RIETI - Inflation in the aftermath of wars and pandemics : v

RIETI - Inflation in the aftermath of wars and pandemics


Inflation in the aftermath of wars and pandemics
For Kevin DALY's full bio,
For Rositsa D. CHANKOVA's full bio,
The economic consequences of Covid-19 are often compared to a war, prompting fears of rising inflation and high bond yields. However, historically, pandemics and wars have had diverging effects. This column uses data extending to the 1300s to compare inflation and government bond yield behaviour in the aftermath of the world’s 12 largest wars and pandemics. It shows that both inflation and bond yields typically rise in wartime but remain relatively stable during pandemics. Although every such event is unique, history suggests high inflation and bond yields are not a natural consequence of pandemics.

Related Keywords

, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research , Typically Risen Sharply Both During , Major Wars , Typically Remained Weak , Major Pandemics , Typically Risen Sharply Following Major Wars , Not Following , Not Following Pandemics , Yields Rise Much More During Wars , கோல்ட்மேன் சாக்ஸ் உலகளாவிய முதலீடு ஆராய்ச்சி , முக்கிய போர்கள் , இல்லை பின்வருமாறு ,

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