Okay. Here we go. It is midnight here in new york city, 9 00 p. M. Out on the west coast i am jen psaki msnbcs special coverage of Super Tuesday. I have some of my favorite people, as always, the midnight shift is the best shift as i like to say, to talk to here at the big table to break down everything that happened today. We will learn more tonight, too and we do have a lot to talk about because results from 16 states and one territory, dont forget that one, just brought us one big step closer to a rematch between resident joe biden and donald trump. As of this moment, on the republican side, trump has unsurprisingly won a bunch of state so far. Bringing his total number of delegates over 100, not enough to clinch the nomination but it is making it nearly impossible if not impossible for nikki haley to do that. So we just take a second to look at from by the numbers, just to catch everybody up here, that is four indictments, 91 criminal charges, to impeachments. 911 delegates as of today. On the democratic side, President Biden has slept every state so far, bringing to an overall total of 1400 delegates. He did lose the caucus in America Samoa but i think you will survive. To jp, theres two jp is here. Neither republican is not about trump or biden, but about nikki haley, and how much longer she lanced to stick around in this race. For what it is worth, haley is projected to win the state of vermont, that is her second win about washington, d. C. Over the weekend but in most of the other primaries today, she really didnt do anything to expand her share of the vote in any meaningful way just in the last half hour the Haley Campaign released a statement saying we are honored to have received through support of millions of americans across the country today including in vermont. Today it is state after state, there remains a large lockup republican primary voters who are expressing concerns about donald trump. That is not the unity our party needs for success. Haley is reportedly watching results for Behind Closed Doors with no plans and no scheduled events in the upcoming days that is exactly paint the picture of a thriving campaign of momentum to me, just to lay it all out for you. But for now, she is technically still in it. We will of course bring any changes on that front, anything we learn out there as we have them. And maybe if nikki haley is not long for this race, her presence on the ballot tonight once again showed real cracks in the arms of the election campaign. We will dive into some exit polls over the next hour. The next two hours, as well. As for donald trump, he spoke tonight, he gave a very low Energy Speech tonight, i think it is fair to say, lying about his record on the economy and covid and a completely fact free rant about immigration. Is basically normal Trump Victory speech sort of stuff but tonight we are not just following the race for the white house there is also a whole lot of action. A lot of interesting action notably in california. Polls in the state highly contested senate race disclosed last hour. Nbc news predicted that Democratic Caucus in adam schiff and former baseball player, steve garvey, will advance to the general election in november. America is about to learn a whole lot about a guy named Mark Robinson after he won the republican primary in North Carolinas race for governor. Robinson is a holocaust denier, he is called fiance satanic and he said the acceptance of homosexuality will lead to court, the end of civilization as we know it is a good guy. I promise i could go on, theres a lot more and i could go on later in the show. The states Attorney General won in North Carolina. So that sets the stage for North Carolina to be a big state come november. It sets the stage to be a showdown between someone who represents stability and someone who represents extremism, which probably sounds pretty familiar to you. There is clearly a lot happening in the top to the bottom of the tickets all across the country. For the next two hours we will unpack what we know tonight, what we may still learn tonight and what this all means for tomorrow. Of course, in november of 2024. The panel is going to join me in just a moment they are all here with a lot to say. Lets get right to steve kerr neck yet the big board. Lets start with the overall picture of the night and i want to ask you about the race in california that is a biggie that we just learned about in the last hour. Overall come you can see these Delegate Numbers are changing even the last couple of minutes. Trump getting an extra one there, 636 delegates for donald trump tonight to 37 for nikki haley. There are still a lot to be allocated in texas. Let me show you for donald trump is leading 62 point in haleys barely cracking 50 of the vote so trump will get a bunch more delegates. There are a number of states here that he is already winning handily but he will get more delegates from. That means he is on track right now to finish well over 1000 delegates tonight. I think approaching potentially 1100 delegates. And if you just look at these results and fast forward a week, you have georgia, when you have mississippi, when you got washington, when you got a caucus, the key word there because trump has been doing very well in caucuses. Trump, right now, is getting what he needs tonight to have a very very real chance of crossing the 1215 threshold to formally claim the nomination next week. Again, this is by racking up massive massive wins. Look at alabama he is going to get all 40 delegates from alabama. 70 point mark. We all expected him to win alabama but a 70 point margin, im not sure we were expecting that. Tennessee, haley still hasnt cracked 20 here with only about 20 of the votes still to come in even what was supposed to be potentially strong states for nikki haley. Take a look at virginia, she is losing at a 21 margin there, only about 35 of the vote what would happen to her in North Carolina tonight, she losing by more than 50 points, all the vote counted in North Carolina, she does pick up a victory in vermont. A very small state and frankly, a Demographic Outlay or in the republican primary. So what this all kind of sets the stage for is what decision will she make in the coming days , whether to stay in this race or not. One thing i think she has to consider is the Talking Point that she has been using on the campaign trail. She calls it the 40 of the idea that this is based on her showing in new hampshire, based on her showing in South Carolina that there is 40 , a sizable nordy of the republican electorate that just doesnt want donald trump. That is what her rhetoric has been around. You are seeing a 40 in these results today. Last time we checked in with the cumulative result just add up all the primaries and caucuses and share the vote is haley getting . I showed you she is barely over 15 she is getting 23 that number may come down a tick or two because there still a vote coming in in texas and that is really dragging the number down to california she is running under that 23 total so that number may come down. She might regain half of 40 in these contests and again, getting absolutely well under 20 so does raise the possibility here where voters in the republican side who initially were Casting Ballots for haley, and the subsequent state have looked at this and said all right it is time to get on board with donald trump. Might that be happening here . Is there also a benefit that haley was receiving in the early primaries from crossover voters, independence, new hampshire, independence and South Carolina who were really enthused in those states to come into the Republican Party where the rules allowed it and to vote against donald trump and are we not seeing it in those numbers tonight . When you look in a result like a state like virginia which, on paper, even more potential for haley in South Carolina day point but how short she falls there even in the very for the state demographic. Minnesota on a per look at a friendly state for nikki haley. She hasnt even cracked 30 there in the most, Graphically Friendly State here was colorado. Half the electorate, White College educated, that is the group she is in the best with she gets a third of the vote in colorado. So there really has been a pretty significant drop off in the demographics that haley was appealing to in those early states and what they are delivering for her in the subsequent states. Does she want to be in this race a week from now . Based on these results, collecting 15, 20 of the vote, is donald trump potentially crosses that 1215 delegate threshold it officially becomes the nominee. Obviously have no insight but i think that is the nature of the dilemma she is facing is coming out of tonight she cant be pointing anymore to a 40 of the republican primary vote. That is not going to trump, that number comes way way down today. At a certain point, steve, the data and the numbers do tell the story and make a reality clear for nikki haley. So before we let you go, talk to us about the California Senate race. Garvey didnt really campaign that much. He really kind of searched, i am saying not that much. That is a very generous thing i am saying here. He really searched, it seems, in the recent weeks. So how did this all happen . What does this tell us, if anything, about the general election it seems schiff is in a pretty good spot here. We know that california is a very blue state that there are republicans in california. I think what happened in the last couple of weeks as the republicans realized there really is kind of one republican candidate in this race, it is steve garvey pics of the republicans who turned out today did check off, it appears, steve garveys name. Kind of has the field to himself. Overall in california, the republican vote didnt get too far but in a four way hotly contested open primary, if you can corral just the republican vote is going to be more than enough to get you into the top two so that is how garvey gets this position certainly could talk about the assistance he received from adam schiff and his strategy of actually running ads that really exposed steve garvey to his name. But shift, as well. The other story here is we suspected, just based on the polling, the ship had a real good chance of walking down one of those top two spots. The polling wasnt indicating quite this, better than 21 margin here over katie order point she is the next best democrat. She is under 14, schiff is all 737 and you go even further down the bar really, the congresswoman from the bay area, she is at 7 with more than 40 of the vote count statewide. Some more of that democratic vote really did coalesce behind schiff. Seemingly in the final days of this campaign. And there is a much much clearer divide between these top two and the rest of the field but in terms of the general election, just incredibly deep blue state. Nobody doesnt think that joe biden is going to carry california by a wide margin. Just by dint of that because what Ticket Voting has almost completely disappeared in the trump era. The only candidate, the only Senate Candidate to win in 2016 in a state that the other party won, Susan Collins in maine in 2020. So certainly that is expectation in california, 37 warship 15 , that is 52 democratic, 7 for labor, a 60 democratic vote just right there between those three candidates. So that 29 for garvey, when you combine those democratic votes, suddenly it gets, it falls behind pretty quickly. It feels a little bit of decline for steve garvey with baseball and some good hair. Thank you so much as always for joining me now is an all star panel expert. Spokesperson for Vice President kamala harris, now, most of the weekend Simone Sanders townsend, former Communications Director for president barack obama, former communications for jeb bushs 2016 campaign and now host of the Bulwark Podcast, tim miller and former democratic senator from the jury , claire mccaskill. I just want to start here. I just read part of haley statement a little bit earlier. But a line i left out, i saved for all of you, is what i feel is, i dont know if it is trolling, if it is smart. Donald trump gave a Speech Tonight that was lowenergy, as i just said, although this will be his biggest speech of the year, probably. Im not sure why he didnt have a coke or something beforehand. He said in there, unity will have a weekly unity will happen in really have anything nice to say about nikki haley. Unity is not achieving simply claiming we are united. Nikki haley is still in it for now. But let me start with you, claire mccaskill, because youre going to be up for morning joe so we dont have you for that long tell me about, lets start with haley and trump here because there were also some numbers in here that made it clear that trump still hasnt quite united his party at all, to put it generously, again. What was your takeaways from the republican side of the primary tonight . I get tired of the focus on uncommitted voters and biden has a problem in his party, because listen, i think it is fine, people want to express their opinion in this primary process but if you look at the numbers today, donald trump failed to get a 70 point margin , except in one state, and that was alabama. Joe biden got more than a 70 point margin in every single state that two, 80 of the vote, 85 , 88 our party is pretty united. It really is. And another time, another day, we will talk about thirdparty threats, which i think is a real thing. But they have got a war going on in their party. And nikki haley knows it now, donald trump owes the party, donald trump is going to be the nominee but there are people that, in fact, i might know a guy sitting next to me, that to say he was a republican and he now realizes that he is not a Donald Trump Republican and there is a bunch of those folks out there that i think joe biden can get. Click it rhymes with kim, tim miller, great to see you. I know this is your prime time so tell us i think one of the questions we are all asking ourselves is what is nikki haley want . What is her goal here . Okay, that is a psychological question. But im not a therapist. Give us a strategic answer. What is the conversations she is having with her closest advisers this is the question what does she want to do with her life, i think its really the question. She is not going to win this primary. I appreciate there is a war going on in the primary but it is pretty lopsided. She is getting defeated handily tonight and she didnt good on you, vermont. So she is not coming back in 2028 and i am 90 sure that nikki haley knows that. I am 90 sure she knows that but this is not her party and it is not going to be her party next time. So what she does now is more about what she maga is not going away before 2028 . It seems like there is no signs of that. Mag is not going away and even if it does kind of go away theyre not going to personally challenge trump, that is the old bush party, they are looking for a Fusion Candidate she is not going to be a vp so she is not making a political decision. She is trying to decide who i want to be the leader of this kind of faction of a traditional whatever you want to call it, compassionate conservative Republican Party . I want to take on donald trump . Do i want to run thirdparty . You mentioned that. Those are her options. Do i want to be on boards and not be in politics . Do i want to go back to Sullivan Island and beyond zoom and hanging out or do i want to have tv cameras in front of me. That is why this is psychological. It is not a strategic question, the strategy is over. She got wiped out tonight. And so good on her. I hope she stays there and keeps taking the fight to trump and doesnt endorse him and galvanizes the Wall Street Journal Republicans and says you can still get, you can still have a good stock market and not have an autocratic fascism. I hope that she is out there doing that. We would love for that to happen. A lot of the big money people are with her. It is whether they go and he needs money, he has kind of got a money problem. There is a lot of cause professionals happening over here. Theres a lot of comms people. A lot of comms superpowers. So you both advised president ial candidates, including candidates who didnt necessarily win. We have all been there. We have all been there. Clearly we have been there really nothing on me. This is true. There is no president sanders or president clinton, we are all here together. So this is a night. This is a night, as tim said, where it is psychological. It is hard to drop out of a president ial race. What are those conversations like books and if you get to the point with nikki haley that it is time to drop out, because the numbers are not there, i think we all know that, what are you advising her . Give a speech tomorrow, wait a week . Wait two weeks . Keep fighting . I dont know about you but for me it was very telling that it was a spokesperson that put up this statement and not nikki haley. It was very telling that they had no plans to be seen tonight and she has nothing on her schedule for the foreseeable future. So for me that says the conversations are, they were waiting to have the real conversations after Super Tuesday and the next couple of days, they had this for the conversations will happen and then she is smart and she decides she is going to drop out, she picks a sunday show stage somewhere to do it where she will actually get eyeballs for all the things that she is saying and at least control a narrative for