Type of picture of the headlines here now does air a russian president Vladimir Putin says the world is facing its most dangerous decades since world war 2. Speaking in moscow, he accused the west of inciting the war that he had no regrets about it, thought and also deny that moscows appearing to use Nuclear Weapons, despite raising the prospect an earlier comments with national raising you workable, craig and local. The purpose of todays foster on Nuclear Threats and the possible use of Nuclear Weapons is very primitive. I have already said that this effort dictated by western countries federal dropped their attempt to put pressure on all parts. Spence in International Communication include in neutral or friendly countries, ends in nothing, and they are looking for additional arguments in order to convince our friends or neutral states that we all need to send to gator against russia. Meanwhile, russia suffered setbacks on the battlefield in recent weeks fighting has been intensifying in ukraines eastern regions with Russian Forces shelling the city of back moved in the dont ask region. What in the south Ukrainian Forces are pushing towards her son, which is under rational control and rushes renewed its assault on ukraines energy infrastructure, shutting facilities across the country. Ukraine faces a 30 percent shortfall, electricity. Most cities are suffering power cups. The world is facing its 1st truly Global Energy crisis. Thats according to a new report by the International Energy agency, prices of fuel, gas and electricity are going up driven partly by the you will warn you, crane, and restrictions on oil exports by the worlds top, but uses the 2022 world energy outlook, says the crisis may mark a historic turning point to green energy. Israel and lebanon have signed the u. S. Broker deal that lays out there Maritime Board and the Mediterranean Sea for the 1st time. The agreement enables both countries to conduct offshore exploration, oil and gas. In uganda, at least one child has died from the boat. A virus and 5 of the children had tested positive and the capitol compiler. Uganda has so far recorded a 109 cases and 30 people have died. The African Unions Public Health body says the boat outbreak in uganda is under control despite a spike in cases in the capital. So those are the headlines that is continues here now to 0 off inside storage states. Weve done so much bye for now. Ah. The 1st stop saying that ending the war in ethiopia is normally antic why region are underway in south africa, but fighting has intensified. So what are the chances of bringing in the conflict to an end and what does each side hold to gain . This is inside story. Ah hello and welcome to the program. Im fully battle. If european government and rebels from the northern to guy region are holding their most high level talks yet aimed at ending 2 years of war. But fighting has intensified on the battlefield as both sides seek to strengthen their negotiation position. As is high agreed earlier this year collapse in august, thousands have been killed in the conflict and many more have been forced from their homes. The African Union is leading the talks in south africa with nigeria, former president , and was in general boss and joe and kenny as were kenyatta acting as Brokers International calls for an end to the war, have been mounting in recent weeks. The African UnionCommission Chair will suffolk, he welcome the start of the talk saying he was encouraged by the early demonstration of commitment to peace by the parties. He plays the African Unions continued support for a process to silence the guns towards a united, stable, peaceful, and resilient. Ethiopia. So how did ethiopia get here . While the to grand Peoples Liberation front t p. A left dominated his politics for nearly 30 years until Prime Minister abbey ahmed came to power in 2018. In november 2020 abbey ordered a military operation against rebels in to gray. He accused the group were attacking military bases. Later that month he declared the operation finished in june, the t gray Peoples Liberation front. We captured its regional capital mckelly. By july, it had advanced into the regions of afar in am herrera. On october, 11th, Ethiopian Forces launched a ground offensive and air strikes. A week later, the following month, the government declared a state of emergency after the t p. A left re took towns on a road leading to the capital, addis ababa. The Northern Region has been under a blockade for 17 months with no banking, telephone, and internet services, nor media axis. While human rights campaigners have warned of potential abuses by both sides in the conflict. Me one, comprehensive, credible, independent investigation into all that. What city is committed in this conflict . So we want humana that an 8 i us as immediate as possible and we want the internet not and the Regional Community to respond to that situation in a manner which is deserving of that, that gravity of this question the well, lets bring in august now for todays inside story from addis ababa and while mc say, a journalist and political commentator from sun valley in sweden to lie gibber, michael associate editor at to got a website documenting possible war crimes in to grey and from nairobi. William davidson, senior year analyst at the International Crisis group. Thank you for joining us on inside story today that he thought with you. And while im in at is have about looking at the big picture. How hopeful are you today that an end might be inside to the war into cry. Thank you very much for having me. Ah, i think the fact that both saves of agreed for this b stock is on an encouraging and her as a positive signal that are, are the people both sides or whether they are to grants or the to e took out in general, or hoping from dispute stock, sir, because it will be, or it would bring an end to suffering. Gov to people not only integrate region but also in the neighboring get our solar and the whole country in general. So people are hoping that this would be an into her, to the suffering of her people who are ah, ive been going through a very severe challenge. And while i am, what are the parties discussing precisely in south africa . Ah, in my opinion, the 1st her you should be about her ceasefire and ah, ah, pro our leader demanded pride from the government said would be in a magenta. Ah, they want the t p a left to put arms down in talk. And on the other side, the t p a lift may demand to r ah, a be a raised to forms a terrorist list in there to get some amnesty for its really does. As he said, the priorities 80 gone down the disk are before they go into the detail of what will happen after that, or what would be the fate of t p. I live and work with bidder. Ah, region sir, administration and how it should are going to normal transition and or just issues would be the next step in my opinion, a number of issues on the table. No dar tech lie in sweden if i can come to you and looking at the big picture and to alan says hes optimistic because the 2 sides are finally talking. What are the chances you think of bringing this conflict to an end to an immediate stop . Do you think that we might see some, some genuine progress in south africa . Thank you for the, for having me on. Im afraid i dont sharing and im dollars optimism. And the reason for my pessimism is the behavior of the depend government. Let me start by reminding you a statement that the issued one day before the talk to begun. They depend government said that the talks with an opportunity to consolidate and what to consolidate. Military suppose military game that they had made over the previous couple of days in the joint operation that weve had, which pushes what every time commanders basically commanding the teeth and poses. They have made something caution. Partly because the trigger porters had retreated from the boy to avoid evan warfare. Data and government seems to believe that the final solution is going to come when they control the capital city up to great. And indeed that would this sumption actually when they set up the talk, the assumption would that by the time to talks would begin, they would have control and that, that they would have that would have put them in a position to demand that its a grand total surrender, and when that became, when it became clear that that wasnt possible, then they found themselves in a very, very awkward situation now. And actually not into negotiations. And its how its african. There had been rumors that the people representing the government couldnt actually commit to anything because they didnt think that they would find themselves in the situation. So i dont expect anything causative is going to come by it. And government has always been clear that the thing about it wants to get from the negotiation is to less than the pressure from the International Committee. The enormous pressure and put them to release funds have been withholding because they have been demanding dive if and the one bank the Bank Government should stop war before it could claim benefits. So im very, very pessimistic about any outcome from the trumps William Davidson. And i will be your father, is there today enough trust between the 2 parties that could lead to progress on the substances issues . Think pat, what we are looking for realistically, from these talks is a sensation. A possibility is agreement that would be renewing the agreement that was in place this year between and the federal and take right government. And i think what we should recognize is that these are important negotiations because they represent the beginning of a formal African Union, internationally supported process. And therefore they probably in the long run will be the way that these complex, this was old. And definitely the way that it should be resolved, but i do think we have a rather long way to go. As you are the get has made clear. I think the issue is under what terms could we have a sensational hostility . Currently we have active military compensation inside take right, with the federal army supported by the error train army attempting to establish control over all federal facilities. As stated by, i just now wants to take great delegation. They said that they do want to space. Unfortunately, they have also said that they want retrans ministry to withdraw. Busy from think right, and it is not clear that the 2 great governments and forces would agree to association of hostilities if the federal army keeps pushing forward with its era, try and write and try to take complete when it who would you say is in the stronger position right now, the strongest division, militarily, both militarily and the negotiations in south africa. What we know about the military situation is that the fighting has been going on since the 24th of august. And over the last and 2 weeks as to why was describing the 2 great forces have retreated from some urban areas, they are trying to get the miniatures have pushed further into take, right. Weve also heard in the last few days about considerable continued resistance from the pick right forces to take to be around at the crossroads town as well. And so it seems to be around a mic situation low undoubtably, the, whats on the mention on the therapy and era trend side over the last couple of weeks, right. Let me come back to you. And while im in artis, what do we know is happening right now in a round degree . Whats the extent of what we know . Because of course its been very difficult to get information from the region. The federal government prior to the talks, had said that it would restore 2 Communication Services across to grade. Did, did they take that action . Did they restore services more aid going into the region to alleviate that the humanitarian situation that ah, yes. Are we also follow those 3 posters from the government . Say it in there. Ah, we, ive seen some pictures. Busy or restoring electricity in delivering foot done or video or social media us on there as we are now, day in the day for the day to Penn NationalDefense Force us to court on throat. So our, we have seen source deliveries are being done by the government. And now when we see on the ground, whats happening as the william said, that the war is more, i day to Penn National defense, more forces, more advancing into the different regions of to gray. And now are we heard that it is surrounding mccully and, ah, the assumption by menu of the supporters of the to pan government is that mckinley would fall under day to Penn National defense works probably before sunday, or before the conclusion of the 1st round of the talk so this is what is being observed in the, on the ground at tech lee. What, what do you think is happening on the ground . Because the to grand position had been that they were not willing to sit and negotiate is negotiate with the added government unless essential services to the region where restored. Has that happened as far as gina know that hasnt happened. And the reason is because starvation remains and efficient 40 c p c. Im not ashamed to see if that on the local me that they said that should remain a policy all the way to achieve victory. Integrate is by making the people stop so that they could submit to the federal order. So im going to be completely wrong when it says that services has resumed in some parts of put, the government has been doing some sort of propaganda to say that area is controlled because using the services. But simply in light. Not only how service has been cut, the total prompted, right. The government has also actually banned my tenant organizations from playing too great to deliver even basic medicine, nevermind. Luxury items like food, food integration. I was the luxury. So nothing has happened in the way of redemption. Services, and the reason this guy government had some delicate this to, to south africa, to literally a bag International Committee to patient based upon government to relent on his potent located. So the, the barriers put could start to, to trickle in. But i just want to emphasize that im not completely wrong when i allow them to on and while, and your your answer to that. I think my friend is very much father for on it. And he seems to be bored. Sympathized with the p l. F. And i just want to be to talk about to be as an independent and probably as i need to appeal and which can feel the suffering of pause if anyone knows, giving my or my muscle in my opinion, there is no reason. There is no reason there is no reason why the federal government will not deliver if there is available age in place. Why they dont does their freed those areas and their control. So say it as ok, city because the l is controlled by a t p and if they may have challenges to deliver those aid, but now is their control ada available, why do they deliver ok . It doesnt make sense, in my opinion, allow you to try to bring back william into the conversation technique was 3 years last time. My mother, my mother and my taught them live in an area supposedly fried by the tip and government. And i havent been able to speak to them for 2 years. So that just gives us what is happening integrate. So what hes saying is complete life. Ok, william, im going to bring you back into the conversation to, to help us expand this and try to understand how you know that the warring parties in each in ethiopia, they can reach a settlement. And as the tech li alluded to, there were not just talking about the t p l f. In the philippine government, they are the actors involved in this conflict. Retreat, we know has sent troops in to help fight alongside the beef open government forces. They are, of course the, the, the romo Liberation Forces in the or more region as well, which is also putting pressure on the ad is government. Is there a settlement today, william that can satisfy all the parties involved in this conflict . Whether its the federal government that to gray government, hire a nationalist retrieve government. Theres certainly no immediate prospects told us that someones and indeed that you know, the problem in there and with retry is that some of these differences almost seem, are concise levels. But it is absolutely right to highlight the role of eritrea in the complex. We also have a situation where elements from har, region neighboring c great bay, forcefully seized western pig right and still control it. So that will be another very typical issues, result was take great demand ditch with her and including the return of the people. This is a very difficult situation. I think if progress is going to be made is going to be incremental not as why the mediators will be focusing on 1st getting at least the sensational estimates is between the federal and the take right government. And then moving on from that to address the issue of ameritron, right. And its making every tray william a speaking of every tree. Do you think that the president , very true as a software key, will accept any dia, that would see the grey and leadership remain in place . And the understanding that the, the genuine understanding of the era try and position is that they are involved in this complex sort of heavily to see the complete eradication of the t p as a political force. And so that essentially means removing the leadership and ensuring that they know can no longer a whole power intake, right and take right to no longer be a threat to retract. So really at the moment there is no sign that i ever try to leadership is interested it, right . A negotiated settlement pursuing a military solution and quickly, you know, the relationship between i be a med and i say its awful working has been a complicated one. Whos leading, who there . You think . I think that is an important question. Un