A very good day to all of you from new york. Welcome to Alex Witt reports. We begin with a new Nbc News Poll with 44 days to go until the election. Kamala harris leaving Donald Trump 49 to 44 . The candidate best representing change, Kamala Harris with 47 to Donald Trump with 38. Steve karnak keep pointing out this Morning Harris is seeing additional growth. Some of the groups that have gravitated the most toward harris is independence, 20. Joe biden was putting up very poor numbers here. For harris you can see a 26 point jumped. As far as issues go, inflation is the top concern for voters. 65 of the people in your poles say the country is on the wrong track. Who is best able to solve the Crime Problem . Trump by six. Who is best on the economy . Trump by nine. Inflation, trump by eight. The election will be close. Weve always known that. Thats what happens in these president ial elections. We know this will be a close race. Vice president harris will be in new York City for an event. Her campaign announced they accepted the Cnn Debate Invitation for October 23. Trump said he was not interested in a rematch. She has done one debate. I have done two. Its too late to do another. I would love to in many weight. The voters are out there. Trump making the comments in North Carolina. Its a must win state for him. In the meantime, resident Joe Biden meeting with the leaders of australia, india, and japan in delaware for the final Quad Summit of his presidency. He used it to expand his cancer men shot initiative. We have reporters and analysts in place across the country ready to go over all these new developments. We will begin with Mark Murray in washington. Welcome on this pole issuing sunday. Lets start with the numbers. How are the voters receiving harris know that shes at the top of the ticket . This is the first poll since july. Now that harris is at the top of the ticket we have a situation where her favorable number has increased 16 percentage points in two months. That is unprecedented in our 35 Year History of the poll. You have to go back to george w. Bush after 9 11 to see a bump that size. That is really what stands out beyond the horserace members. On some of the issues we also have Harris Leading Donald Trump when it comes to the issue of abortion. We have harris ahead when it comes to temperament. We have Harris Leading when it comes to change. You take all this together and you see why this is a poll that at this moment ends up doing the spirits of democrats. But do note that it is within the margin of error. I want to note the 20 Point Differential in favor of harris in terms of who has the physical and Mental Health to lead. Let me ask you. You talk about harris and how shes ahead of trump. On which issues is Donald Trump leading harris . Donald trump is ahead on the border, the economy, and inflation and The Cost Of Living. Its worth noting that the Leitzsey Currently has are smaller than he enjoyed over Joe Biden when he was in the race. So when you turn the issues of the border and the economy, this is an Donald Trumps wheelhouse. Its not as strong as it was two months ago. Give me a sense of all of these issues. Which ones are the most important to voters according to todays poll. Number one is inflation and The Cost Of Living. 66 of voters say their Family Income is falling behind The Cost Of Living. Low that you have threats to democracy and then he went up having the border followed by jobs and the economy. Those numbers have not changed all that much since we have been surveying them. Overall, despite some of the better news on the economy The Cost Of Living is still number one. Do you have a sense in all the areas where Kamala Harris is leading is it because shes not Joe Biden or is it because she has put forward policy or the image that people are saying shes going to do better . The good news for Kamala Harris is we tested who better represents change. She leads by nine percentage points on that issue. When we ask a different way on what concerns you more that she would follow Joe Biden policies or that Donald Trump would pursue the same approach he did in his first term in office it was almost a dead even split. Voters were divided on the issue. I do think democrats are saying we are winning change but when you try to define what it is it becomes a little bit more muddled. Thats why i always need you to interpret this for us. We make presumptions and the next question blew it out of the water. Its bringing my panel. We have antoine the democratic strategist along with republican Strategy Susan and former representative david jolly. Welcome. They both try to present themselves as a symbol of change. 47 of voters see harris as representing change compared to 38 for trump. How much does that number tell you. I think this Roller Coaster will take us on many twists and turns before we get to november 5. I think what they are starting to figure out as she introduces herself leading in and focusing on the overall bill of health of everyday americans and as people learn about the intellectual capacity she has and her versatility as a candidate the more people gravitate to her and her policies and everything she has stood for and what she represents is the opposite of what Donald Trump, j. D. Vance, and the extremists on the extra other side represent. The contrast and the red and butter issues that everyday americans face. I think that is a lot different than her time as Vice President where she and Joe Biden had to focus on rebuilding the american economy and the american experiment. Susan, favorability has jumped a historic 16 points to a net positive of three point certainly a factor of voters getting to know her. Especially with trumps numbers remaining more stable and his favorability at a net negative of 13 points. Is it hard to imagine a less popular candidate can actually win . Lets not get into the electoral College Debate right now. Even with the Popular Vote we see it is within the margin of error. It is possible that the candidate with the more unfavorable rating could squeak by especially if you were looking at the polls, but one thing i would like to highlight with the Harris Number is lets not forget she just started her campaign a couple of months ago. When you look at The Way she has rocketed up people did not know her before. She just started to campaign and normally you would see Someone Campaigning in january, february, march like the current president was. That is a huge pickup but im not surprised about it. What is outstanding for her and does make a difference is her favorable is higher than her unfavorable. Donald trump never sees that. Biden never saw it. That is how you start changing a race like this in the margins. David, trump still leads on inflation and The Cost Of Living as well. The polls showed that inflation is the most important issue to voters. Can harris win when those issues have historically played a huge role . Sure. I will save you and the audience my morning in america speech. The truth is inflation is coming down, wages are going up. Go down the list of economic metrics and they are good. Republicans want to make this race about the inflation over the last three years but people this year are realizing that we are the envy of the world and the united states repost pandemic recovery. There is a good story for Biden And Harris to tell on this. I think the remarkable pretext for all of these numbers if you really unpack this is on the very first question are we going in the right direction around or wrong direction, 65 of the country thinks we are going in the wrong direction. You can see with lindsey grahams comments why if we are going in the wrong direction why are we not going with Donald Trump. Kamala harris does represent change. She has an opportunity to lead with her vision and shes more likable than Donald Trump. The voters are saying, i dont like the direction we are going. I dont like the state where we are in the country. Im putting that on the system including Donald Trump. Vice president harris has a shot to say we will take the country in a new direction. Voters are saying i would like to do that. Is there anything that we have missed that you want to mention . Antjuan, he first. She has room to grow unlike Donald Trump who may have peaked too soon. She is giving the politically and housed a reason to come home. She has consolidated the base faster than anyone in most of our political lifetimes and i think what she is doing with independent thinkers and independent voters, she speaking directly to them on the issues that matter the most. When we look at Voter Registration numbers whether it is the Gender Gap for the younger folks that are starting to pay attention, i think this race is going to be won on the margins. Susan and then david, anything that stands out to you . I want to highlight the fact that when you ask the question the most important issue facing you its not surprisingly see the economy, inflation and abortion. When you start asking the question differently like what is more important. Candidate you think will do better on the economy or a candidate that will protect a womans right to reproductive freedom. You start seeing things a little bit differently. I just want to be careful. Watch these polls and look at those issues. Abortion has a much more influential role in Decision Making for voters. I agree with that. How about you, david . I would say if you dont have a red Maga Card in your wallet you dont like Donald Trump. All three of you have time for coffee break. I will ask you to stay with us because we will discuss The Ways a second debate is a Loselose Proposition for Donald Trump whether or not it happens. First, hear what voters in North Carolina have to say about the prospect of a second debate and i will speak to Seth Moulton about the prospect of a looming shutdown. Looming shutdown. Safari . Hot Air Balloon Ride . Swim with elephants . Wait, can we afford a safari . Great question. Like everything, it takes a little planning. Or, put the money towards a downpayment. On a ranch. In montana. With horses lets take a look at those scenarios. J. P. Morgan Wealth Management has advisors in Chase Branches and tools, like Wealth Plan to keep you on track. 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Donald trump saying its too late. Emma barnett is joining me from wilmington where she is hearing from Trump Supporters. Do they want another debate even if their candidate doesnt . Reporter for Trump Supporters here in North Carolina it really is a debate on whether or not to have a debate. When i was speaking to People Yesterday i could divide them into three different groups. Group one felt it was totally his decision. Group 2 do not think he should debate again because they say they feel he was treated unfairly at the abc debate. 14 described it as being three versus one. The third believe he should go for it. Us into what they told me. Why do you think it is important for trump to debate. It shows the other side of the story and how brainwashed they are, not us. Reporter do you think debates help trump . I do not think there is a need. Reporter why . I think it would be one sided again. Reporter as you can hear, the voters really are pretty split. Trump supporters specifically are split on whether or not he should dissipate. At his Rally Yesterday he made it clear that he probably will not participate because as he put it it is just too late. We know your secret. You are near the airport. Thank you very much. We will see you again. Joining me is congressman Seth Moulton. You just heard from a couple of trump voters. Do americans need to witness another Harristrump Faceoff or is he right that it is just too late . He is clearly very scared. It would be helpful. It is a very short campaign. We ought to be able to hear the two Candidates Faceoff and debate their proposals or introns case the lack thereof. And for americans to get another chance to see the contrast between these two people running for the highest office in the land. By The Way, 2020, the last debate was October 22 so maybe your point is well taken that hes running scared. Hes obviously scared. He got crushed. He got obliterated in the first debate and as much as he goes around and tries to tell people that he actually won we all know he is full of you know what. He does not want to debate again. His team is scared of it and he scared of it. I hope harris holds his feet to the fire. We will see if she does. In the meantime checking out the new poll which shows Kamala Harris over a Fivepoint Lead within the margin of error. Trump holds advantage on the economy, inflation, the border. They are considered the top issues. With just six weeks how might harris chains minds on those issues . What i want to see the Vice President do a separate process herself a little bit from President Biden. Shes been an amazing teammate. I love President Biden myself but a lot of americans have problem with his immigration policy. He has made several changes over the course of his term. Republicans are trying to tie harris to biden. If you look at Fox News it is always the bidenharris plan. The bidenharris problem. A few months ago it just set biden. Everyone in the republican party, all their supporters are trying to blame her for his problems. Why doesnt she say, i would do things a little differently. I love the President And Respect him but i would have handled these tough issues in a different way. Heres how i would lead. I think that would be incredibly powerful for her to say and i dont think it would turn off democrats. We all know she is an independent woman, an independent leader, shes a strong leader and should show some of those differences. Shes a different person and would be a different leader. What about that Nbc Poll that shows the 33 point Gender Gap . Harris leads women by 21 points. Trump is up among men by 12. Why is there such a significant gap and is there Something Harris can do to bring some of those guys into her camp . The more she gets out there and shows she will lead on these key issues that male voters care about a lot including immigration and the economy that she can separate herself not just from Donald Trump but from President Biden and i think she will win more of these people over. Ive never really understood why so many men like somebody like Donald Trump who was such a fundamentally squirmy and weak person himself. He is not a model of manhood. A very far stretch from it. She has the ability to win these voters over, but i think they are hung up on some of these key issues. Sometimes i hear people say i dont like trump. I know hes not a good guy but the economy was good under him or we did not have as much inflation. They arent listening to the details of his new plans which would dramatically increase inflation. Paris harris needs to make that case and make it strongly. I think showing some separation from the president would help her. I know that you are headlining a harristran09 fundraiser. Is there anything tangible that she should do for those that are most ducking at this point . The veterans know that Donald Trump is terrible for veterans. He hates them. He does not understand why they serve. He has called us suckers and losers and everything else. Harris needs to make an affirmative case for what she will do. The biden administration did great things for veterans including passing the pack back over the objection of many congressional republicans getting a to people like myself that were exposed to burn pits overseas. She needs to make a case for all the things she will do in the future. I think that veterans are also looking at Foreign Policy. We need to hear a bit more from the Vice President on what her Foreign Policy would look like in such a troubled time in the world. If she can get out there and make those cases she will win more veterans over. Youre a member of the armed Services Committee and a marine so i want to get your perspective on a report saying that senior u. S. Officials say they are privately acknowledging a Ceasefire And Hostage deal is unlikely before the term ends. Republican Senator Tom Cotten said if the administration had taken a different approach the work could already be over. Here is part of that. First off they are not giving them the political or diplomatic support that they needed from the beginning. Rather than trying to put constant pressure on israel the more pressure we put on iran if they adopt a policy to let israel win, the war probably would have ended a long time ago. Does the administration take fault for the prolonging of the war that seems to be on the brink of erupting into something worse. Does Kamala Harris need to promise a different approach if biden is not able to seal the deal . And this question needs to be asked. How much about t