Polls show hes ahead. His decision to kitchen th skipx news debate after a war of words. I wasnt treated right, i did something that was very risky, i think it did great, im getting more publicity than if it you know . On the front page texas senator ted cruz, not for the reasons he wanted. According to iowas biggest newspaper cruz had a bad night. Cruz instead tangled with marco rubio. Throughout this campaign you have been willing to say or do anything, to get votes. You helped design george w. Bushs integration policy now you want to trump trump on immigration. Cruz appeared to even steal a page from his closest rivals play book but with a much different result. The last four questions about been rapid please attack ted, chris please attack ted, marco please attack ted. If you guys ask one more mean question i may have to leave the stage. With trump absent from the debate and cruz the main target i dont think ted can have it both ways. Some strategists say it might have provided a boost for rubio. I think marco rubio in the first hour of the debate had a very good night. I think i had a little more time than usual, somebody was missing so they had more time. Rubio was trying to ride postdebate momentum, taking dead aim at Hillary Clinton. Hillary clinton the toart day here in iowa you know what she said about 48 hours ago . Someone suggested that barack obama should be appointed to the supreme court, she said what a great idea . Can you imagine . Were in a lot of trouble if she wins. As for democrats its down to the wire between clinton and vermont senator Bernie Sanders who was feeling upbeat. Another National Poll she beat trump by seven points thats good we beat him by 13 points, thats better. As for clinton shes enlisting the help of her husband and daughter this weekend. David schuster, al jazeera. Our senior Political CorrespondentMichael Shure is in detroit. Lets start with the republicans, are they doing anything different after last nights debate . I should say im on the Microsoft Center and this is where the results will come out after the caucus. David schuster talked about in his package just now marco rubio for one what he is doing right now is he is attaching himself to the religious vote, invoking god, the bible and jesus, saying hes that kind of a candidate. The way hes doing that ask to take away some of the evangelical support from perhaps cruz, perhaps trump, but he thinks if he finishes a strong third here or possibly even second that gives him the establishment momentum to take into New Hampshire john. And the other thing that youre seeing today is Chris Christie hammering ted cruz and pleuk on thmarcorubio on the issue of immigration. How can any of the candidates be trusted . Thats what Chris Christie is doing, hes speaking more to the voters of New Hampshire than of avoid john. What about the democrats in the final are stretch . This is really interesting. The democrats you would think of the debates and th donald trump show that the democrats are second but they are running really hard here. What you saw today is Bernie Sanders issuing an ad and this ad is an ad that doesnt mention Hillary Clinton by name but goes after Goldman Sachs and Hillary Clinton implicitly. Take a look. The wall street banks triggered the financial melt down, Goldman Sachs just settled with authorities for their part that put 7 million out of works and millions out of their homes. How does wall street get away with it . Millions of Campaign Contribution he and speaking fees. Our economy works for wall street because its rigged by wall street and thats the problem. And john, you know to see an ad like that, that doesnt mention Hillary Clinton by name but forced Hillary Clinton to say, senator sanders has promised not to be negative but now hes nibbling around the edges of negativity. A poll came out from ppp, Public Policy polling, and it showed 48 to 40, eight point lead for Hillary Clinton but Martin Omalley with 7 . Those Martin Omalley voters are going to have to move elsewhere if hes not viable in order to have a percentage in order to get delegates. When polled, Martin Omalleys supporters by a difference of 57 to 27 feel Bernie Sanders is their choice. John. Thank you michael. Elana plot is in washington tonight. Lets talk about donald trump. What did he say about the fox debate and how it went in his absence. I think were going to do really well in iowa. I think well be a surprise, leading in the iowa polls and leading pretty good. [applause] and cruz is in second place, he got pummeled last night. He got pummeled wow, they didnt even mention he was born in canada. He went on to say that cruzs poll numbers are going to tank. And his will Donald Trumps will increase. What do you think . Hes made a lot of predictions and many of them have been right. So what was so successful about skipping the debate for donald trump is he effectively got to put a pause on the polling when it comes to his front runner status. Ted cruz like he said hes right he did get pummeled last night because marco rubio, jeb bush, Chris Christie got to train their fire on someone other than donald trump. And cruz going into monday hes facing a risky risky position because donald trump once again got to evade a public forum on questions like partial birth abortion he support, legal gay marriage, support of Hillary Clinton. Because he can narrow those forums he doesnt have to answer caucussers that way. It was a risky move for him not to go to the debate, he says, was it risky and did that risk pay off . John i think in an alternate universe that would be an incredibly risky move for a typical candidate. But what donald trump has done effectively is he knows what energizes his supporters, flouting the rules of the establishment. And he did that once more by refusing to go to a fox news debate where he felt he was being treated unfairly. I think there are very few people who supported donald trump on thursday who this morning woke up and decided that they didnt any longer. Cnns poll of polls have trump slightly ahead of cruz, cruz at 26 . Do you think trump has the meticulous ground game necessary in iowa to actually turn the poll numbers into caucus votes . I dont necessarily and i think thats where i think a lot of people could make a mistake by just assuming that iowas trumps to lose. I think cruz has done the full grassley. By monday would have gone to all 99 counties in iowa. That matters in those rural areas where caucussers feel that nobody goes out there to give them attention. Donald trump was in New Hampshire bragging about his decision not to go to the fox news debate last night. Iowans at the end of the day take this personally. These are sixth, seventh generation caucus goers. They want, at the end of the day, the candidates knocking on their doors. At the end of the day ted cruz has amassed a meticulous, meticulous ground game and at the end of the day, it is going to be interesting to see whether that lists him over trump in the end because then we get a better sense of who might win in nevada. Can you help me sort out this media relationship or nonrelationship between donald trump and fox. Bill oreilly had trump on the air and literally begged him to come on the debate and if we were to believe some of the stories so did roger ails beg him to come on the debate but he didnt. Whats his relationship with fox, whats his relationship with the rest of the media, as a result of this . So reports show that donald trump refused to take roger ailss calls. He said i will only speak to Rupert Murdoch about this. Trump has once again shown the media is his for the playing. I think its jeb bush that says he plays the media like a violin. Thats right. The media is his realm at the end of the day. And seeing someone like bill oreilly beg shows that capitalism that trump has. Let me ask you the numbers show, i forget the number, 20 million plus watched this debate or very large number of people watched the debate on fox. And he predicted that the numbers would plummet. I dont think they plummeted. He was simply wrong about it right . They didnt plummet but at the end of the day its the Second Lowest viewership for a debate this cycle. We have had incredible viewership for this cycle but for this period of debates it is the Second Lowest. Elana, good to talk to you. Now to the zika virus. It is spreading. Health officials warn of Global Health crisis and tonight, more cases are being reported in the united states. Roxana saberi has the latest. It was all over my body like i was on Christmas Eve i was scratching like my whole system saw my chest and theyre like wow. And you could see my lips, bumps in my lips my eyes my ears. Lizy morales is Feeling Healthy now but while visiting family in el salvador in christmas she contracted zika virus from a mosquito bite. All you want to do is lay down and sleep. Since then the centers for Disease Control and prevention have confirmed at least 30 cases in 11 states and the district of columbia. The Health Officials say, americans shouldnt panic. Having said that you dont want to walk away and say not a problem. Were developing better vaccines, better diagnostics, better vector control. As you are anticipating there is going to be an outbreak. The virus has spread fast, prompting the cdc to warn pregnant women against traveling o22 countries in the region. The zika virus causes a mild illness in most people but there is growing evidence linking it to a birth defect called microcephaly, babies born with abnormally small heads and brains. Cases are surging in brazil, on friday Dilma Rousseff announced that her countrys has launched efforts to kill the mosquito. We are losing the battle because if the mosquito keeps breeding, we are all losing the battle against it so we have to mobilize for this war. On friday the International Olympic committee assured teams traveling there thateamstravelie safe from the virus. We will do everything to ensure the health of the athletes. Roxana saberi, al jazeera. Much more on the zika virus. Techknow apris phil torres wl have more. Back duong was being held for trial on several felonies including attempted murder, he broke out of the jail a week ago with two other violent suspects. Today he chose to surrender. Book duan contacted an individual on the streets of santa ana and stated he wanted to turn himself in. Accused of helping in the escape. Now to oregon where the last few people holed up at a federal wildlife refuge are demanding pardons for nearly all involved. Ten of the people involved in the occupation including occupation leader ammon bundy are in court for a detention hearing. Katherine. John with ten people that hearing is going to take a while. The headline weve had is that ammon bundy and his brother ryan have both been denied bail, denied relief until the trial. They were argued against that they were a flight risk because they do not have a tie to the state of oregon. In fact if they were released they could return to the malheu risk factor wildlife refuge. Prosecutors argued in papers that they expressed their disdain for federal law and ability to follow federal law, in the last month or so. The judge said had he would consider release of these individuals only if occupation has ended. That occupation has not ended, four people remain, its going to be a very cold night up there on the refuge. The four people had been negotiating around the clock with fbi negotiators who are trying to get them to surrender peacefully. We have heard reports from Oregon Public Broadcasting that the negotiations were ended, by the occupiers, they are making their own demands. New video that the fbi released showing aerial Surveillance Video the first hard evidence really, showing the officers shooting of rancher and occupier la voy sinicum. There were no dash cams. Statements of officers on the ground, no one disputes the afternoon ended with the shooting death of robert Lavoy Finnicum. How it happened is hotly debated. There are variation versions out in the public domain, most of them inaccurate, some of them inflammatory. To that end we want to do what we can and as transparent aa manner as we can, to give the public as much information as to what happened that day. The planes follow the feds down a forested canyon road pursuing two cars carrying leaders of the occupation on route to a meeting in the neighboring town. A white vehicle leads a dark jeep follows. Officers pull over the second vehicle as the white car carries on. Its hard to see through trees but from the dark jeep, ammon bundy and three others get out and are arrested peacefully. When the white vehicle is stopped just one of its passengers gets outs and is taken into custody. Then for nearly four minutes, the white car and remaining occupants just sits. Throughout this time agents and troopers are providing verbal commands to the occupants to surrender. But with Lavoy Finnicum at the wheel, the car suddenly races off at high speed, nearly hitting an fbi officer. Finnicum leaves the truck and steps through snow, at least two occasions he reaches the inside portion of his jacket. He had a loaded 9 million meter semi automatic handgun in that pocket. At this time, fbi, shot finnicum. Desired to show use of force was justified. We can what we could to bring that to a conclusion. The fbi is still work to bring this to a peaceful conclusion at the mallheur refuge. That is the talk of the town in burns, oregon today. Some will hold fast to their belief this was nothing short of murder, but releasing the video, still not enough. Everybody ive talked to says the video is unclear, a number of things could have taken place. And theres no way to justify whether or not he was actually a threat to those officers. Now its important to say that the investigation into that socalled officerinvolved shooting is ongoing, conducted in the neighboring county here. And so we may get more evidences as the days and weeks progress. John. All right katherine, thank you. Coming up next on this show, environmental results of the worst natural gas leak in history. And forces, more boots on the ground to fight i. S. I. L. We can and as transparent were learning more about the methane gas leak that has been spewing into the air near los angeles. Scientists say it could set back californias effort to significantly reduce emitigations. From inside his single engine plane, Stephen Conley gets a look. Whats undetected by the naked eye, conleys instruments record the natural gas leak near the Los Angeles Suburb of porter ranch are sky high. The largest methane source im aware of in u. S. History. We met conley the at the at t as he was getting ready for his second flight of the day. Our goal each time is we estimate what the Emission Rate is, you how much gas is coming out of the leak from our flight. Thats the purpose to come up with the number each time. What are you seeing during each one of these flights . In the beginning the first three flights were somewhere close to 50,000 kilograms per hour. The next one was 3,000 compared to 50,000. Thats enough methane to fill the Empire State Building every day. And enough methane to increase overall emissions in the state by 25 . Its a catastrophic number were dealing with, because weve never dealt with a quantity of methane this large before. Also considering the fact that it is 25 times more potent than Carbon Dioxide in trapping heat. So we all learned that last year, 2015 was the hottest year in the longest time. And now, well, in 2016, its even going to be a hotter year. So kenken are you saying that this gas leak will contribute to the warming of the climate . Absolutely. Infrared photography, this is what it looks from the ground. In the computer model the taller the red spikes the higher the methane leak is in that area. Twice the normal levels as far as eight miles from the leaking well. Even after the leak is stopped methane stays in the atmosphere for 12 years. Putting at risk the states lofty genome to rice Greenhouse Gas emissions by 2030. So have this single leak increase our overall methane emissions in the state by 25 is not helpful and is moving us in the wrong direction. Earlier this month when california governor jerry brown gave his state of the state address, he spoke about the climate change. But never mentioned the gas leak. This has led to even more criticism. Jerry brown, shut it all down. Like the methane spewing into the air, the governors leadership dealing with the gas leak has also been invisible. He could have been more aggressive in terms of dealing with it. He could have visited the area more, sooner rather than later. He could have made sure that the environmental laws are enforced, its one thing to have environmental regulations on the books. Its another thing to enforce them. Lawmakers have accused state agencies of negligence to safely regulate the storage of gas. At the same time, the states air Quality Management district has filed suit against socal the company that owns the well. The impact of this disaster will