Been, it is just the beginning. Brennan despite the dire warnings from medical experts, the do what i say, not what i do, mindset at the white house continues, as two staffers with close proximity to the president and Vice President test positive for the virus. And three top Coronavirus Task force members quarantined. The c. D. C. Recommends that americans wear masks, but that is not enforced at the white house. President trump this is going to go away without a vaccine. And were not going tsee it again, hopefully, after a period of time. Brennan that type of Wishful Thinking drew a rare review from the president s predecessor. Former president obama called the response anemic and spotty. It has been an absolute chaotic disaster, when for mend t with any whe at mindsets operationalized in our government. Brennan well talk with Economic Advisor kevin hassett, as well as former google c. E. O. Eric schmidt. He is now leading a project to reimagine parts of the economy. Dr. Christopher murray, director of the . Riewt for inste for Health Evaluation will share covid19 projections. And well hear from scott gottlieb. Finally, well ask the president of the university of virginia, jim ryan, what challenges School Officials are facing as they plaor the fa it is all just ahead on face the nation. Brennan good morning. And welcome to face the nation. We begin today with the financial fallout from the covid19 pandemic. The numbers are brutal. The official Unemployment Rate jumped more than 10 points, from 4. 4 for march to aprils 14. 7 . Cbs News National correspondent Mark Strassman is in atlanta. Reporter good morning, margaret. If you think about it, one month is all it took. One month for the best jobs economy in the last 50 years to plummet into worries about a second Great Depression. Hunger is motivating. By 5 00 a. M. In connecticut, this grocery giveaway had a line of cars waiting. We need foo jobf. Orterlneh ildren under 12 now report their families dont have enough to eat. Todays food lines recall soup lines during the Great Depression. There is a broader Unemployment Rate, a rate that encompasses people who may be sidelined because they are not actually looking for work actively, and that rate is nearly 23 unemployment. Reporter that is a depressionera number. Like hunger marchers in 1932, protestors in 2020 push to reclaim their piece of america. And its economy, in deep freeze. On this mothers day weekend, this protest in olympia, washington, drew more than 1,000 people. They demanded the governor speed up his reopening plan. Tesla is fed up with california. Let its factory reopen or the carmaker says it will move to texas or nevada. And florida is reopening salons and barber shops tomorrow. Doomsd pdictio for florida. Those have not borne out. Reporter maybe not, but last week was floridas deadliest since its covid outbreak started. Containing covid19, whether the virus resurgence later this year and when people feel safe again. Polls show most americans expect a full recovery to take at least a year. Some financial analysts argue, count on aec any hope of a vhelped recovery, where you go down sharply and recover sharply, i think that is thrown out the window. Reporter georgia led the country were its limited reopen. Consumer response has been mixed. In the roughly two weeks since the state eased its restrictions, now covid cases have gone up nearly 20 . Brennan Mark Strassman, thanks. News coespoent Elizabeth Palmer has our report about what is going on in the rest of the world. Reporter margaret gret,the overall number of deaths every day is dropping, thanks in part to controlled measures in new york, and, of course, in europe. But many countries are in the real thick of the crisis. Like russia. Yesterday was the anniversary of the end of world war ii. But there was little to celebrate. In spite of moscows ultra strict lockdown, russia reported 10,000 new covid cases every day last week. In neighboring bella russia, in spite of a serious outbreak, the president remains in covid denial. He has called it a psychosis, and welcomed huge crowds to his countrys victory day ceremony on saturday. And there were crowds in brazil, too, demonstrating in support of the worlds other great covid denier, who still refuses to social distance. Though rios famous statute wears a mask. South rearia hasouth korea has s baseball season with masked cheerleaders performing in empty stadiums. Strict measures early on have almost eliminated covid, but the president warned, it isnt over until it is over. After nightclub in seoul had to close abruptly when there was a fresh outbreak. Now it is the developing world being closely watched by Public Health experts. In africa and southeast asia, the virus seems to be spreading more slowly, maybe because the population tends, on af rageaverage to be young, but no one is sure and it might well be that the worst is yet to come. Here in britain, Prime MinisterBoris Johnson is due to go on television tonight to explain how we get out of our lockdown. And there is some speculation that the roadmap will include a twoweek quarantine period, margaret, for anyone arriving on these shores. Brennan Elizabeth Palmer, thank you. Kevin hassett is a white house Economic Advisor and he joins us this more. Good morning to you, kevin. Good morning. Brennan you called this one of the worst jobs reports every. We know that this has hit hispanic and africanamerican populations exceptionally hard. And that these numbers were seeing likely dont reflect the real pain out there. E istom this . Well, you know, youre exactly right to emphasize that. The Africanamerican Community and the hispanicamerican community have been hit especially hard by this jobs report. With both of those communities, which were really experiencing recordlow Unemployment Rates in january, seeing massive, massive increases of unemployment. Right now looking across the u. S. , there are more than 30 Million People getting initial claims for unemployment insurance, that is the biggest negative shot to the jobs market since world war ii. To get Unemployment Rates, like the ones were about to see, will climb up to 20 next month, have you to go back to the Great Depression to see that. There are a lot of economic differences between right now and the Great Depression. Here we understand why the economy is slowing down and we expect we can reverse it. Whereas in the depression, there were a lot of policy errors that made the whole thing drag out. On Budget Office forecasts the second half of the year will be one of recovery, and god willing, that will happen. And thats the view shared by the white house. I think you can expect to see jobs trough in may or june. Brennan may or june would be the low point for unemployment, at what rate . Thats about what we expect, yeah. You know, im looking for rates north of 20, sadly. Brennan north of 20. Part of this is not really a science as much as arithmatic. Brennan after the financial crisis, it took a decade to get back to employment levels prior to that. You said on friday that when it comes to this crisis, there is kind of a Silver Lining in the jobs report that you saw because, you said, almost everybody accounted for the increase in unemployment said go back to wok within six months. Im sure they hope to, but isnt that just Wishful Thinking at this point . You dont know that . Right. Nobody knows it. Its very unsatisfying, just like none of us really know when the virus is going to be either treatable or there will be a vaccine. Or it will be gone, in which case we can really just go back to our lives. The fact is, if you think about the things that would happen that would make it hard to turn on the economy, thats like bankruptcies and business failures and so on. We built a bridge to the other side by having these Small Business loans, called the p. P. P. Loans, and having a mainstream lending facility, and the idea is to try to keep firms up and running maybe not running, but up and connected with their workers so when we turn the switch back on, they can get going right away. Nobody knows for sure whether it is going to work exactly that way, but the congressional Budget Office, thats their expectation right now. Brennan if you look at the reality for the people getting hit the hardest, brookings says one in everyun whatponsibility does the white house have to respond to that . Dont you need to look at doing things, like increasing the amount of money available for food stamps . Right. We need to look at everything. We mailed very large checks to more than 180 million families,. Brennan are you going to have to do that again . Youre right to emphasize the schools. So many children get two meals a day at school. We have schools within a few miles of my house in d. C. , without those meals, the principal tells me they would go hungry. And the kids who arent going to school, many dont have internet, and theyre not connected to society, and its a terrible tragedy. The white house has an Opportunity Council that is putting together the major proposal that we expect is going to be part of whatever happens in the phase 4 deal to fill in the gaps that were noticing as we watch the data. Absolutely, there is a lot that needs to be done, especially for the most disvached. Disadvantaged. Brennan larry kudlow said this week that youre putting off talks about more Emergency Rescue paag y ouhink youwait lon re what we are doing, okay . Weve done this, maybe counting the fed numbers, up to 9 trillion worth of action. What were doing, as the states around the country, you know, are starting to turn their economies back on, and so what were doing is watching very closely what happens to those states, as they get their economies up relatively quickly. Does the opening of the state lead to a new outbreak of the disease . We have built a bridge that pretty much lasts for quite a bit of time right now, w 9 trillion, and the question becomes, is phase 4 going to be extending the bridge because were not there yet, or is it going to be focused on growth because when were on the other side, we have a healthy economy. Were basically building a plan for either scenario, and were going to be ready to act as soon as we need to. I think right now we have bought some time, with all of the money weve thrown at the economy, and weve been using the time to do things like develop treatments, improve our treatments, learn more about social distancing and so on. Brennan yeah. But companies and employers nee need to know what do do to safely reopen. The white house is testing staff regularly. Is that what youre advising americas businesses to do . When will the c. D. C. Release specific guidance . You know, im not a doctor. Im just an economist. Brennan neither of these c. E. O. S. Thats why theyre asking for the c. D. C. To provide guidance. Thats right. Of course we need to ramp up testing. That is something the president heavily emphasized. And last week we had a day where there was 3,000 new tests. Youre absolutely right, the testing is a key component of it. But even testing doesnt remove all risks. So the interesting, or sad think about my Dear Colleague who was stricken with the coronavirus this week, we were getting tested becauserese to the president , every day, and even with that, you know, she tested negative one day and positive the next day, and she is going to work at a community where people are being tested. So this is a very, very scary virus. That people are going to go back to work and theyre going to be worried about things, and it will it take a while for things to get back to normal. But we maximize that things happen quickly by making testing available. Brennan when it comes to your Work Environment that you just described, do you wear a mask . Are you going to continue to show up for work at the white house . You know, ive got a mask right here. And the fact is that i practice aggressive social distancing. Ill wear a mask when i feel it is necessary. It is scary to go to work. You know, i was not part of the white house in i t id lotsafer i wasoi the west wing, but it is a time when people have to step up and serve their country. If i think about the amazing accomplishments of the team that we put together that has been down in the basement of the white house getting data from all over the government to help us decide how to solve the ventilator proper and the p. P. E. Problems youve been in the west wing. You know it is a small, crowded place. It is a little risky, but you have to do it because you have to serve your country. There are a lot of things you cant do except there. If youre going to have secure communications, you have to be in the communication room. Brennan kevin hassett, thank you so much for your time. Well be back in a moment with some new coronavirus projections. Helping people stay in their homes through mortgage Payment Relief efforts and donating 175 Million Dollars to help hundreds of local organizations provide food and other critical needs. When you need us, wells fargo is here to help. Oml u need is love love is all you need. Brennan one of the National Death toll models at the white house is watching closely, from the university of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and evaluation. Often referred to as i. H. M. E. Institute director dr. Christopher murray in is seattle and he joins us. Good morning. Good morning. Brennan what is your model showing you today . Doctor so our projections throughstth are up. Were up to 137,000 deaths that we expect to see, and thats the affect of two things going in opposite directions some goodish news coming out of new york and new jersey and michigan, where the death cases and death numbers are coming down faster than expected. Some other states where cases and deaths are going up more than we expected, illinois, and then arizona, florida, california, as examples of that. And so it is the balancing of those layers driving our numbers. Of course, were seeing just explosive increases in mobility in a number of states that we expect will translate into more cases anin deaths in 10days from now. Brennan this is, today, the second time in about a week that youve raised these projections. What is driving the change . Doctor well, what is driving the change is simply put the rise in mobility. And thats the key driver. Were seeing, in some states, a 20 percentage point increase in 10 days in mobility. And that will translate into more human contact, more transmission. And the other thing that were seeing in some states is which is why we like to revise the forecast on a very regular basis is that were seeing more cases in deaths than expected in certain places. But it is mostly mobility that is driving up the numbers. Brennan and you are looking at mobility through tracking cell phone data. Is thisilecau ld quarae fatigue and people are going out and about more than they should . Doctor i think it is a bit of both. Were seeing increases in mobility even in anticipation of the relaxation of social distancing, but there is definitely arelation. The places that are taking off the socialdistancing mandate, the bump in mobility appears to be larger. So somewhere like georgiangeorgia,which was one oe first, it is in the category of a big increase. It is definitely aixture of both. Brennan we spoke, just before you, with one of the Economic Advisors, and she sai he said they want to see what happens in the states as they pull back restrictions, and whether that leads to a new outbreak of the disease, hut do you have any indication that that is happening . Doctor well, i think that the big challenge here is that when we model the relationship between mobility and transmission, most of the data that is informing that is coming from when people reduce their mobility. And we saw a reduction in transmission. Namely, social distancing works. Now that were coming out, the big question mark is will peoples own behavior, acting responsibly, wearing a mask, avoiding coming into physical close contact, will they be enough to counteract the effects of rising mobility . So we really are going to have to wait and see. Our suspicion is that there will be, about 10 days from now, in these places that have had the big increases in mobility, we are expecting to see a jump in cases. Brennan what places . What are the potential hotspots in the next 10 days . Doctor as i mentioned a moment ago, the big in creations in mobility there are five states at the top. Some of those have had modest epidemics so far, so they may not be huge numbers. The top five are montana, north dakota, south dakota, minnesota, and georgia. But there is another 10 states or more where there has been a 10 to 15 percentage point in mobility. Pretty diverse. So we may see a lot of states tipping towards increasing cases in the next two weeks. Brennan would you advice americans to travel . The treasury secretary was on anothetws great time for people to explore america. Would you advice them to do that . Doctor you know, i would give people advice i tend to practice what i preach, and so were not traveling. My family and i, and we have no intention of traveling. I think it is all part of trying to think about a route back to work and school, and that entails trying to minimize exposure and close physical contact, which is hard to do if youre traveling. So personal advice would be protect yourselves, wear a mask, and try to minimize interactions with others. Brennan what does the data tell you about how affective wearing a mask actually is . Doctor that