we had to have someone who isn't springing out of bed to tweet. let me tell you what i really think of donald trump. this man is a pathological liar. donald trump is a serial philanderer. and he boasts about it! this is not a secret. he's proud of being a serial philanderer. >> ted cruz, john how to go against trump in 16. we're joined by -- an msnbc contributor -- senior news anchor with the washington post. welcome to both of you. brianne, what do you think about the history showing that it's hard to predict iowa, that it might work better to listen to the voters in realtime than get ahead of them, and what if any insights do you have about what's going on this weekend and over the next week? >> well, i think it really right on there. it's tough to look at the polling and use those as predictive factors of what's