How cruises will be very different. And rowing to the rescue. Gondoliers in venice, italy, are helping the city recover from the pandemic. What america can learn from europe. And were listening. But first, heres todays eye opener, your world in 90 seconds. We must figure out a path forward, but we must always be aware that this virus is still with us. The death toll from coronavirus in the u. S. Could drastically increase in the coming weeks just as states are reopening. How much suffering are we willing to accept to get back to what you want to be some form of normality sooner rather than later . The senate is back in washington but not all lawmakers agree on the decision to return. If were going to make these fine people come into work, let the senate at least conduct the nations business and focus like a laser on covid19. Were about to start baseball. Pumped up. Live sports are coming back to tv with espn announcing theyll broadcat the korean baseball organization. If theres live baseball, its a Beautiful Day to me. Amen to that. The quiet streets of one turkish city were filled with sheep. No imaginary virus too great for this firefighting toddler in england. All that this is my way of living and nobody is going to tell me any other way. Nicolas cage is tapped to play tiger joe. I wrote myself into my screen play. Thats kind of weird, isnt it . Congratulations, dad. Thanks. Are you get anything sleep . I just discovered coffee. So im this is my i only allow myself two a day, but i what do you m mean you just discovered coffee. Youre 52 years old. On cbs this morning. Hey oh, my god. Hes going to cry. There was a gender reveal over the weekend with a golf ball. The result was not what the kid wanted. Its okay, bud. Its okay, buddy. Its okay. I wanted a baby boy. This mornings eye opener is presented by toyota. Welcome to cbs this morning. Tony, hell be excited one of these days. I remember when gender reveal used to happen at delivery. Youd look down and see whats happening there and you knew instantly what it was. Now its different these days. Yeah, gayle, youre right. I never understood the modern gender reveals. Wasnt it surprise enough when the doctor held up the baby. That little boy hasnt figured out yet girls rock, too. Thank you for that, Tony Dokoupil. We begin with two staggering new projections for how Many Americans could die from the coronavirus as states start to reopening warm spring weather and eased restrictions in a lot of states have led more americans to gather in public spaces like the parks and shopping malls. Now one model once frequently cited by the white house is warning about the risks of rushing the recovery. Less than a week ago, a group at the university of washington projected americas death toll would hit 72,000 by august 4th. Now they warn that number could sharply rise to 134,000 if strict measures like social distancing are eased. Well have more on the second model shortly, but first, Janet Shamlian is in houston which is partially open again despite a spike in cases in texas. From the Public Health point of view, namely, there will be more deaths. Repeporter chris murray, director of the institute for Health Metrics and evaluation at the university of washington isnt mincing words. Relaxing social distancing guidelines too soon, he says, will cause a major spike. This rise in mobility the last week or 10 days is likely leading to some increased transmission. Reporter the models projections, favored by the white house, worry Health Officials as states across the country reopen. Katie meeks owns a houston toy store, once again open. We had people right at 10 00. I had people call the day before asking, and they were here first thing ready to shop in person with their mask on. Are you having any issues with social distancing . No, i would say for the most part, people have been respectful. We put a sign on the door asking people to please wear a mask when they come in and reminding them that we will be practicing social distancing in the store. Reporter people wore masks in her store. But across the country, more instances of defiance. In flint, michigan, three people are charged with murder for allegedly killing Security GuardCalvin Munerlyn at this Family Dollar store. The father of eight was shot and killed for telling a customer to wear a mask. Our kids grew up together. Our kids grew up together, and this is senseless over a mask over a mask i dont understand it. Usa usa reporter meanwhile in boston, protests continued with hundreds gathering in close proximity outside the statehouse. Demanding the economy reopen. Some Holding Signs reading everyone is essential. In california, amid growing pressure, governor gavin newsom announced some lowrisk businesses like bookstores and florists can open for Curbside Pickup on friday. And following days of protests, beaches in two Orange County cities will also open with restrictions. This is a very positive sign, and its happened only for one reason. The data says it can happen. Reporter and for california, that same study out of the university of washington shows an expected doubling of cases and deaths by the end of august. In new york, Governor Cuomo is looking at taking a similar tact as that of california, but only after lockdown ends on may 15th, and only after certain tracing and testing requirements have been met. Tony . All right, janet, thank you. Lets get to the other model. Its a draft federal government model based on preliminary data. It warns of dire consequences if reopening is not done with proper care. The scenario planning information, as its known, is based on research developed by Johns Hopkins and says average daily death toll from this virus could nearly double to 3,000 by june 1st. President trump has been publicly encouraging states to reopen, of course. Paula reed is at the white house for us. Good morning. What is the president saying about all of this . Good morning, tony. In an interview last night with the New York Post, the president said hes never seen this document. But the researchers who did this analysis say their data was preliminary and wasnt supposed to be used to make predictions but they do concede that there are some scenarios, especially if social distancing is eased too soon that could result in a significant increase in the number of people who die from coronavirus. President trump called the document fake. But cbs news has learned the slide presentation is based on preliminary analysis developed by researchers at the Johns Hopkins school of Public Health and presented to fema. In a statement, the school said the results were not to be used as forecasts, but illustrate that some scenarios, like relaxing social distancing too soon, are likely to cause significant increases in covid cases and deaths in the u. S. Dr. Anthony fauci said that while models can change based on the assumptions entered, the Core Principles dont. When you have mitigation thats containing something, and unless its down in the right direction and you pull back prematurely, youll get a rebound of cases. Reporter and while the president dismissed the fema document, even the white houses preferred model, the ihme, has nearly doubled its prediction of lives lost. And over the past two months, the president has repeatedly revised his estimate. Its looking like its heading to 50,000 or more deaths. It looks like well be at about a 60,000 mark. Were going to lose anywhere from 75,000, 80,000 to 100,000 people. Reporter cbs news chief medical correspondent dr. Jon lapook says models are useful for policy making. Its one big moving target. As the data changed, the projections are going to change. The important thing is to look at the changes in the projections and say, hmm, maybe i should alter my strategy if the projections are different than i thought they were going to be. Reporter the trump administration, though, seems unmoved by these dire new predictions. A Top White House adviser told cbs news yesterday they believe that these new models actually support what the administration has done so far. Later this morning, the president will head to arizona where he will tour an Aerospace Factory thats been converted to make personal protective equipment. Gayle . All right. Thank you, paula. Big question today, will the president wear a mask . Well see. New York City Police have sidelined an officer who punched a man during an arrest over social distancing. Video shows the officer approaching an eyewitness. His name is donni wright, with a taser on saturday before hitting him and throwing him to the ground. An nypd report says wright took a fights against against the officer despite commands to leave the scene. New york mayor bill de blasio says the officers actions were, in his words, simply not acceptable. Wrights sister and mother told cbs news the city hasnt done enough to punish the officer who is now on modified duty. Youre still getting paid while my brother is out of work because of the damage and abuse. He should not be able to be on the job right now. This pandemic thats going on is kind of bringing everybody together and close. Why would you want to stir up stuff as that, so rude and reckless and so violent. It just took me apart. The video is very tough to watch. Wright was charged with assault on a Police Officer and resisting arrest, but the d. A. s office has deferred prosecution during the investigation. Anthony . Thanks, gayle. Supermarket chains like costco and kroger are now limiting how much meat shoppers can buy during the pandemic. Supplies are starting to run short after Virus Outbreak forced some Meat Processing plants to close. Employees are returning to work this week after the president ordered plants to stay open to prevent shortages. Dean reynolds is following the story. Reporter jbs plants and a tyson facility are among the meat processors partially reopening this week. Jbs says it will ramp up safety precautions while tyson says workplaces will be retrofitted with partitions and thermometers. We have secured the personal protective equipment for smithfield and also will make sure the Contact Tracing happens as well. Reporter south dakota governor kristi noem is providing equipment to the smithfield plant in sioux falls where more than 800 workers tested positive for the virus. It will take control of the Meat Processing plants. Obviously, its have entire communities getting infected. Reporter axel fuentes is suing smithfield alleging workers were not properly protected. There are still some areas where the workers are crowding. Reporter smithfield issued a statement saying it has a policy of not commenting on the specifics of pending litigation. We are doing everything in our power to help protect our team members from covid19 in the workplace. Smithfield says there will be new protocols, including physical barriers between workers, plus temperature checks. Do you think theres going to be more of these plants, though, where they just have to shut them down because these are turning into hot spots . They should close it down. If we want to prevent the spread in this virus, they should not be working. Reporter supermarkets are trying to avoid what they call panic buying by placing those limits on the sale of meat, but experts say there are going to be some shortages anyway because the processing plants wont all come back to work at once. Tony . All right, dean reynolds, thank you very much. The National Institutes of health is launching a study to learn more about how the coronavirus affects children. While most kids have milder symptoms than adults, not all do. Our senior medical correspondent dr. Tara narula reports on what doctors hope to learn in the study. I would never picture me having to be intubated, being in the hospital. Reporter 16yearold karla duarte is a coronavirus survivor. The High School Junior from new york is one of the relatively few children in the u. S. To have severe complications from covid19. Her numbers were not improving. Her oxygen level was not improving. Reporter doctors told karlas mom they had one treatment option left. An ecmo machine which pumps and oxygenates the patients blood outside the body. When they told me about the machine, they said, this is 50 50. Reporter after seven days on ecmo and five or on a ventilator, karlas condition finally improved. She was sent home after 21 days in the hospital. You never had any medical problems before this . No. Reporter serious cases like karlas are rare, complicating the efforts of investigators. We have much less experience because the children are just getting less sick so there are many fewer children interacting with the Health Care System and being tested. Reporter dr. Tina hartert is leading a new nih study remotely monitoring about 2,000 children and their families in 11 cities nationwide. She says more data should be collected before a decision is made to send kids back to summer camp or school. I think its really risky to base decisions about this based on the fact that children get less sick from this virus because that does not equal children being less likely to transmit the virus. Were not completely sure what are the risk factors for why these children get sick with covid. Reporter dr. Adrianne randolph is leading a separate cdcfunded study at boston childrens hospital. What are some of the interesting or different presentations that youve seen in children with covid19 . Its scattered reports. What they are seeing is cardiac dysfunction. So that their heart is not working as well as it should. And abdominal pain is often part of the presentation. Reporter 12yearold juliet daly went into cardiac arrest. They had to do two minutes of cpr on her. And then they got her back, thank god. Reporter her mom says she tested positive for the coronavirus and another viral infection. She was in the icu for ten days before recovering. What message would you want to give other families regarding children and the risk of covid . Be vigilant. Be careful. It can become very severe in less than a day. Reporter the new York City Department of health says there are 15 children in the hospital with a very rare inflammatory syndrome that they are saying is potentially associated with the coronavirus. It can involve fever, rash, low Blood Pressure and inflammation of the blood vessels, including the coronary arteries. Oh, boy, tara. One of the more fortunate aspects is, although weve seen some severe cases, children generally have more mild symptoms. Do we know why . Its really fascinating, tony. And the experts say we dont. There are a couple of theories. One has to do with the fact children may have less of those ace receptors. These are the receptors in the lungs the virus attaches to and gets into the cells. That may be why they dont get sick. Another theory is the fact that children are exposed all the time to lots of other coronaviruses, the ones that cause the common cold so they may be developing antibodies to those crossreactive to covid19 and, therefore, helping them. And the last is that their immune system may be primed just right so they dont have that overwhelming citokine storm thats causing a lot of adults to get into trouble with covid19, but a lot of questions remain. Very interesting and weve had questions about the school year. Now questions about summer camp. Thats a big one in my household. Tara, thanks. Ahead, the push to give Nursing HomesLiability Protection after thousands of residents and workers die from the coronavirus. Announcer this National Weather report sponsored by the makers of nondrowsy 24hour claritin. Live claritin clear. Claritin. Live claritin clear. Plus an immediate cooling sensation for your throat. Feel the clarity and live claritin clear. If you are currently facing werfinancial burdens,w normal call your state farm agent because were here to help make this new normal, feel just a little more. Normal. Like a good neighbor, state farm is there. ® my children are really worried. My tip is, send your kids a text. 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