Navigating uncertainty: Why we need decision theory during a

Navigating uncertainty: Why we need decision theory during a pandemic


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IMAGE: Modern decision theory can assist policymakers in critical times such as the COVID-19 crisis, argue Bocconi University's Massimo Marinacci and Valentina Bosetti in a paper coauthored by Nobel laureate Lars...
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Credit: Paolo Tonato
During a pandemic, decisions have to be made under time pressure and amid scientific uncertainty, with potential disagreements among experts and models. With COVID-19, especially during the first wave, there was uncertainty about the virus transmissibility, the disease severity, the future evolution of the pandemic and the effectiveness of the proposed policy interventions, such as wearing face masks or closing schools. Together with a group of epidemiologists and economists, including the Nobel Prize winner Lars Peter Hansen, Bocconi professors Massimo Marinacci, AXA-Bocconi Chair in Risk, and Valentina Bosetti investigated how modern decision theory can help policymakers navigate through the uncertainty that characterizes this pandemic and possible future ones.

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Valentina Bosetti , Lars Peter Hansen , Massimo Marinacci , , Nobel Prize , Bocconi Chair , Professor Bosetti , Calculations Problem Solving , Infectious Emerging Diseases , Policy Ethics , Theoretical Sciences , Research Development , லார்ஸ் பீட்டர் ஹேன்சன் , நோபல் ப்ரைஸ் , போக்கோணி நாற்காலி , கணக்கீடுகள் ப்ராப்லம் தீர்க்கும் , தொற்று வளர்ந்து வருகிறது நோய்கள் , பாலிஸீ நெறிமுறைகள் , கோட்பாட்டு அறிவியல் , ஆராய்ச்சி வளர்ச்சி ,

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