Transcripts For IRINN 20240703 : vimarsana.com

Transcripts For IRINN 20240703

This year, our Unemployment Rate is 88 . We hope that this trend will continue and the Unemployment Rate will decrease, and as i said, this decrease in the Unemployment Rate is due to the increase in employment, which means that the number of people who actually go to work or are employed has increased by about 78,000 compared to last year. Found the statistics in the economic field now it is published more in the country, or there is a Statistical Center of iran or the central bank, we will see a report on this , and we will talk about this issue with each other later. 60 inflation in september 1400, claim or reality. These comments are the headlines of some media regarding the inflations that have been announced by the government so far. Government spokesman on 19 february 100. The inflation that i think now is according to the announcement of the central bank and not the Statistics Center of iran. Inflation that we faced at the beginning of the formation of the government with 60 inflation. The first minister of economy of the year 1401, according to the announcement made by the central bank of the Islamic Republic of iran. We are at the inflation rate of 12 months we were faced with about 59 and the former head of the central bank on the 9th of shahrivar 1401, from 593 percent , which was at the beginning of the government. The official of all the official statistics of irans Statistics Center, mr. Raisi emphasized in the meeting of the government board on the 5th of august 1401 the Statistics Center is responsible for providing accurate statistics in the country and only these statistics should be the basis for policy making , but one month later, the minister of Economy Reduced declaring inflation in your user account based on the Central Bank Rate did. The solution of how to solve this problem of referring to two centers is not to remove one of the centers, but we can make our regulations based on referring to one. Despite the law stating that the Statistics Center is an authority, this issue is not taken into account. It is expected from the government, the central bank and the Statistics Organization to reach a consensus and at least the elite society of the country, the executive and decisionmaking bodies , to get out of this socalled uncertainty in announcing statistics in the field of inflation. Fatemeh khan ahmaddi is a news reporter. We have seen the report on the role of the Statistics Center iran publishes what is the status of irans Statistics Center in making decisions. The statistics it produces are used in decisionmaking in two hours. One is a prior process, that is, before the decisions are made. Well, many times. The decisions that are made based on the sampling and statistical reports of the Statistics Center, an assessment of the current Economic Situation of the country and an assessment of the implementation implications of those decisions are presented so that a decision can be made. It also has a secondary role , that is, the decisions we made in the countrys economy are now coming by observing its outputs in the economy we are evaluating the results of the country, that now a policy has been implemented in the field of banking system, in the political field, inflation control policies, monetary policies, Exchange Rate policies , what are the consequences for economic growth, inflation, employment rate, etc. , which are now naturally statistical and reported during policy making. It is possible and now sometimes there are differences between the statistics published by the central bank and the Statistics Center, and why this difference is due to the existence of different indicators. In the way of calculations, such as technical works a lot of statistics are done in the Statistics Center. Statistical technical differences and sometimes the basis of information which is the basis of statistics that is used , now there is a confusion of Expert Opinions that such differences do occur, but regardless of this story, lets skip the technical issues according to the law and the upper documents, specifically the law the permanent regulations of the programs of the Statistical Center of iran are known as a Specialized Institution and the main authority for the publication of these statistics, and on this basis, the Statistical Center is an institution whose all expertise, personnel and organizational structure are focused on the preparation of reports and the publication of statistics. Big like this. The statistics published by the Statistics Center are mostly pessimistic. That is, an economic event happens, then you get statistics and announce that, for example, the Unemployment Rate is this, the growth rate is this , the gini coefficient is this. For example, what will the next year be like or the expected growth. Yes, yes, you see, to some extent, the Statistics Center and other institutions do such work. Based on regression, we say that there are different statistical methods. You can see that regression is a valid statistical technique it is used now , there are scientific sources, but it has its own limitations, for example , we cannot use every variable for every time period based on the regression method, because it is different. The policies implemented by the government are different, sometimes we face structural failure , so we have to use different methods. The reports that are prepared by the institutions, including the Statistics Center , are of two categories. Some of them are published in the media. Well , it doesnt publish the reports of the former, but both the Statistics Center and other institutions like you they are decisionmaking processes, they provide reports of forecasting and estimation of the future to the higher authorities in the Decision Making process, but these may not necessarily be publicized and published in the media. Various organizations prepare such reports. Yes, past statistics are much more influential in the decisions that are made. Why dont we work more on this specific area . I said that we are working on this position. Yes, yes, public release is not given now, specifically Statistics Centers policy is not to publish these to the public because of various considerations , but they are used in the decisionmaking process to clarify the minds of decisionmakers in order to have a vision of the countrys future. Census that maybe. It was one of the issues that people go from house to house in the area of ​​employment, unemployment, and population. We dont want to conduct a census in the same way as before, or see this issue in the agenda of the census. The effort of the Statistics Center is to be able to in the next step, the developing countries should carry out the census in a registrationbased manner using madrasans methods. The main experience of the countries is that before they carry out a registrationbased census , that is, they should move from the completely traditional method to the traditional method. Completely modern time intervals for 5 years and 10 years in a combined way, that is, in some areas, the work is done on the basis of registration , in some areas, it is done traditionally and by referring to houses and the like. Our effort is that during the years we can do this project in a onetime registration basis, but it is possible according to the way we cooperate with other devices, to check the accuracy and quality of the amount of data that is being registered in different devices, it may be necessary to carry out a part of the census in a traditional way in some areas. Our plan for the long term is to do this completely based on registration, because if that happens, we will have the census for 5 years once again, and we will have the Information Online on a daily basis, that is, you can access it whenever you want. Its as if you realize at that moment what the state of the census output is, of course the point has not been achieved yet, it is a goal that we are pursuing with the help of other devices that , god willing , we will reach it in the next few years. We have to talk about the fact that the Registration Number is to be fully realized, which means what exactly needs to happen. I want to give you a summary, we have to say that the identity information of people , information such as gender, level of education, age , Family Status of people, place of residence, zip code, address and information of this the one that now has some details and me i have a brief message for you. The relevant device must be properly registered and in the back and forth with the iranian Statistics Center, these will reach the maturity we want. Well, if you go through the details in some of these items of information that i mentioned, the relevant device is good information. They are making it difficult, for example, in the field of information, identity, and Family Structure information. Well, good efforts have been made by the haval registration organization. In some areas, we have made Good Progress with the help of the Statistics Center. In some areas , the work needs to be completed. That we are both in the Statistics Center and in the Supreme Council of statistics and in the headquarters the census that has these points is in the upper documents of the census headquarters, where all the related institutions that are related to the census area are gathered and divided into tasks, each institution has to do its duty. What we are doing is that, god willing, he will grant all these things that i have said, that the correct information with good accuracy and high quality will be recorded in the relevant governing bodies. This will happen so that, god willing , our desired goal will be realized. The most important programs that the iranian Statistical Center it means in the framework of one a fiveyear plan or a plan that has a future, in what areas, we can say that there are two main axes , the first axis, which is assigned to us in the above documents, is the same as the registration census, after all , it is a national project, the implementation of which will bring many benefits to the entire government and the country as a whole will have a lot of expenses, it will reduce a lot of expenses, it will find a lot of accuracy in the field of policy making, and we will be able to provide Better Services to our dear people. It is followed by the Movement Towards data models well, the Statistics Centers approach so far has been the right approach. It is a collection of statistics , a report of statistical indicators, which is being done with the scientific methods that i told you about. , data science and the like are tried with the data that is extracted either in the form of registration, sampling and statistics, specific and precise policy guidelines that are extracted with those statistical techniques and those new Data Sciences for the policy makers. Be presented if that happens in this center where we are, god willing if it is realized, our suggestion is that the Statistical Center can provide services to policy makers much better than before, whether in the field of economy or in the field of other axes, other fields and the field of social issues, so that decisions and policies can be made with much more accuracy than before. In this case, it is necessary to have Data Analysis in our Statistics Center to present a clearer picture of the future that can be effective for the ruler , for their decisionmaking, we have enough expert forces in this field. Yes , there are specialized forces, especially in top universities there are countries, by the way, some of these forces may feel that they have to migrate because they are less used, but yes , there are such specialists inside the current body of the Statistics Center, and outside the body of the Statistics Center , there are such specialists who, god willing, are one of the our special work is to use such elites to fulfill the mission that i told you. Do you have a plan to attract these forces . Yes , plans have been made. The relevant teams have been contacted. For example, one of the axes that we are very persistent about now is the National Elite foundation itself the title of the institution that is the regulator of the elite sphere has been contacted about this issue. Now , after the details are realized, we will definitely announce them to you. Another issue that exists is the role that knowledgebased companies have in different fields. Is it in the iranian Statistics Center, whether in the field of infrastructure , in the field of software, or in the field of software, did we go towards becoming knowledgebased . Yes. Yes, yes, you see , at the moment , knowledgebased companies are used in one field in irans Statistical Center, and they are the companies that help us in the statistical process. They help us at the national level. We have different statistical methods. Some of the institutions that help us in the provinces, in different cities and in the underdeveloped areas are the same companies, some of them are Scientific Companies that are now approved by the relevant authorities. The areas that help, the ones that i am talking about , in the sampling of statistical indicators, in the same issue of inflation and unemployment, they are helping us. It is the field of Data Analysis and the use of modern science of Data Analysis they help us to use various tools such as artificial intelligence, data science and the like to extract the necessary analyzes with the available data. Irans Statistics Center should naturally have a coverage or scope throughout the country. Now, the situation of you and the center how are the statistics in the whole country . Yes, the Statistics Center is, well, our headquarters is located in tehran, but as an institution that is a subsidiary of the countrys Budget Planning organization, the provincial Budget Planning organization is our arm in the implementation of our statistical projects. Are you their arm or are they your arm . Nine part one of the vicepresidencies of the organizations of the program are the vicepresidencies of statistics, precisely with this title , which is coordinated with the policies of the Statistics Center and implements statistical plans with the credits of the Statistics Center, that is, we are based on the needs of the assessment that we do, based on the documents above the request of the government. From the Statistics Center, we design our statistical plans, like the ones i mentioned, and we inform the provinces , we allocate the required resources in terms of rials, and they use the private sector to collect and sample. And they prepare the statistics we need. In fact, we are organized the provinces that are independent in the provinces and the vicepresident s are the ones who do our work. We implement our plans at the national level. Do you have a specific strategy for each province or not . You Say Something and it should be done in the same framework. Yes, you can see the provinces. We have been extracting the countrys macro statistical indicators for a long time. Of course, we also have provincial reports. Employment rate, Unemployment Rate, Participation Rate it is even reported by gender. In order for our statistical sampling to be accurate enough, depending on the demographic situation of each country and population distribution in each province, the type and method of sampling will be different. Therefore, the sampling method and sample size in tehran province is completely different from, for example, sistan province. These sampling frameworks and these methods are suitable for each province. In this framework, which is prepared according to the coordinates of each province, they act in addition to this possible problem do we need a statistical plan or a special Statistical Program in a certain province, in which case a special. Project, for example , suppose that we might want to implement a special statistical plan for the khuzestan province, and they are an exception. And

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