Several signs, even before the detention of Fenster, suggest the military is digging in for the long haul. A range of reports suggest that the junta is planning to dissolve the National League for Democracy, the country’s main political party, and the one that won November 2020 elections overwhelmingly. Banning the NLD would signify that the military has little intention of returning to any vestige of normal politics – even a managed election of some sort that involves any real competition– at any time in the near future. Without the NLD, the junta could hold a completely stage-managed election next year, but it might not even take that step.