Transcripts For KTVU KTVU FOX 2 News At Noon 20240712 : vima

KTVU KTVU FOX 2 News At Noon July 12, 2024

Number of positive cases and hospitalizations and icu patients and the like. We talked about the imperative of taking personal responsibility to wear a face mask and practice physical distancing and social distancing and we dont know how to mitigate the worst effects of this virus and we have to work our way through this first phase. We have reinforced that we are still in the first wave of this pandemic. We are not in the second wave. We have been successful in the state of california of bending that curve and i will get to that in a moment but we have stretched it out and elongated. Thats what we are experiencing here today. The purpose is to update you on our daily tallies as well and give you the latest numbers. As you can see from the slide and the id this slide represtivity rate and the of people you see on the side 41. 8 and 5. 1 represent the first four ddeeco heard positivity. Most of the people in the middle of this pandemic that went to seek testing were symptomatic so its not surprising those numbers in the beginning were so high. The blue bar you see represented on the slide of the total number of tests. We have significantly increased the ramp of testing and youve seen a significant decrease in the Positivity Rate. I reminded use yesterday and the point of caution. The Positivity Rate has begun to increase over the course of the last few weeks. Its 5. 1 now Positivity Rate over the last 14 days and what im not sharing in terms of the slide but want to share with you in a transparent way is a 5. 6 Positivity Rate in the last seven days and this represents the last 14 days but the Positivity Rate is north of the 5. 1 and again 5. 16 in this last seven days. Total number of cases, yesterday of record high 710,049 people that tested positive for covid 19. You will see the number dropped to 5349. Still, higher than we would like it to be. Still a point of concern. Yesterday we tested a Record Number of people. Over 100 and 1000 people were tested in the state of california. Now north of 3. 7 million, roughly, 3. 7 Million People have been tested and we have averaged over the last seven days 88,000 tests in the state of california while significant its not where we need to be. We need to increase our testing and continue to increase our community and what we refer to as surveillance so we can get a better handle of the total number of positive cases and understand the nuance between those with symptoms and those that are asymptomatic, without symptoms and those that are presymptomatic in this case numbers when you get a look over the course of the last few weeks we are seeing roughly 56,000 new cases just in the last 14 days. And so points of obvious and real concern. Accordingly, we market and we have made this point in most considerations, the total number of hospitalizations as it relates to people coming into our hospitals to test possible for covid19. Yesterday i showed you 29 increase in hospitalizations over a 14 day period. You can see it has increased slightly to 32 increase in total hospitalizations over the last 14 days and we now have 4240 individuals that are hospitalized as covid19 patients. Yesterday we shared and i will share it again today, a pie chart of the total Surge Capacity within our Hospital System. This is an incredibly important chart this marks the efforts that we have advanced over the course of the lanced number of months and not just to sit on our hands but to address your for an increase in total hospitalizations. As you can see from this chart some 52,745 surge beds had been identified that we can make available to meet the needs if capacity within our existing Hospital System becomes stretched with covid19 patients. Like yesterday, today, roughly 80 of that capacity has now been absorbed. A percent has been capacity in terms of total hospitalization system capacity within our surge plan. It had been absorbed based upon the total number of positive patience in our hospitals. By the way the hospitalization number represents a 3. 5 increase compared to our previous reporting period yesterday. Icu numbers are increasing. You see and 19 increase of icu emissions over the last 14 day period. Yesterday it was 18 . A slight 3 increase over yesterday. Over a 14 day period represents a 19 increase, 1306 individuals within our total population of patients in our icus. This represented on this pie chart is roughly 34 of the available icu beds within our system and if you compare this to the one i put out yesterday we were roughly 29 or so of our capacity or rather, excuse me, 31 of our capacity. Forgive me. In the ballpark and a few Percentage Points higher today in terms of the blue part of this pier two reasons. Number one. The increase in the total number of icu beds. That number changes day today based upon the entire Hospital System and the availability of icus per patient who come in for multiple different reasons. Again, it on the hospitalizations of capacity. About 34 as it relates to icu capacity in the aggregate for the state of california and i will remind you we do not live in the aggregate so these conditions are different. These percentages are different by county and we encourage you and i will say this on multiple occasions in the presentation today, go to the covid 19. Ca. Gov website to take a look county by county at what is available in looking at those just a test station plans and preparedness plans putting up by your county Health Officials in concurrence with their county representatives and that a test before they can move further into the economy and these phases as they have been referred to. Thats an update in terms of the daily totals. I want to go back and take advantage and a little of your time today and talk about modeling. It can be a head scratcher, to be candid going back months watching the charts on the evening news and Cable Networks and people debating the methodology of these different models of people using them university of washington models and those using johnshopkins models. California using ucla models are the random models or i can continue down this path. Many different models are put up. Charts and graphs and if you are like me they can be profoundly confusing so today i want to simplify what you are presented in what you may look at and have your eyes roll and make some sense of it and also to provide a framework in a moment where more people can participate in the modeling and avail themselves of their expertise to the collective effort here in the state of california, and we would argue across the rest of the nation. Improving our capacity and make it more important than anything else and relevant. The purpose of this model is to make two points. One is this models guide actions and they are not determinative of our future. Youve heard me make this point. The future is not just something to experience. We are not victims. We can manifest the future. Its not something in front of us but it is inside of us. Its decisions and not conditions that determine our fate and future. In the state of california we are proof of that. You see this . One of the original models put out very months ago. A very simple model that whole lot about no intervention. He rolled out of bed and we went along with whatever was thrown at us and without any intervention and the expectation there would be a large surge or a significant increase in the surge of transmissions of the virus, and as a consequence the big impact on hospital care Delivery System and healthcare Delivery Systems. Interventions what we refer to as nonpharmaceutical interventions like stay at home orders, practicing social distancing. Wearing a face mask allowed us to prepare, protect and promote as we put on the slide a different outcome as a consequence because of the interventions here in the state of california we were able to mitigate that curve we never experienced that sharp increase. But what we did do is we pushed out because of these innovations in the growth of the curve but more modestly so we had time to develop more capacity in our Hospital System. More capacity to provide the protective gear that has become so important in terms of reopening our economy. Moreover making sure that when people are in need of support and help that we are thereto provided in a proactive and comprehensive and thoughtful way. What we are doing today is not only trying to explain a little more about the modeling. Dr. Galli will come up here in a moment to do just that but we want to open up the opportunity for more and more people to get engaged in helping us build our models. What we refer to in this slide as a model of models. We currently have on covid 19. Ca. Gov website and i encourage you to take a look and you will see specifically if you want to go directly to the slide im referring go to hellcat. Covid. Ca. Gov. This allows you the tool to get access to our models. These forecast models and then these larger models that run scenarios of planning. Dr. Galli will come up in a moment and what it means and how we stacked all of these models are referenced just a moment to go together and we made them available on this site. What we want to do today is something much more robust and significant and that is we want to open up our site to citizen scientists. People out there doing coding every single day we want to give them access to an open source platform to all of the available data that we have and i have that our Health Professionals had in the way we dont believe it has been done anywhere else in the united states. This is a deep dive for transparency and openness and a new resource we are making available today. This opensource resource is available at the get help and you will see it on the screen there and we want people to help build modeling intensity one thing we recognize is the limitlessness of capacity and expertise of talent that resides to the state of california and throughout the rest of the world. The information that we are now making available is exactly the information we make available to help county Health Officials and the information that guides incredible work that mike and dj have been doing on our team. The data expertise that they provide second to none in the kind of work they do every single day. Now we open to all of you. We are opening up to mathematicians and experts in ai and opening it up to our researchers and scientists and our nobel laureates. And our partners across the spectrum including citizens that just has an expertise that has not been tapped. They have not availed himself to an opportunity to engage. This goes beyond flat files and forgive me, apis. And these simple protocols. We are doing something much more dynamic and something much more interactive and something that could truly bring to life visualization of this data in a much more timely way. Its rather simple. We want to make the modeling more purposeful and meaningful and we want to promote a different outcome by promoting a different consciousness and ultimately promoting a different behavior. And dare i say, we want to back up to help professionals because this is the data they use to guide decisionmaking. Often it is questioned by pendants and some for good reasons and some for more mischievous reasons and more of an ideological argument or frame. We want to put this out there and we want it tested and challenged. We recognize there is a reason this is not always done. It will be tested and it will be challenged. I think you deserve that. I think we have a responsibility to advance that paradigm, that value and protocol. Its all about engaging and on many occasions expertise can be found anywhere and everywhere given the opportunity and i think we have now afforded that opportunity we will see some dynamic and exciting things come from these new protocols and this new opportunity to engage in these new tools, and ultimately help us engage help inform our guidelines more importantly to encourage better individual behavior to backup the assertions that many are making about the critical nature of wearing facemasks and continuing social distancing required at this moment. Let me now as dr. Galli to come up and make a little more sense of what these models may do and what they mean for you and for our decisionmaking and again, how all of you can participate now in helping us inform our next steps. Dr. Galli . Thank you, governor. Good afternoon. I want to take a few minutes to talk about three different functionalities a real benefits of the cal cat tool we are announcing today. Ive been using this here with our team in california for months to guide the decisions at the state level and exciting opportunity today is to not just have statewide information but as we have built our understanding of the different models that you heard the governor mentioned from across the nation, to be able to use those at a much more local county level. We know that county Health Officers and Health Directors are using this information on a regular basis, not to support their opinions but to really guide their decisions that are driving some of our actions as it relates to our response to covid19. So i want to walk through three slides. The first one is an understanding of what do we mean by now casting. Its like when my kids wake up and say what is the weather like. And i say look out the window and understand whats going on. Is it sunny or cloudy . It helps us understand what is going on today at this moment. It is really built around this concept of be are effective for the rate of spread. We talked to you before this idea of one infected person, that person will affect one other person and if it goes up to two, its 1 affecting two people. What we really want is the number to go below one. In each bit above one, 1. 1 or 1. 2 ends up growing our cases and quite dramatic levels thats when you see often the graphs or models that show the high, steep almost hockey like markup, that is what we really want to work hard to avoid. And having this information, not just at the california, statewide level, but to put it in the hands of people at the county level and allow this information to go into making decisions at the local level. The slide you see in front of you takes into account a number of different models we have been looking at on the state level. This is not californiasthe dar is the average of all the other models that many of us are seeing in the news and press. And that we take our cues from. We believe each of those models has strengths. And we wanted to put together a tool so you can see the average. Those numbers get in the hands of local Health Officers and decisionmakers to guide future decisions. The next slide is the forecast. This is very much sticking with the weather analogy. This is like your 10 day forecast. This takes your current information in your current choices and helps guide where you might be in the next few weeks. These are exactly the tools we see. They are built around the r effective for your communities and counties and states that might guide decisions we make around emphasizing and reinforcing everything the governor has been mentioning over the past many days focused on wearing our fiscal trainings. Remaining distant. Staying home when you are sick and protecting the most vulnerable. Again, on our julie haener and look at the decisions we are making today. The third slide highlights a key benefit which allows us to look at various scenarios. The governor highlighted that todays decisions help us understand a few weeks from now through our models where we might end up. This tool allows us to take our current data, whether it is he hospitalization data and parts and understanding the nonpharmaceutical implementations. Wearing your Face Covering and staying physically distant, and where we end up in the next few weeks and months based on those decisions. It allows us to model exactly how we need to design activities and choices for today to help us plan for the future. Between these various tools we believe in fighting a number of new individuals to play with the tools and make them better and challenge them, as the governor said and we will, as we increase our progress and our fight against covid19 have improved tools and make even better decisions in the future based on our work together. I just want to reiterate that these are exactly the tools that empower your local Health Offices and local health decisionmakers to prepare better from what we will see in the weeks and months to come and keep us as low risk and safe as possible in california as we march forward in our fight against covid19 and with that, i will turn it back over to you, governor. Thanks, dr. Galli. The bottom line is we want to really empower individuals and we want to empower you and others that are willing to contribute time and attention. We are making all this data easily accessible and in a machine reasonable matter. Something folks understand and many others may be curious about but the bottom line is we are making this a seamless process of engagement, a two way engagement we think will advance the cause of understanding our capacity to deliver in real time our promotion to keep people safe and healthy and the state of california. Real progress has been made over the last couple of months putting this together and thats why today we are releasing it and we are putting out a series of other points of data. I reference this off the dashboard i received with a lot of information we provide here today and in previous days. We are making all of that available as well. And try again to be as transparent as possible and get encouraging and all of us with the knowledge that we possess currently in the knowledge and insight we hope will be advanced through these efforts to make better decisions that can help us navigate and allow us to move forward in a much safer and more responsible way through this pandemic. In the spirit of safer and more responsible, let me take on a few questions in anticipation before they are asked. You may have seen some information or rather a report that came out that disney is opening up their theme park. I want to complement disney in their team for making that determination. It was reference in their press release. The state of california paused on providing guidelines in that space. That is an example of the data in forming decisionmaking. And that is exactly what we are doing as we move forward. We look at conditions as they chan

© 2025 Vimarsana